Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Resolved Up. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 70%

Total Value

$18.3K

Combined PnL

$-5.3K

Smart Money Signal

37 of 53 top traders (70%)16 hold an outcome priced under 50%27 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up37 traders

Total Value$18.3K

Total Shares18,303

Combined PnL+$339.06

Down16 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares7,911

Combined PnL$-5.7K

Up — 70%Down — 30%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989	Upavg 50¢	$8.6K	$8.1K	-$29.23	55% 378-311 (689)
arcsine-barristerCTR	Downavg 50¢	$5.0K	—	$-4.8K	40% 220-334 (554)
BO bosona	Upavg 81.1¢	$1.2K	$1.4K	+$214.24	51% 4575-4432 (9007)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 86.1¢	$1.2K	$1.1K	-$77.09	46% 948-1109 (2057)
MO mo-money	Upavg 90.6¢	$807.33	$887.37	+$80.04	49% 1308-1342 (2650)
AL almach	Upavg 89.7¢	$886.8	$910.59	+$23.79	50% 1325-1312 (2637)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 67.7¢	$864.64	$810.43	-$54.2	60% 975-657 (1632)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 70.1¢	$655.39	$709.26	+$53.87	52% 4918-4624 (9542)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 62.3¢	$618	$705.95	+$87.95	44% 692-885 (1577)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 51¢	$554.67	$499.69	-$0.59	54% 3302-2813 (6115)
ST stepahead	Upavg 68.9¢	$398.09	$364.17	-$33.93	55% 4342-3564 (7906)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 61.2¢	$290.2	$326.41	+$36.21	46% 738-878 (1616)
AS asdcaxz	Upavg 69.4¢	$386.12	$321.57	-$0.54	50% 4298-4377 (8675)
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 67.5¢	$232.81	$247.75	+$28.94	52% 819-763 (1582)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR	Downavg 47.2¢	$188.2	—	-$188.2	50% 1823-1791 (3614)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 46.9¢	$325.31	$200	+$40.06	52% 2111-1963 (4074)
machinelearned	Upavg 93¢	$273.58	$200	-$73.58	46% 1010-1189 (2199)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 78.1¢	$252.95	$151.41	-$17.5	31% 639-1422 (2061)
FairValueMachine	Upavg 59.2¢	$120.9	$117.88	+$0.47	53% 4493-3921 (8414)
EZ EZTRADENL2	Upavg 77.1¢	$116.64	$115.93	-$0.71	51% 800-760 (1560)
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b	Upavg 75¢	$100.38	$105.99	+$9.97	59% 912-621 (1533)
DR drfc4eybh7i8	Upavg 85.7¢	$130.06	$108.4	+$3.32	63% 3817-2281 (6098)
SP spartacray	Upavg 76.3¢	$102.47	$97	-$5.47	59% 909-639 (1548)
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335<$100	Upavg 82.4¢	$86.04	$95.25	+$9.21	50% 719-730 (1449)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 78.1¢	$69.93	$77.86	+$10.5	67% 3226-1609 (4835)

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

Invested

$8,594

Value

$8.1K

PnL

-$29.23

Record

55%

378-311 (689)

arcsine-barristerCTR

Down

Invested

$5,000

Value

—

PnL

$-4.8K

Record

40%

220-334 (554)

bosona

Invested

$1,201.33

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$214.24

Record

51%

4575-4432 (9007)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$1,210.73

Value

$1.1K

PnL

-$77.09

Record

46%

948-1109 (2057)

mo-money

Invested

$807.33

Value

$887.37

PnL

+$80.04

Record

49%

1308-1342 (2650)

almach

Invested

$886.8

Value

$910.59

PnL

+$23.79

Record

50%

1325-1312 (2637)

Bonereaper

Invested

$864.64

Value

$810.43

PnL

-$54.2

Record

60%

975-657 (1632)

blue.birds

Invested

$655.39

Value

$709.26

PnL

+$53.87

Record

52%

4918-4624 (9542)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$618

Value

$705.95

PnL

+$87.95

Record

44%

692-885 (1577)

ByteBadger92

Invested

$554.67

Value

$499.69

PnL

-$0.59

Record

54%

3302-2813 (6115)

stepahead

Invested

$398.09

Value

$364.17

PnL

-$33.93

Record

55%

4342-3564 (7906)

GoodFallen

Invested

$290.2

Value

$326.41

PnL

+$36.21

Record

46%

738-878 (1616)

asdcaxz

Invested

$386.12

Value

$321.57

PnL

-$0.54

Record

50%

4298-4377 (8675)

wzbbb

Invested

$232.81

Value

$247.75

PnL

+$28.94

Record

52%

819-763 (1582)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR

Down

Invested

$188.2

Value

—

PnL

-$188.2

Record

50%

1823-1791 (3614)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$325.31

Value

$200

PnL

+$40.06

Record

52%

2111-1963 (4074)

machinelearned

Invested

$273.58

Value

$200

PnL

-$73.58

Record

46%

1010-1189 (2199)

ply-pm0

Invested

$252.95

Value

$151.41

PnL

-$17.5

Record

31%

639-1422 (2061)

FairValueMachine

Invested

$120.9

Value

$117.88

PnL

+$0.47

Record

53%

4493-3921 (8414)

EZTRADENL2

Invested

$116.64

Value

$115.93

PnL

-$0.71

Record

51%

800-760 (1560)

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b

Invested

$100.38

Value

$105.99

PnL

+$9.97

Record

59%

912-621 (1533)

drfc4eybh7i8

Invested

$130.06

Value

$108.4

PnL

+$3.32

Record

63%

3817-2281 (6098)

spartacray

Invested

$102.47

Value

$97

PnL

-$5.47

Record

59%

909-639 (1548)

0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335<$100

Invested

$86.04

Value

$95.25

PnL

+$9.21

Record

50%

719-730 (1449)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$69.93

Value

$77.86

PnL

+$10.5

Record

67%

3226-1609 (4835)

Smart Money Signal

37 of 53 top traders (70%)16 hold an outcome priced under 50%27 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x43b6c123...efbb69

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794665700

Traders in this Market

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

Up — $8.1K

-$29.23

arcsine-barrister

CTR

Down — $0

$-4.8K

bosona

Up — $1.4K

+$214.24

CrouchPredictions

Up — $1.1K

-$77.09

mo-money

Up — $887.37

+$80.04

almach

Up — $910.59

+$23.79

Bonereaper

Up — $810.43

-$54.2

blue.birds

Up — $709.26

+$53.87

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $705.95

+$87.95

ByteBadger92

Up — $499.69

-$0.59

Trade on Polymarket