Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Resolved Up. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 82%

Total Value

$25.5K

Combined PnL

$213.69

Smart Money Signal

40 of 49 top traders (82%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%25 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up40 traders

Total Value$25.5K

Total Shares25,451

Combined PnL+$279.47

Down9 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares933

Combined PnL-$65.78

Up — 82%Down — 18%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989	Upavg 50¢	$8.8K	$8.7K	+$16.75	55% 358-290 (648)
arcsine-barrister	Upavg 50¢	$5.0K	$5.0K	+$84.88	39% 191-303 (494)
TH THG.	Upavg 99¢	$3.2K	$3.3K	+$32.79	99% 771-7 (778)
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$2.0K	$2.0K	+$2.04	51% 1285-1221 (2506)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 99¢	$871.64	$880.44	+$8.8	50% 1731-1732 (3463)
BO bosona	Upavg 65.2¢	$398.85	$611.44	+$212.59	51% 4524-4391 (8915)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 54.4¢	$577.42	$501.56	+$4.83	55% 3173-2646 (5819)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 73.7¢	$381.13	$459.16	+$78.02	60% 940-631 (1571)
machinelearned	Upavg 82.4¢	$337.05	$402.75	+$65.71	46% 976-1163 (2139)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 70.5¢	$293.9	$353.15	+$59.25	44% 666-851 (1517)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 86.7¢	$363.67	$291.52	-$72.15	47% 921-1056 (1977)
GA gansinimen	Upavg 86¢	$390	$299.99	-$90	51% 316-302 (618)
ST stepahead	Upavg 59.3¢	$241.63	$248.1	+$6.47	55% 4299-3527 (7826)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 77.1¢	$322.72	$220	-$42.72	52% 2019-1897 (3916)
EZ EZTRADENL2	Upavg 92.5¢	$207.76	$205.23	-$2.03	52% 772-727 (1499)
MO mo-money	Upavg 94¢	$237.83	$183.99	-$53.84	50% 1265-1289 (2554)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 65.8¢	$149.22	$172.59	+$23.37	46% 711-845 (1556)
AL almach	Upavg 98.7¢	$728.7	$164.24	-$212.79	50% 1276-1266 (2542)
x-MoneyForWhiskas	Upavg 63.4¢	$106.78	$168.33	+$61.55	39% 683-1054 (1737)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Upavg 90.8¢	$138.05	$143.72	+$5.67	53% 781-693 (1474)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 88.7¢	$166.8	$142.2	+$6.53	52% 4832-4520 (9352)
0X 0x280E296e5f14091642208Ac24614826D9902fbd8-1780260958670	Upavg 56.5¢	$81.58	$119.87	+$38.29	46% 631-754 (1385)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98¢	$104.75	$106.89	+$2.14	98% 3320-70 (3390)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100	Upavg 97.5¢	$87.12	$88	+$0.88	55% 814-664 (1478)
PA Papeasy<$100	Upavg 56¢	$44.8	$75	+$30.2	50% 3769-3724 (7493)

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

Invested

$8,828

Value

$8.7K

PnL

+$16.75

Record

55%

358-290 (648)

arcsine-barrister

Invested

$5,000

Value

$5.0K

PnL

+$84.88

Record

39%

191-303 (494)

THG.

Invested

$3,246.21

Value

$3.3K

PnL

+$32.79

Record

99%

771-7 (778)

0x50f7

Invested

$2,041.49

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$2.04

Record

51%

1285-1221 (2506)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$871.64

Value

$880.44

PnL

+$8.8

Record

50%

1731-1732 (3463)

bosona

Invested

$398.85

Value

$611.44

PnL

+$212.59

Record

51%

4524-4391 (8915)

ByteBadger92

Invested

$577.42

Value

$501.56

PnL

+$4.83

Record

55%

3173-2646 (5819)

Bonereaper

Invested

$381.13

Value

$459.16

PnL

+$78.02

Record

60%

940-631 (1571)

machinelearned

Invested

$337.05

Value

$402.75

PnL

+$65.71

Record

46%

976-1163 (2139)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$293.9

Value

$353.15

PnL

+$59.25

Record

44%

666-851 (1517)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$363.67

Value

$291.52

PnL

-$72.15

Record

47%

921-1056 (1977)

gansinimen

Invested

$390

Value

$299.99

PnL

-$90

Record

51%

316-302 (618)

stepahead

Invested

$241.63

Value

$248.1

PnL

+$6.47

Record

55%

4299-3527 (7826)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$322.72

Value

$220

PnL

-$42.72

Record

52%

2019-1897 (3916)

EZTRADENL2

Invested

$207.76

Value

$205.23

PnL

-$2.03

Record

52%

772-727 (1499)

mo-money

Invested

$237.83

Value

$183.99

PnL

-$53.84

Record

50%

1265-1289 (2554)

GoodFallen

Invested

$149.22

Value

$172.59

PnL

+$23.37

Record

46%

711-845 (1556)

almach

Invested

$728.7

Value

$164.24

PnL

-$212.79

Record

50%

1276-1266 (2542)

x-MoneyForWhiskas

Invested

$106.78

Value

$168.33

PnL

+$61.55

Record

39%

683-1054 (1737)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Invested

$138.05

Value

$143.72

PnL

+$5.67

Record

53%

781-693 (1474)

blue.birds

Invested

$166.8

Value

$142.2

PnL

+$6.53

Record

52%

4832-4520 (9352)

0x280E296e5f14091642208Ac24614826D9902fbd8-1780260958670

Invested

$81.58

Value

$119.87

PnL

+$38.29

Record

46%

631-754 (1385)

hoodquant

Invested

$104.75

Value

$106.89

PnL

+$2.14

Record

98%

3320-70 (3390)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100

Invested

$87.12

Value

$88

PnL

+$0.88

Record

55%

814-664 (1478)

Papeasy<$100

Invested

$44.8

Value

$75

PnL

+$30.2

Record

50%

3769-3724 (7493)

Smart Money Signal

40 of 49 top traders (82%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%25 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x5350ef6f...aa01a6

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794647400

Traders in this Market

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

Up — $8.7K

+$16.75

arcsine-barrister

Up — $5.0K

+$84.88

THG.

Up — $3.3K

+$32.79

0x50f7

Up — $2.0K

+$2.04

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $880.44

+$8.8

bosona

Up — $611.44

+$212.59

ByteBadger92

Up — $501.56

+$4.83

Bonereaper

Up — $459.16

+$78.02

machinelearned

Up — $402.75

+$65.71

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $353.15

+$59.25

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