Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
52
Down 74%
$9.4K
$-12.6K
Smart Money Signal
39 of 52 top traders (75%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%32 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $8.9K | — | $-8.4K | 54% 383-324 (707) |
 arcsine-barristerCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $5.0K | — | $-4.4K | 40% 230-350 (580) |
TH THG. | Downavg 99¢ | $3.4K | $3.4K | +$33.9 | 99% 808-7 (815) |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $950 | $950 | +$0.7 | 51% 3258-3136 (6394) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.3¢ | $512.91 | $495.83 | +$3.55 | 54% 3373-2881 (6254) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 80.1¢ | $446.84 | $483.42 | +$38.68 | 60% 989-671 (1660) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 72.7¢ | $381.6 | $443.65 | +$62.05 | 46% 968-1122 (2090) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $449.46 | $454 | +$4.54 | 98% 3543-73 (3616) |
BO bosona | Downavg 86.4¢ | $318.45 | $360.2 | +$41.75 | 51% 4599-4456 (9055) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 90¢ | $294.31 | $322.86 | +$28.55 | 46% 1021-1204 (2225) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 84.6¢ | $229.5 | $256.96 | +$29.47 | 52% 833-774 (1607) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 85.6¢ | $267.43 | $249.28 | -$18.14 | 44% 704-899 (1603) |
AL almach | Downavg 93.8¢ | $206.37 | $184.02 | -$22.35 | 50% 1354-1329 (2683) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 93.6¢ | $184.78 | $181.56 | -$3.22 | 50% 4343-4417 (8760) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 95.8¢ | $183.39 | $180.87 | -$2.52 | 50% 1342-1353 (2695) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 76.3¢ | $152.66 | $155 | +$2.34 | 55% 4364-3577 (7941) |
 ohioism | Downavg 90.7¢ | $130.01 | $143.29 | +$13.28 | 47% 1998-2233 (4231) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 88.9¢ | $114.22 | $128.43 | +$14.21 | 50% 2196-2203 (4399) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 85¢ | $114.99 | $120 | +$5.01 | 50% 3041-2991 (6032) |
 G-Penis-Monster | Downavg 89.3¢ | $100.5 | $112.5 | +$12 | 43% 1993-2596 (4589) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 94.9¢ | $85.21 | $89.75 | +$4.54 | 63% 3881-2327 (6208) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $92.49 | $99.99 | +$7.5 | 47% 2083-2336 (4419) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 84.5¢ | $55.97 | $66.24 | +$10.27 | 67% 3285-1642 (4927) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Downavg 79.4¢ | $53.29 | $62.72 | +$9.43 | 31% 652-1435 (2087) |
SP spartacray<$100 | Downavg 89.7¢ | $57.8 | $59.99 | +$2.2 | 58% 917-657 (1574) |
Invested
$8,913
Value
—
PnL
$-8.4K
Record
54%
383-324 (707)
arcsine-barristerCTRInvested
$5,000
Value
—
PnL
$-4.4K
Record
40%
230-350 (580)
Invested
$3,356.1
Value
$3.4K
PnL
+$33.9
Record
99%
808-7 (815)
Invested
$950
Value
$950
PnL
+$0.7
Record
51%
3258-3136 (6394)
Invested
$512.91
Value
$495.83
PnL
+$3.55
Record
54%
3373-2881 (6254)
Invested
$446.84
Value
$483.42
PnL
+$38.68
Record
60%
989-671 (1660)
Invested
$381.6
Value
$443.65
PnL
+$62.05
Record
46%
968-1122 (2090)
Invested
$449.46
Value
$454
PnL
+$4.54
Record
98%
3543-73 (3616)
Invested
$318.45
Value
$360.2
PnL
+$41.75
Record
51%
4599-4456 (9055)
machinelearnedInvested
$294.31
Value
$322.86
PnL
+$28.55
Record
46%
1021-1204 (2225)
Invested
$229.5
Value
$256.96
PnL
+$29.47
Record
52%
833-774 (1607)
Invested
$267.43
Value
$249.28
PnL
-$18.14
Record
44%
704-899 (1603)
Invested
$206.37
Value
$184.02
PnL
-$22.35
Record
50%
1354-1329 (2683)
Invested
$184.78
Value
$181.56
PnL
-$3.22
Record
50%
4343-4417 (8760)
Invested
$183.39
Value
$180.87
PnL
-$2.52
Record
50%
1342-1353 (2695)
Invested
$152.66
Value
$155
PnL
+$2.34
Record
55%
4364-3577 (7941)
ohioismInvested
$130.01
Value
$143.29
PnL
+$13.28
Record
47%
1998-2233 (4231)
Invested
$114.22
Value
$128.43
PnL
+$14.21
Record
50%
2196-2203 (4399)
Invested
$114.99
Value
$120
PnL
+$5.01
Record
50%
3041-2991 (6032)
G-Penis-MonsterInvested
$100.5
Value
$112.5
PnL
+$12
Record
43%
1993-2596 (4589)
Invested
$85.21
Value
$89.75
PnL
+$4.54
Record
63%
3881-2327 (6208)
Invested
$92.49
Value
$99.99
PnL
+$7.5
Record
47%
2083-2336 (4419)
Invested
$55.97
Value
$66.24
PnL
+$10.27
Record
67%
3285-1642 (4927)
Invested
$53.29
Value
$62.72
PnL
+$9.43
Record
31%
652-1435 (2087)
Invested
$57.8
Value
$59.99
PnL
+$2.2
Record
58%
917-657 (1574)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989
CTRUp — $0
arcsine-barrister
CTRUp — $0
THG.
Down — $3.4K
soswald1
Down — $950
ByteBadger92
Down — $495.83
Bonereaper
Down — $483.42
CrouchPredictions
Down — $443.65
hoodquant
Down — $454
bosona
Down — $360.2
machinelearned
Down — $322.86