Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
61
Up 62%
2 arb excluded
$34.9K
$-10.3K
Smart Money Signal
38 of 61 top traders (62%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed23 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $8.7K | — | $-8.4K | 55% 430-355 (785) |
BO borderlocket | Upavg 86¢ | $4.5K | $5.2K | +$732.89 | 32% 65-141 (206) |
 arcsine-barrister | Upavg 50¢ | $5.0K | $4.9K | +$1.81 | 42% 279-382 (661) |
MA machine-earning | Upavg 50¢ | $4.0K | $3.2K | -$13.1 | 45% 563-700 (1263) |
 BoneOhio | Upavg 99¢ | $3.0K | $3.0K | -$7.59 | 71% 1635-682 (2317) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $1.8K | $1.7K | -$102.19 | 98% 3857-81 (3938) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 46.5¢ | $1.2K | $1.6K | +$406.24 | 59% 1039-714 (1753) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 20.3¢ | $427.57 | $1.3K | +$1.4K | 49% 2317-2371 (4688) |
 Atomforge | Upavg 86¢ | $1.0K | $1.2K | +$168.5 | 26% 280-778 (1058) |
MO mo-moneyCTR | Downavg 81.3¢ | $1.8K | — | $-1.1K | 51% 1450-1401 (2851) |
BO bosonaCTR | Downavg 57.5¢ | $1.3K | — | -$717.14 | 51% 4704-4511 (9215) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 50.2¢ | $1.0K | $1.1K | +$56.56 | 44% 740-946 (1686) |
BL blue.birds | Upavg 69.7¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$5.87 | 52% 5039-4741 (9780) |
AL almach | Upavg 99¢ | $2.9K | $1.1K | -$838.42 | 51% 1455-1389 (2844) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 62.4¢ | $1.2K | $997.4 | -$159.06 | 47% 1037-1165 (2202) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 48.5¢ | $715.44 | $977.27 | +$261.82 | 46% 792-933 (1725) |
 cryingbabydicer87 | Upavg 99¢ | $999.1 | $1.0K | +$0.9 | 50% 1577-1608 (3185) |
ST stepahead | Upavg 70.3¢ | $702.47 | $676.21 | -$26.26 | 55% 4442-3611 (8053) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 71.3¢ | $900.81 | $757.46 | -$143.34 | 52% 2247-2098 (4345) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 49.8¢ | $592.01 | $629.16 | +$37.14 | 51% 3248-3166 (6414) |
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 45.7¢ | $481.35 | $602.21 | +$120.86 | 50% 4482-4555 (9037) |
0X 0xdc27...afdd9a | Upavg 85.4¢ | $500.9 | $586.29 | +$85.39 | 27% 110-291 (401) |
GA gansinimen | Upavg 30.8¢ | $338.13 | $580.65 | +$242.51 | 52% 371-344 (715) |
 FairValueMachineCTR | Downavg 65.1¢ | $505.74 | — | -$501.24 | 54% 4559-3961 (8520) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 54.1¢ | $651.3 | $476.38 | -$8.77 | 54% 3632-3064 (6696) |
Invested
$8,740
Value
—
PnL
$-8.4K
Record
55%
430-355 (785)
Invested
$4,491.03
Value
$5.2K
PnL
+$732.89
Record
32%
65-141 (206)
arcsine-barristerInvested
$5,000
Value
$4.9K
PnL
+$1.81
Record
42%
279-382 (661)
Invested
$4,000
Value
$3.2K
PnL
-$13.1
Record
45%
563-700 (1263)
BoneOhioInvested
$3,007.59
Value
$3.0K
PnL
-$7.59
Record
71%
1635-682 (2317)
Invested
$1,772.19
Value
$1.7K
PnL
-$102.19
Record
98%
3857-81 (3938)
Invested
$1,198.54
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$406.24
Record
59%
1039-714 (1753)
Invested
$427.57
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$1.4K
Record
49%
2317-2371 (4688)
AtomforgeInvested
$1,035.05
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$168.5
Record
26%
280-778 (1058)
Invested
$1,798.26
Value
—
PnL
$-1.1K
Record
51%
1450-1401 (2851)
Invested
$1,336.4
Value
—
PnL
-$717.14
Record
51%
4704-4511 (9215)
Invested
$1,040.19
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$56.56
Record
44%
740-946 (1686)
Invested
$1,082.68
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$5.87
Record
52%
5039-4741 (9780)
Invested
$2,875.21
Value
$1.1K
PnL
-$838.42
Record
51%
1455-1389 (2844)
Invested
$1,156.46
Value
$997.4
PnL
-$159.06
Record
47%
1037-1165 (2202)
Invested
$715.44
Value
$977.27
PnL
+$261.82
Record
46%
792-933 (1725)
cryingbabydicer87Invested
$999.1
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$0.9
Record
50%
1577-1608 (3185)
Invested
$702.47
Value
$676.21
PnL
-$26.26
Record
55%
4442-3611 (8053)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$900.81
Value
$757.46
PnL
-$143.34
Record
52%
2247-2098 (4345)
Invested
$592.01
Value
$629.16
PnL
+$37.14
Record
51%
3248-3166 (6414)
Invested
$481.35
Value
$602.21
PnL
+$120.86
Record
50%
4482-4555 (9037)
Invested
$500.9
Value
$586.29
PnL
+$85.39
Record
27%
110-291 (401)
Invested
$338.13
Value
$580.65
PnL
+$242.51
Record
52%
371-344 (715)
FairValueMachineCTRInvested
$505.74
Value
—
PnL
-$501.24
Record
54%
4559-3961 (8520)
Invested
$651.3
Value
$476.38
PnL
-$8.77
Record
54%
3632-3064 (6696)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989
CTRDown — $0
borderlocket
Up — $5.2K
arcsine-barrister
Up — $4.9K
machine-earning
Up — $3.2K
BoneOhio
Up — $3.0K
hoodquant
Up — $1.7K
Bonereaper
Up — $1.6K
uninformedfloww
Up — $1.3K
Atomforge
Up — $1.2K
mo-money
CTRDown — $0