Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 73%

Total Value

$17.2K

Combined PnL

$-7.1K

Smart Money Signal

40 of 56 top traders (71%)16 hold an outcome priced under 50%27 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up40 traders

Total Value$17.2K

Total Shares17,215

Combined PnL+$243.35

Down16 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares10,583

Combined PnL$-7.3K

Up — 71%Down — 29%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989	Upavg 50¢	$8.8K	$8.4K	+$71.02	55% 378-311 (689)
arcsine-barristerCTR	Downavg 50¢	$5.0K	—	$-4.6K	40% 220-334 (554)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 77.4¢	$1.3K	$1.2K	-$154.13	46% 948-1109 (2057)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 62.8¢	$1.1K	$1.0K	-$122.32	60% 975-657 (1632)
BO bosona	Upavg 73.3¢	$690.94	$942.34	+$251.4	51% 4575-4432 (9007)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 60.9¢	$665.95	$619.95	-$18.7	44% 692-885 (1577)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 58.7¢	$516.3	$546.71	+$123.91	52% 2111-1963 (4074)
ST stepahead	Upavg 75.2¢	$501.43	$524.84	+$23.42	55% 4342-3564 (7906)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 52.7¢	$654.34	$494.24	+$1.53	54% 3302-2813 (6115)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 65.8¢	$427.06	$431.4	+$9.05	46% 738-878 (1616)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 66.9¢	$360.36	$403.62	+$43.26	52% 4918-4624 (9542)
MO mo-money	Upavg 89.8¢	$442.17	$359.85	-$82.32	49% 1308-1342 (2650)
AS asdcaxz	Upavg 80¢	$388.41	$271.79	-$48.37	50% 4298-4377 (8675)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 88.4¢	$292.81	$262.29	-$30.52	31% 639-1422 (2061)
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b	Upavg 74¢	$166.79	$201.81	+$35.01	59% 912-621 (1533)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR	Downavg 49.8¢	$235.56	—	-$235.56	50% 1823-1791 (3614)
FairValueMachine	Upavg 60.9¢	$144.01	$165.78	+$41.68	53% 4493-3921 (8414)
SP spartacray	Upavg 71.8¢	$119.15	$122.39	+$3.24	59% 909-639 (1548)
WZ wzbbbCTR	Downavg 45.1¢	$168.16	—	-$167.26	52% 819-763 (1582)
OhioAI	Upavg 66.1¢	$110.39	$104	-$6.4	50% 712-704 (1416)
x-MoneyForWhiskas	Upavg 69¢	$116.81	$100.15	-$16.66	40% 710-1080 (1790)
EZ EZTRADENL2	Upavg 81.5¢	$102.55	$98.57	-$3.98	51% 800-760 (1560)
PA Papeasy	Upavg 85.3¢	$116.7	$93.13	-$23.57	50% 3802-3750 (7552)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100	Upavg 79.3¢	$98.37	$93.09	-$5.28	59% 924-636 (1560)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 83.4¢	$85.47	$76.83	-$8.64	67% 3226-1609 (4835)

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

Invested

$8,795

Value

$8.4K

PnL

+$71.02

Record

55%

378-311 (689)

arcsine-barristerCTR

Down

Invested

$5,000

Value

—

PnL

$-4.6K

Record

40%

220-334 (554)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$1,338.07

Value

$1.2K

PnL

-$154.13

Record

46%

948-1109 (2057)

Bonereaper

Invested

$1,129.76

Value

$1.0K

PnL

-$122.32

Record

60%

975-657 (1632)

bosona

Invested

$690.94

Value

$942.34

PnL

+$251.4

Record

51%

4575-4432 (9007)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$665.95

Value

$619.95

PnL

-$18.7

Record

44%

692-885 (1577)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$516.3

Value

$546.71

PnL

+$123.91

Record

52%

2111-1963 (4074)

stepahead

Invested

$501.43

Value

$524.84

PnL

+$23.42

Record

55%

4342-3564 (7906)

ByteBadger92

Invested

$654.34

Value

$494.24

PnL

+$1.53

Record

54%

3302-2813 (6115)

GoodFallen

Invested

$427.06

Value

$431.4

PnL

+$9.05

Record

46%

738-878 (1616)

blue.birds

Invested

$360.36

Value

$403.62

PnL

+$43.26

Record

52%

4918-4624 (9542)

mo-money

Invested

$442.17

Value

$359.85

PnL

-$82.32

Record

49%

1308-1342 (2650)

asdcaxz

Invested

$388.41

Value

$271.79

PnL

-$48.37

Record

50%

4298-4377 (8675)

ply-pm0

Invested

$292.81

Value

$262.29

PnL

-$30.52

Record

31%

639-1422 (2061)

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b

Invested

$166.79

Value

$201.81

PnL

+$35.01

Record

59%

912-621 (1533)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR

Down

Invested

$235.56

Value

—

PnL

-$235.56

Record

50%

1823-1791 (3614)

FairValueMachine

Invested

$144.01

Value

$165.78

PnL

+$41.68

Record

53%

4493-3921 (8414)

spartacray

Invested

$119.15

Value

$122.39

PnL

+$3.24

Record

59%

909-639 (1548)

wzbbbCTR

Down

Invested

$168.16

Value

—

PnL

-$167.26

Record

52%

819-763 (1582)

OhioAI

Invested

$110.39

Value

$104

PnL

-$6.4

Record

50%

712-704 (1416)

x-MoneyForWhiskas

Invested

$116.81

Value

$100.15

PnL

-$16.66

Record

40%

710-1080 (1790)

EZTRADENL2

Invested

$102.55

Value

$98.57

PnL

-$3.98

Record

51%

800-760 (1560)

Papeasy

Invested

$116.7

Value

$93.13

PnL

-$23.57

Record

50%

3802-3750 (7552)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100

Invested

$98.37

Value

$93.09

PnL

-$5.28

Record

59%

924-636 (1560)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$85.47

Value

$76.83

PnL

-$8.64

Record

67%

3226-1609 (4835)

Smart Money Signal

40 of 56 top traders (71%)16 hold an outcome priced under 50%27 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x8578e4a1...179a8b

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794667200

Traders in this Market

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

Up — $8.4K

+$71.02

arcsine-barrister

CTR

Down — $0

$-4.6K

CrouchPredictions

Up — $1.2K

-$154.13

Bonereaper

Up — $1.0K

-$122.32

bosona

Up — $942.34

+$251.4

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $619.95

-$18.7

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $546.71

+$123.91

stepahead

Up — $524.84

+$23.42

ByteBadger92

Up — $494.24

+$1.53

GoodFallen

Up — $431.4

+$9.05

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