Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Resolved Up. 77% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 79%

Total Value

$23.2K

Combined PnL

$544.18

Smart Money Signal

51 of 66 top traders (77%)15 hold an outcome priced under 50%46 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up51 traders

Total Value$23.2K

Total Shares23,179

Combined PnL+$800.36

Down15 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,014

Combined PnL-$256.17

Up — 77%Down — 23%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989	Upavg 50¢	$8.9K	$8.8K	+$19.85	56% 349-275 (624)
arcsine-barrister	Upavg 50¢	$5.0K	$5.0K	+$16.25	38% 179-290 (469)
BoneOhio	Upavg 99¢	$2.5K	$2.6K	+$25.74	71% 1442-587 (2029)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98.7¢	$1.3K	$1.3K	+$16.95	98% 3242-69 (3311)
machinelearned	Upavg 79.5¢	$523.22	$638.23	+$115.01	46% 966-1148 (2114)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 57.6¢	$432.17	$587.25	+$155.08	60% 928-618 (1546)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 57.2¢	$619.29	$491.79	-$1.98	55% 3113-2587 (5700)
AL almach	Upavg 81¢	$302.75	$373.71	+$70.96	50% 1247-1249 (2496)
ST stepahead	Upavg 63.8¢	$333.81	$334.94	+$1.13	55% 4277-3516 (7793)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 68.8¢	$407.16	$313.76	-$20.4	51% 1978-1872 (3850)
MO mo-money	Upavg 86.6¢	$224.52	$259.17	+$34.64	49% 1236-1272 (2508)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 61.8¢	$257.58	$246.08	-$11.5	46% 902-1042 (1944)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 65¢	$249.71	$224.64	-$25.07	44% 654-838 (1492)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 61.2¢	$208.28	$215.72	+$7.44	46% 698-834 (1532)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Upavg 63.5¢	$146.74	$176	+$29.26	55% 798-656 (1454)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 79.1¢	$131.77	$159.18	+$27.4	52% 4799-4479 (9278)
0X 0x855e484854D1411B959dDffddA11A698566C5189-1780249997359	Upavg 55.3¢	$105.9	$136.88	+$30.97	50% 679-691 (1370)
OhioRiskManagement	Upavg 98¢	$130.67	$132	+$1.33	38% 1261-2069 (3330)
MayorMamdani	Upavg 99.2¢	$109.07	$110	+$0.93	52% 2416-2220 (4636)
0X 0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894<$100	Upavg 52.9¢	$46.49	$79.71	+$33.22	51% 685-668 (1353)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Upavg 57.7¢	$44.99	$78.03	+$33.04	37% 1244-2078 (3322)
GA gansinimen<$100	Upavg 71¢	$53.45	$75.28	+$21.83	51% 314-299 (613)
PA Papeasy<$100	Upavg 62¢	$48.75	$75	+$26.25	50% 3755-3714 (7469)
PL ply-pm0<$100	Upavg 62.2¢	$59.72	$71.41	+$30.28	31% 603-1373 (1976)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 55¢	$35.32	$64.21	+$28.89	50% 4163-4232 (8395)

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

Invested

$8,882

Value

$8.8K

PnL

+$19.85

Record

56%

349-275 (624)

arcsine-barrister

Invested

$5,000

Value

$5.0K

PnL

+$16.25

Record

38%

179-290 (469)

BoneOhio

Invested

$2,548.09

Value

$2.6K

PnL

+$25.74

Record

71%

1442-587 (2029)

hoodquant

Invested

$1,293.05

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$16.95

Record

98%

3242-69 (3311)

machinelearned

Invested

$523.22

Value

$638.23

PnL

+$115.01

Record

46%

966-1148 (2114)

Bonereaper

Invested

$432.17

Value

$587.25

PnL

+$155.08

Record

60%

928-618 (1546)

ByteBadger92

Invested

$619.29

Value

$491.79

PnL

-$1.98

Record

55%

3113-2587 (5700)

almach

Invested

$302.75

Value

$373.71

PnL

+$70.96

Record

50%

1247-1249 (2496)

stepahead

Invested

$333.81

Value

$334.94

PnL

+$1.13

Record

55%

4277-3516 (7793)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$407.16

Value

$313.76

PnL

-$20.4

Record

51%

1978-1872 (3850)

mo-money

Invested

$224.52

Value

$259.17

PnL

+$34.64

Record

49%

1236-1272 (2508)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$257.58

Value

$246.08

PnL

-$11.5

Record

46%

902-1042 (1944)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$249.71

Value

$224.64

PnL

-$25.07

Record

44%

654-838 (1492)

GoodFallen

Invested

$208.28

Value

$215.72

PnL

+$7.44

Record

46%

698-834 (1532)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Invested

$146.74

Value

$176

PnL

+$29.26

Record

55%

798-656 (1454)

blue.birds

Invested

$131.77

Value

$159.18

PnL

+$27.4

Record

52%

4799-4479 (9278)

0x855e484854D1411B959dDffddA11A698566C5189-1780249997359

Invested

$105.9

Value

$136.88

PnL

+$30.97

Record

50%

679-691 (1370)

OhioRiskManagement

Invested

$130.67

Value

$132

PnL

+$1.33

Record

38%

1261-2069 (3330)

MayorMamdani

Invested

$109.07

Value

$110

PnL

+$0.93

Record

52%

2416-2220 (4636)

0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894<$100

Invested

$46.49

Value

$79.71

PnL

+$33.22

Record

51%

685-668 (1353)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$44.99

Value

$78.03

PnL

+$33.04

Record

37%

1244-2078 (3322)

gansinimen<$100

Invested

$53.45

Value

$75.28

PnL

+$21.83

Record

51%

314-299 (613)

Papeasy<$100

Invested

$48.75

Value

$75

PnL

+$26.25

Record

50%

3755-3714 (7469)

ply-pm0<$100

Invested

$59.72

Value

$71.41

PnL

+$30.28

Record

31%

603-1373 (1976)

asdcaxz<$100

Invested

$35.32

Value

$64.21

PnL

+$28.89

Record

50%

4163-4232 (8395)

Smart Money Signal

51 of 66 top traders (77%)15 hold an outcome priced under 50%46 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x0f1fe37c...98ae66

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794638700

Traders in this Market

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

Up — $8.8K

+$19.85

arcsine-barrister

Up — $5.0K

+$16.25

BoneOhio

Up — $2.6K

+$25.74

hoodquant

Up — $1.3K

+$16.95

machinelearned

Up — $638.23

+$115.01

Bonereaper

Up — $587.25

+$155.08

ByteBadger92

Up — $491.79

-$1.98

almach

Up — $373.71

+$70.96

stepahead

Up — $334.94

+$1.13

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $313.76

-$20.4

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