Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Resolved Up. 66% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 66%

Total Value

$5.5K

Combined PnL

$-4.6K

Smart Money Signal

31 of 47 top traders (66%)16 hold an outcome priced under 50%33 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down16 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares5,585

Combined PnL$-5.1K

Up31 traders

Total Value$5.5K

Total Shares5,509

Combined PnL+$486.12

Down — 34%Up — 66%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
arcsine-barristerCTR	Downavg 50¢	$5.0K	—	$-4.9K	40% 210-321 (531)
SO soswald1	Upavg 50¢	$950	$950	+$3.69	51% 3148-3049 (6197)
machinelearned	Upavg 80.5¢	$509.66	$633.09	+$123.44	46% 996-1180 (2176)
AL almach	Upavg 94.9¢	$556.82	$580.73	+$23.91	50% 1303-1301 (2604)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 51.4¢	$524.57	$502.28	-$2.6	54% 3248-2750 (5998)
AS asdcaxz	Upavg 78.4¢	$279.69	$343.44	+$63.75	49% 4251-4347 (8598)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 80.2¢	$274.16	$313.31	+$39.46	60% 963-645 (1608)
BO bosona	Upavg 58¢	$290	$500	+$210	51% 4556-4418 (8974)
MO mo-money	Upavg 95¢	$249.95	$257.68	+$7.73	49% 1289-1328 (2617)
ST stepahead	Upavg 61.4¢	$210.47	$236.03	+$25.56	55% 4325-3551 (7876)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 69.6¢	$207.19	$213.6	+$20.81	52% 4886-4583 (9469)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 95¢	$273.73	$159	-$114.73	46% 936-1091 (2027)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 61¢	$122.67	$104.72	-$17.94	44% 682-872 (1554)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c	Upavg 72.2¢	$88.08	$108.72	+$20.64	59% 914-623 (1537)
PL ply-pm0<$100	Upavg 62.4¢	$90.26	$95.92	+$5.66	31% 629-1409 (2038)
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b<$100	Upavg 81¢	$62.27	$70.93	+$8.66	60% 902-608 (1510)
SP spartacray<$100	Upavg 80.7¢	$53.63	$60	+$6.37	59% 897-628 (1525)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 77.5¢	$41.33	$53.33	+$12	67% 3205-1601 (4806)
FairValueMachine<$100	Upavg 90¢	$45	$50	+$5	53% 4483-3909 (8392)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 82.3¢	$28.49	$34.61	+$6.11	63% 3794-2264 (6058)
LI Little-bigCTR<$100	Downavg 48.3¢	$32.33	—	-$32.33	51% 909-867 (1776)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 49¢	$32.16	—	-$32.16	50% 1794-1769 (3563)
0X 0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658<$100	Upavg 74.4¢	$27.29	$34.78	+$7.5	50% 727-717 (1444)
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100	Upavg 94¢	$27.2	$25	-$2.2	52% 793-743 (1536)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 64¢	$16	$25	+$9	47% 1960-2212 (4172)

arcsine-barristerCTR

Down

Invested

$5,000

Value

—

PnL

$-4.9K

Record

40%

210-321 (531)

soswald1

Invested

$950

Value

$950

PnL

+$3.69

Record

51%

3148-3049 (6197)

machinelearned

Invested

$509.66

Value

$633.09

PnL

+$123.44

Record

46%

996-1180 (2176)

almach

Invested

$556.82

Value

$580.73

PnL

+$23.91

Record

50%

1303-1301 (2604)

ByteBadger92

Invested

$524.57

Value

$502.28

PnL

-$2.6

Record

54%

3248-2750 (5998)

asdcaxz

Invested

$279.69

Value

$343.44

PnL

+$63.75

Record

49%

4251-4347 (8598)

Bonereaper

Invested

$274.16

Value

$313.31

PnL

+$39.46

Record

60%

963-645 (1608)

bosona

Invested

$290

Value

$500

PnL

+$210

Record

51%

4556-4418 (8974)

mo-money

Invested

$249.95

Value

$257.68

PnL

+$7.73

Record

49%

1289-1328 (2617)

stepahead

Invested

$210.47

Value

$236.03

PnL

+$25.56

Record

55%

4325-3551 (7876)

blue.birds

Invested

$207.19

Value

$213.6

PnL

+$20.81

Record

52%

4886-4583 (9469)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$273.73

Value

$159

PnL

-$114.73

Record

46%

936-1091 (2027)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$122.67

Value

$104.72

PnL

-$17.94

Record

44%

682-872 (1554)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Invested

$88.08

Value

$108.72

PnL

+$20.64

Record

59%

914-623 (1537)

ply-pm0<$100

Invested

$90.26

Value

$95.92

PnL

+$5.66

Record

31%

629-1409 (2038)

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b<$100

Invested

$62.27

Value

$70.93

PnL

+$8.66

Record

60%

902-608 (1510)

spartacray<$100

Invested

$53.63

Value

$60

PnL

+$6.37

Record

59%

897-628 (1525)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$41.33

Value

$53.33

PnL

+$12

Record

67%

3205-1601 (4806)

FairValueMachine<$100

Invested

$45

Value

$50

PnL

+$5

Record

53%

4483-3909 (8392)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$28.49

Value

$34.61

PnL

+$6.11

Record

63%

3794-2264 (6058)

Little-bigCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$32.33

Value

—

PnL

-$32.33

Record

51%

909-867 (1776)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$32.16

Value

—

PnL

-$32.16

Record

50%

1794-1769 (3563)

0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658<$100

Invested

$27.29

Value

$34.78

PnL

+$7.5

Record

50%

727-717 (1444)

EZTRADENL2<$100

Invested

$27.2

Value

$25

PnL

-$2.2

Record

52%

793-743 (1536)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$16

Value

$25

PnL

+$9

Record

47%

1960-2212 (4172)

Smart Money Signal

31 of 47 top traders (66%)16 hold an outcome priced under 50%33 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x96eb566c...ed2f15

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794659400

Traders in this Market

arcsine-barrister

CTR

Down — $0

$-4.9K

soswald1

Up — $950

+$3.69

machinelearned

Up — $633.09

+$123.44

almach

Up — $580.73

+$23.91

ByteBadger92

Up — $502.28

-$2.6

asdcaxz

Up — $343.44

+$63.75

Bonereaper

Up — $313.31

+$39.46

bosona

Up — $500

+$210

mo-money

Up — $257.68

+$7.73

stepahead

Up — $236.03

+$25.56

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