Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 80%

Total Value

$28.8K

Combined PnL

$480.25

Smart Money Signal

54 of 72 top traders (75%)18 hold an outcome priced under 50%44 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up54 traders

Total Value$28.8K

Total Shares28,764

Combined PnL+$1.3K

Down18 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,677

Combined PnL-$829.7

Up — 75%Down — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989	Upavg 50¢	$8.8K	$8.4K	-$0.51	54% 383-324 (707)
arcsine-barrister	Upavg 50¢	$5.0K	$5.0K	+$62.25	40% 230-350 (580)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98.2¢	$1.9K	$1.9K	+$35.66	98% 3543-73 (3616)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710	Upavg 96.6¢	$1.8K	$1.8K	+$62.21	42% 1609-2196 (3805)
BO bosona	Upavg 92.6¢	$1.4K	$1.5K	+$23.06	51% 4599-4456 (9055)
AL almach	Upavg 91.5¢	$1.4K	$1.4K	+$102.26	50% 1354-1329 (2683)
MO mo-money	Upavg 93.2¢	$1.4K	$1.3K	+$18.67	50% 1342-1353 (2695)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 84.7¢	$782.57	$753.58	-$28.99	46% 968-1122 (2090)
machinelearned	Upavg 91.6¢	$708.42	$680.51	-$27.9	46% 1021-1204 (2225)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 67.3¢	$539.15	$590.82	+$51.68	60% 989-671 (1660)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 79¢	$542.3	$553.63	+$38.48	51% 4952-4670 (9622)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 52.4¢	$549.43	$505	-$4.2	54% 3373-2881 (6254)
MayorMamdani	Upavg 97.1¢	$479.68	$493.8	+$14.12	52% 2568-2395 (4963)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 83.4¢	$381.15	$380	-$1.15	52% 2153-1992 (4145)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 89.3¢	$353.26	$350	-$3.26	31% 652-1435 (2087)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 79.7¢	$384.49	$324.3	-$60.19	44% 704-899 (1603)
ST stepahead	Upavg 82¢	$324.14	$321.83	-$2.3	55% 4364-3577 (7941)
AS asdcaxz	Upavg 84.7¢	$322.25	$306.82	-$15.43	50% 4343-4417 (8760)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 63.9¢	$255.56	$284.04	+$49.17	50% 3041-2991 (6032)
G-Penis-Monster	Upavg 75.1¢	$158.77	$210	+$51.23	43% 1993-2596 (4589)
OhioRiskManagement	Upavg 95.3¢	$182.99	$191.99	+$9	38% 1364-2226 (3590)
HS Hsilverbasher	Upavg 93¢	$129.56	$139.33	+$9.77	50% 331-330 (661)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025	Upavg 61¢	$81.74	$115.81	+$34.06	47% 2083-2336 (4419)
GO GoodFallenCTR	Downavg 44.2¢	$200.87	—	-$200.87	46% 754-888 (1642)
BoneOhio	Upavg 93¢	$93.95	$101	+$7.05	71% 1551-630 (2181)

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

Invested

$8,830

Value

$8.4K

PnL

-$0.51

Record

54%

383-324 (707)

arcsine-barrister

Invested

$5,000

Value

$5.0K

PnL

+$62.25

Record

40%

230-350 (580)

hoodquant

Invested

$1,911.33

Value

$1.9K

PnL

+$35.66

Record

98%

3543-73 (3616)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Invested

$1,762.79

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$62.21

Record

42%

1609-2196 (3805)

bosona

Invested

$1,429.4

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$23.06

Record

51%

4599-4456 (9055)

almach

Invested

$1,350.29

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$102.26

Record

50%

1354-1329 (2683)

mo-money

Invested

$1,434.87

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$18.67

Record

50%

1342-1353 (2695)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$782.57

Value

$753.58

PnL

-$28.99

Record

46%

968-1122 (2090)

machinelearned

Invested

$708.42

Value

$680.51

PnL

-$27.9

Record

46%

1021-1204 (2225)

Bonereaper

Invested

$539.15

Value

$590.82

PnL

+$51.68

Record

60%

989-671 (1660)

blue.birds

Invested

$542.3

Value

$553.63

PnL

+$38.48

Record

51%

4952-4670 (9622)

ByteBadger92

Invested

$549.43

Value

$505

PnL

-$4.2

Record

54%

3373-2881 (6254)

MayorMamdani

Invested

$479.68

Value

$493.8

PnL

+$14.12

Record

52%

2568-2395 (4963)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$381.15

Value

$380

PnL

-$1.15

Record

52%

2153-1992 (4145)

ply-pm0

Invested

$353.26

Value

$350

PnL

-$3.26

Record

31%

652-1435 (2087)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$384.49

Value

$324.3

PnL

-$60.19

Record

44%

704-899 (1603)

stepahead

Invested

$324.14

Value

$321.83

PnL

-$2.3

Record

55%

4364-3577 (7941)

asdcaxz

Invested

$322.25

Value

$306.82

PnL

-$15.43

Record

50%

4343-4417 (8760)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$255.56

Value

$284.04

PnL

+$49.17

Record

50%

3041-2991 (6032)

G-Penis-Monster

Invested

$158.77

Value

$210

PnL

+$51.23

Record

43%

1993-2596 (4589)

OhioRiskManagement

Invested

$182.99

Value

$191.99

PnL

+$9

Record

38%

1364-2226 (3590)

Hsilverbasher

Invested

$129.56

Value

$139.33

PnL

+$9.77

Record

50%

331-330 (661)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Invested

$81.74

Value

$115.81

PnL

+$34.06

Record

47%

2083-2336 (4419)

GoodFallenCTR

Down

Invested

$200.87

Value

—

PnL

-$200.87

Record

46%

754-888 (1642)

BoneOhio

Invested

$93.95

Value

$101

PnL

+$7.05

Record

71%

1551-630 (2181)

Smart Money Signal

54 of 72 top traders (75%)18 hold an outcome priced under 50%44 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x2e8a72b8...142388

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794670800

Traders in this Market

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

Up — $8.4K

-$0.51

arcsine-barrister

Up — $5.0K

+$62.25

hoodquant

Up — $1.9K

+$35.66

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $1.8K

+$62.21

bosona

Up — $1.5K

+$23.06

almach

Up — $1.4K

+$102.26

mo-money

Up — $1.3K

+$18.67

CrouchPredictions

Up — $753.58

-$28.99

machinelearned

Up — $680.51

-$27.9

Bonereaper

Up — $590.82

+$51.68

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