Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 77% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
53
Down 77%
$16.3K
$-3.5K
Smart Money Signal
41 of 53 top traders (77%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%29 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989 | Downavg 50¢ | $8.6K | $8.2K | +$49.06 | 54% 383-324 (707) |
 arcsine-barristerCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $5.0K | — | $-4.3K | 40% 230-350 (580) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 88.2¢ | $973.77 | $1.1K | +$129.82 | 46% 1021-1204 (2225) |
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $950 | $949.85 | +$0.18 | 51% 3258-3136 (6394) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 73¢ | $779.94 | $710.77 | -$68.92 | 60% 989-671 (1660) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 69.8¢ | $614.21 | $623.93 | +$9.72 | 55% 4364-3577 (7941) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 72.6¢ | $496.07 | $568.14 | +$76.12 | 46% 968-1122 (2090) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.6¢ | $529.06 | $501.13 | +$2 | 54% 3373-2881 (6254) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 80.1¢ | $490.54 | $476.27 | +$11.65 | 51% 4952-4670 (9622) |
BO bosona | Downavg 78.6¢ | $354.69 | $447.51 | +$92.82 | 51% 4599-4456 (9055) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 97.4¢ | $333.93 | $343 | +$9.07 | 98% 3543-73 (3616) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 80.1¢ | $330.78 | $312.32 | -$0.07 | 44% 704-899 (1603) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 95.9¢ | $183.2 | $191 | +$7.8 | 52% 2568-2395 (4963) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 70.2¢ | $187.2 | $157.43 | +$14.16 | 52% 833-774 (1607) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 79.3¢ | $443.94 | $134.89 | +$75.53 | 50% 1342-1353 (2695) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 90.7¢ | $119.66 | $127.15 | +$7.49 | 50% 4343-4417 (8760) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Downavg 88.5¢ | $121.08 | $122.97 | +$1.89 | 51% 817-778 (1595) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335 | Downavg 94.5¢ | $136.75 | $122.86 | -$13.89 | 50% 732-742 (1474) |
GA gansinimen | Downavg 81.8¢ | $102.54 | $111.95 | +$9.41 | 51% 325-317 (642) |
AL almach | Downavg 88.1¢ | $105.9 | $108.99 | +$3.08 | 50% 1354-1329 (2683) |
0X 0x3708CEF9f92678DF15A0473e36c45d68A16cdAf9-1780222715877 | Downavg 95.4¢ | $118.43 | $98.23 | -$20.2 | 48% 699-751 (1450) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 77.5¢ | $93.73 | $100 | +$6.27 | 31% 652-1435 (2087) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 82.9¢ | $110.27 | $90 | -$20.27 | 46% 754-888 (1642) |
0X 0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658<$100 | Downavg 95.3¢ | $91.35 | $94.5 | +$3.15 | 50% 748-742 (1490) |
SP spartacray<$100 | Downavg 78.3¢ | $67.22 | $85.13 | +$17.91 | 58% 917-657 (1574) |
Invested
$8,572
Value
$8.2K
PnL
+$49.06
Record
54%
383-324 (707)
arcsine-barristerCTRInvested
$5,000
Value
—
PnL
$-4.3K
Record
40%
230-350 (580)
machinelearnedInvested
$973.77
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$129.82
Record
46%
1021-1204 (2225)
Invested
$950
Value
$949.85
PnL
+$0.18
Record
51%
3258-3136 (6394)
Invested
$779.94
Value
$710.77
PnL
-$68.92
Record
60%
989-671 (1660)
Invested
$614.21
Value
$623.93
PnL
+$9.72
Record
55%
4364-3577 (7941)
Invested
$496.07
Value
$568.14
PnL
+$76.12
Record
46%
968-1122 (2090)
Invested
$529.06
Value
$501.13
PnL
+$2
Record
54%
3373-2881 (6254)
Invested
$490.54
Value
$476.27
PnL
+$11.65
Record
51%
4952-4670 (9622)
Invested
$354.69
Value
$447.51
PnL
+$92.82
Record
51%
4599-4456 (9055)
Invested
$333.93
Value
$343
PnL
+$9.07
Record
98%
3543-73 (3616)
Invested
$330.78
Value
$312.32
PnL
-$0.07
Record
44%
704-899 (1603)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$183.2
Value
$191
PnL
+$7.8
Record
52%
2568-2395 (4963)
Invested
$187.2
Value
$157.43
PnL
+$14.16
Record
52%
833-774 (1607)
Invested
$443.94
Value
$134.89
PnL
+$75.53
Record
50%
1342-1353 (2695)
Invested
$119.66
Value
$127.15
PnL
+$7.49
Record
50%
4343-4417 (8760)
Invested
$121.08
Value
$122.97
PnL
+$1.89
Record
51%
817-778 (1595)
Invested
$136.75
Value
$122.86
PnL
-$13.89
Record
50%
732-742 (1474)
Invested
$102.54
Value
$111.95
PnL
+$9.41
Record
51%
325-317 (642)
Invested
$105.9
Value
$108.99
PnL
+$3.08
Record
50%
1354-1329 (2683)
Invested
$118.43
Value
$98.23
PnL
-$20.2
Record
48%
699-751 (1450)
Invested
$93.73
Value
$100
PnL
+$6.27
Record
31%
652-1435 (2087)
Invested
$110.27
Value
$90
PnL
-$20.27
Record
46%
754-888 (1642)
Invested
$91.35
Value
$94.5
PnL
+$3.15
Record
50%
748-742 (1490)
Invested
$67.22
Value
$85.13
PnL
+$17.91
Record
58%
917-657 (1574)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989
Down — $8.2K
arcsine-barrister
CTRUp — $0
machinelearned
Down — $1.1K
soswald1
Down — $949.85
Bonereaper
Down — $710.77
stepahead
Down — $623.93
CrouchPredictions
Down — $568.14
ByteBadger92
Down — $501.13
blue.birds
Down — $476.27
bosona
Down — $447.51