Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
62
Up 55%
$34.5K
$-3.5K
Smart Money Signal
34 of 62 top traders (55%)28 hold an outcome priced under 50%23 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989 | Upavg 50¢ | $8.7K | $8.5K | +$82.6 | 55% 424-347 (771) |
 arcsine-barrister | Upavg 50¢ | $5.0K | $4.8K | +$664.99 | 42% 270-377 (647) |
TH THG. | Upavg 99¢ | $3.4K | $3.5K | +$34.83 | 99% 845-7 (852) |
MA machine-earning | Upavg 50¢ | $4.0K | $3.4K | +$296.21 | 45% 556-693 (1249) |
BO bosona | Upavg 59.7¢ | $3.0K | $2.5K | +$653.51 | 51% 4683-4502 (9185) |
MO mo-money | Upavg 68.6¢ | $3.2K | $1.9K | +$672.86 | 51% 1429-1393 (2822) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 11.5¢ | $321.1 | $1.7K | +$1.4K | 46% 1062-1233 (2295) |
AL almach | Upavg 71.3¢ | $2.7K | $1.5K | +$629.33 | 51% 1438-1373 (2811) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR | Downavg 54.5¢ | $1.1K | — | $-1.1K | 44% 732-940 (1672) |
GA gansinimenCTR | Downavg 49.4¢ | $1.2K | — | $-1.2K | 52% 365-338 (703) |
 cryingbabydicer87 | Upavg 99¢ | $990 | $1.0K | +$10 | 49% 1554-1593 (3147) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 75.3¢ | $1.0K | $942.7 | -$83.94 | 47% 1027-1156 (2183) |
BO BonereaperCTR | Downavg 42.4¢ | $917.9 | — | -$915.37 | 59% 1030-707 (1737) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 52.1¢ | $751.46 | $810.53 | +$59.07 | 46% 784-927 (1711) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 63.7¢ | $793.95 | $768.72 | -$25.23 | 32% 694-1463 (2157) |
ST stepaheadCTR | Downavg 62.8¢ | $704.11 | — | -$704.11 | 55% 4430-3604 (8034) |
BL blue.birdsCTR | Downavg 61.8¢ | $530.68 | — | -$530.68 | 52% 5030-4731 (9761) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 53.6¢ | $647.26 | — | -$483.95 | 54% 3579-3041 (6620) |
AS asdcaxzCTR | Downavg 47¢ | $375.24 | — | -$375.24 | 50% 4458-4532 (8990) |
 FairValueMachine | Upavg 72.5¢ | $390.12 | $364.99 | -$25.13 | 54% 4551-3955 (8506) |
AS asdaefef | Upavg 52.3¢ | $291.68 | $344.34 | +$56.76 | 67% 3450-1707 (5157) |
 NIULAI4 | Upavg 68.9¢ | $280.98 | $304.58 | +$23.6 | 28% 494-1268 (1762) |
LI Little-big | Upavg 50.8¢ | $170.12 | $300.52 | +$130.4 | 51% 983-938 (1921) |
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212 | Upavg 65.1¢ | $159.27 | $236.35 | +$77.08 | 51% 789-759 (1548) |
 BoneOhio | Upavg 68.4¢ | $154.01 | $225 | +$70.99 | 71% 1617-670 (2287) |
Invested
$8,669
Value
$8.5K
PnL
+$82.6
Record
55%
424-347 (771)
arcsine-barristerInvested
$5,000
Value
$4.8K
PnL
+$664.99
Record
42%
270-377 (647)
Invested
$3,448.17
Value
$3.5K
PnL
+$34.83
Record
99%
845-7 (852)
Invested
$4,000
Value
$3.4K
PnL
+$296.21
Record
45%
556-693 (1249)
Invested
$3,047.1
Value
$2.5K
PnL
+$653.51
Record
51%
4683-4502 (9185)
Invested
$3,150.76
Value
$1.9K
PnL
+$672.86
Record
51%
1429-1393 (2822)
machinelearnedInvested
$321.1
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$1.4K
Record
46%
1062-1233 (2295)
Invested
$2,669.19
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$629.33
Record
51%
1438-1373 (2811)
Invested
$1,087.42
Value
—
PnL
$-1.1K
Record
44%
732-940 (1672)
Invested
$1,187.18
Value
—
PnL
$-1.2K
Record
52%
365-338 (703)
cryingbabydicer87Invested
$990
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$10
Record
49%
1554-1593 (3147)
Invested
$1,027.71
Value
$942.7
PnL
-$83.94
Record
47%
1027-1156 (2183)
Invested
$917.9
Value
—
PnL
-$915.37
Record
59%
1030-707 (1737)
Invested
$751.46
Value
$810.53
PnL
+$59.07
Record
46%
784-927 (1711)
Invested
$793.95
Value
$768.72
PnL
-$25.23
Record
32%
694-1463 (2157)
Invested
$704.11
Value
—
PnL
-$704.11
Record
55%
4430-3604 (8034)
Invested
$530.68
Value
—
PnL
-$530.68
Record
52%
5030-4731 (9761)
Invested
$647.26
Value
—
PnL
-$483.95
Record
54%
3579-3041 (6620)
Invested
$375.24
Value
—
PnL
-$375.24
Record
50%
4458-4532 (8990)
FairValueMachineInvested
$390.12
Value
$364.99
PnL
-$25.13
Record
54%
4551-3955 (8506)
Invested
$291.68
Value
$344.34
PnL
+$56.76
Record
67%
3450-1707 (5157)
NIULAI4Invested
$280.98
Value
$304.58
PnL
+$23.6
Record
28%
494-1268 (1762)
Invested
$170.12
Value
$300.52
PnL
+$130.4
Record
51%
983-938 (1921)
Invested
$159.27
Value
$236.35
PnL
+$77.08
Record
51%
789-759 (1548)
BoneOhioInvested
$154.01
Value
$225
PnL
+$70.99
Record
71%
1617-670 (2287)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989
Up — $8.5K
arcsine-barrister
Up — $4.8K
THG.
Up — $3.5K
machine-earning
Up — $3.4K
bosona
Up — $2.5K
mo-money
Up — $1.9K
machinelearned
Up — $1.7K
almach
Up — $1.5K
dangerously-skip-permissions
CTRDown — $0
gansinimen
CTRDown — $0