Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Resolved Up. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 82%

Total Value

$21.3K

Combined PnL

$802.3

Smart Money Signal

40 of 49 top traders (82%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%29 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up40 traders

Total Value$21.3K

Total Shares21,265

Combined PnL+$917.79

Down9 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,179

Combined PnL-$115.49

Up — 82%Down — 18%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SU suntori	Upavg 97.1¢	$6.4K	$6.6K	+$191.74	46% 2762-3273 (6035)
arcsine-barrister	Upavg 50¢	$5.0K	$5.0K	+$0	42% 264-364 (628)
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$3.0K	$3.0K	-$7.01	52% 1393-1291 (2684)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$1.1K	$1.1K	+$11.21	98% 3730-79 (3809)
AL almach	Upavg 83.4¢	$686.93	$794.86	+$107.93	51% 1414-1359 (2773)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 74.4¢	$577.08	$706.21	+$131.01	59% 1016-699 (1715)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 51.9¢	$542.29	$485	+$15	54% 3514-2992 (6506)
MO mo-money	Upavg 87.4¢	$412.18	$455.8	+$43.62	50% 1405-1380 (2785)
ST stepahead	Upavg 73.8¢	$322.32	$333.09	+$10.77	55% 4411-3594 (8005)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 87.3¢	$256.92	$274.75	+$17.83	51% 5011-4721 (9732)
BO bosona	Upavg 90.6¢	$823.26	$264.89	+$77.26	51% 4658-4490 (9148)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 85.4¢	$220.29	$211.14	-$9.16	44% 727-924 (1651)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 81.2¢	$193.16	$208.21	+$15.05	46% 778-912 (1690)
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 74.2¢	$171.45	$211.81	+$40.36	52% 861-795 (1656)
0X 0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658	Upavg 74.6¢	$157.75	$159.32	+$1.57	51% 777-760 (1537)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 83¢	$150.6	$139.28	-$11.32	32% 684-1451 (2135)
PB PBot-6	Upavg 48.5¢	$97	$200	+$103	50% 812-804 (1616)
AS asdcaxz	Upavg 80¢	$81.94	$100	+$18.06	50% 4423-4495 (8918)
UN uninformedfloww	Upavg 84¢	$100.8	$120	+$19.2	50% 2267-2294 (4561)
0X 0x3708CEF9f92678DF15A0473e36c45d68A16cdAf9-1780222715877<$100	Upavg 63.3¢	$54.35	$81.5	+$27.15	48% 725-773 (1498)
FairValueMachine<$100	Upavg 79.7¢	$70.36	$84.14	+$13.78	53% 4534-3951 (8485)
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b<$100	Upavg 86.2¢	$58.8	$68.23	+$9.42	59% 947-660 (1607)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 83.9¢	$73.47	$81.26	+$12.79	59% 3698-2531 (6229)
SP spartacray<$100	Upavg 92.3¢	$55.4	$60	+$4.6	58% 946-675 (1621)
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335<$100	Upavg 48¢	$35.28	$50	+$14.72	50% 758-762 (1520)

suntori

Invested

$6,447.43

Value

$6.6K

PnL

+$191.74

Record

46%

2762-3273 (6035)

arcsine-barrister

Invested

$5,000

Value

$5.0K

PnL

+$0

Record

42%

264-364 (628)

0x50f7

Invested

$3,015.02

Value

$3.0K

PnL

-$7.01

Record

52%

1393-1291 (2684)

hoodquant

Invested

$1,109.79

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$11.21

Record

98%

3730-79 (3809)

almach

Invested

$686.93

Value

$794.86

PnL

+$107.93

Record

51%

1414-1359 (2773)

Bonereaper

Invested

$577.08

Value

$706.21

PnL

+$131.01

Record

59%

1016-699 (1715)

ByteBadger92

Invested

$542.29

Value

$485

PnL

+$15

Record

54%

3514-2992 (6506)

mo-money

Invested

$412.18

Value

$455.8

PnL

+$43.62

Record

50%

1405-1380 (2785)

stepahead

Invested

$322.32

Value

$333.09

PnL

+$10.77

Record

55%

4411-3594 (8005)

blue.birds

Invested

$256.92

Value

$274.75

PnL

+$17.83

Record

51%

5011-4721 (9732)

bosona

Invested

$823.26

Value

$264.89

PnL

+$77.26

Record

51%

4658-4490 (9148)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$220.29

Value

$211.14

PnL

-$9.16

Record

44%

727-924 (1651)

GoodFallen

Invested

$193.16

Value

$208.21

PnL

+$15.05

Record

46%

778-912 (1690)

wzbbb

Invested

$171.45

Value

$211.81

PnL

+$40.36

Record

52%

861-795 (1656)

0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658

Invested

$157.75

Value

$159.32

PnL

+$1.57

Record

51%

777-760 (1537)

ply-pm0

Invested

$150.6

Value

$139.28

PnL

-$11.32

Record

32%

684-1451 (2135)

PBot-6

Invested

$97

Value

$200

PnL

+$103

Record

50%

812-804 (1616)

asdcaxz

Invested

$81.94

Value

$100

PnL

+$18.06

Record

50%

4423-4495 (8918)

uninformedfloww

Invested

$100.8

Value

$120

PnL

+$19.2

Record

50%

2267-2294 (4561)

0x3708CEF9f92678DF15A0473e36c45d68A16cdAf9-1780222715877<$100

Invested

$54.35

Value

$81.5

PnL

+$27.15

Record

48%

725-773 (1498)

FairValueMachine<$100

Invested

$70.36

Value

$84.14

PnL

+$13.78

Record

53%

4534-3951 (8485)

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b<$100

Invested

$58.8

Value

$68.23

PnL

+$9.42

Record

59%

947-660 (1607)

aaa221<$100

Invested

$73.47

Value

$81.26

PnL

+$12.79

Record

59%

3698-2531 (6229)

spartacray<$100

Invested

$55.4

Value

$60

PnL

+$4.6

Record

58%

946-675 (1621)

0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335<$100

Invested

$35.28

Value

$50

PnL

+$14.72

Record

50%

758-762 (1520)

Smart Money Signal

40 of 49 top traders (82%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%29 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xff001e32...902e1a

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794686400

Traders in this Market

suntori

Up — $6.6K

+$191.74

arcsine-barrister

Up — $5.0K

+$0

0x50f7

Up — $3.0K

-$7.01

hoodquant

Up — $1.1K

+$11.21

almach

Up — $794.86

+$107.93

Bonereaper

Up — $706.21

+$131.01

ByteBadger92

Up — $485

+$15

mo-money

Up — $455.8

+$43.62

stepahead

Up — $333.09

+$10.77

blue.birds

Up — $274.75

+$17.83

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