Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 73%

Total Value

$12.2K

Combined PnL

$411.09

Smart Money Signal

37 of 51 top traders (73%)14 hold an outcome priced under 50%26 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up37 traders

Total Value$12.2K

Total Shares12,214

Combined PnL+$735.74

Down14 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,243

Combined PnL-$324.65

Up — 73%Down — 27%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
arcsine-barrister	Upavg 50¢	$5.0K	$5.0K	+$109.14	38% 175-284 (459)
BO bosona	Upavg 79.1¢	$592.47	$748.61	+$156.13	51% 4479-4365 (8844)
AS asdcaxz	Upavg 86.2¢	$613.23	$607.61	-$5.62	50% 4145-4216 (8361)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 76.5¢	$501.81	$532.9	+$31.1	30% 598-1368 (1966)
AL almach	Upavg 71.3¢	$361.13	$506.59	+$145.46	50% 1236-1242 (2478)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 52.5¢	$594.91	$478.54	+$0.66	55% 3086-2563 (5649)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 70.1¢	$419.82	$392.73	-$9.09	46% 896-1035 (1931)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 76.6¢	$313.75	$329.39	+$15.63	52% 4780-4466 (9246)
ST stepahead	Upavg 63.7¢	$288.65	$323.81	+$35.16	55% 4269-3511 (7780)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 71.8¢	$386.12	$300.2	-$23.01	60% 921-615 (1536)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 78.1¢	$349.05	$275.28	-$67.02	44% 650-832 (1482)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 64.8¢	$251.73	$268.55	+$16.82	51% 1963-1859 (3822)
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212	Upavg 77.5¢	$224.43	$251.99	+$27.56	51% 692-675 (1367)
NIULAI4	Upavg 91.8¢	$228.48	$247.63	+$19.16	26% 412-1190 (1602)
MO mo-money	Upavg 83.5¢	$212.24	$254.16	+$41.92	49% 1227-1262 (2489)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Upavg 85.8¢	$163.07	$174.8	+$11.73	55% 794-650 (1444)
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989	Upavg 81.3¢	$265.36	$165.4	-$6.58	56% 343-271 (614)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Upavg 77.8¢	$106.28	$129.31	+$23.68	53% 763-676 (1439)
0X 0x3708CEF9f92678DF15A0473e36c45d68A16cdAf9-1780222715877	Upavg 66.1¢	$113.11	$123.93	+$10.82	48% 645-690 (1335)
0X 0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658	Upavg 54.8¢	$77.4	$131.85	+$54.45	50% 691-685 (1376)
0X 0x280E296e5f14091642208Ac24614826D9902fbd8-1780260958670	Upavg 74¢	$95.33	$119.5	+$24.16	45% 614-739 (1353)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c	Upavg 71.1¢	$93.38	$105.29	+$11.91	60% 873-594 (1467)
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b	Upavg 83¢	$97.54	$106.72	+$9.18	60% 859-580 (1439)
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335<$100	Upavg 81.8¢	$82.83	$75.86	-$6.97	50% 687-674 (1361)
RA rabadabadoo<$100	Upavg 60.6¢	$45.41	$55.28	+$12.94	46% 1316-1543 (2859)

arcsine-barrister

Invested

$5,000

Value

$5.0K

PnL

+$109.14

Record

38%

175-284 (459)

bosona

Invested

$592.47

Value

$748.61

PnL

+$156.13

Record

51%

4479-4365 (8844)

asdcaxz

Invested

$613.23

Value

$607.61

PnL

-$5.62

Record

50%

4145-4216 (8361)

ply-pm0

Invested

$501.81

Value

$532.9

PnL

+$31.1

Record

30%

598-1368 (1966)

almach

Invested

$361.13

Value

$506.59

PnL

+$145.46

Record

50%

1236-1242 (2478)

ByteBadger92

Invested

$594.91

Value

$478.54

PnL

+$0.66

Record

55%

3086-2563 (5649)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$419.82

Value

$392.73

PnL

-$9.09

Record

46%

896-1035 (1931)

blue.birds

Invested

$313.75

Value

$329.39

PnL

+$15.63

Record

52%

4780-4466 (9246)

stepahead

Invested

$288.65

Value

$323.81

PnL

+$35.16

Record

55%

4269-3511 (7780)

Bonereaper

Invested

$386.12

Value

$300.2

PnL

-$23.01

Record

60%

921-615 (1536)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$349.05

Value

$275.28

PnL

-$67.02

Record

44%

650-832 (1482)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$251.73

Value

$268.55

PnL

+$16.82

Record

51%

1963-1859 (3822)

0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212

Invested

$224.43

Value

$251.99

PnL

+$27.56

Record

51%

692-675 (1367)

NIULAI4

Invested

$228.48

Value

$247.63

PnL

+$19.16

Record

26%

412-1190 (1602)

mo-money

Invested

$212.24

Value

$254.16

PnL

+$41.92

Record

49%

1227-1262 (2489)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Invested

$163.07

Value

$174.8

PnL

+$11.73

Record

55%

794-650 (1444)

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

Invested

$265.36

Value

$165.4

PnL

-$6.58

Record

56%

343-271 (614)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Invested

$106.28

Value

$129.31

PnL

+$23.68

Record

53%

763-676 (1439)

0x3708CEF9f92678DF15A0473e36c45d68A16cdAf9-1780222715877

Invested

$113.11

Value

$123.93

PnL

+$10.82

Record

48%

645-690 (1335)

0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658

Invested

$77.4

Value

$131.85

PnL

+$54.45

Record

50%

691-685 (1376)

0x280E296e5f14091642208Ac24614826D9902fbd8-1780260958670

Invested

$95.33

Value

$119.5

PnL

+$24.16

Record

45%

614-739 (1353)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Invested

$93.38

Value

$105.29

PnL

+$11.91

Record

60%

873-594 (1467)

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b

Invested

$97.54

Value

$106.72

PnL

+$9.18

Record

60%

859-580 (1439)

0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335<$100

Invested

$82.83

Value

$75.86

PnL

-$6.97

Record

50%

687-674 (1361)

rabadabadoo<$100

Invested

$45.41

Value

$55.28

PnL

+$12.94

Record

46%

1316-1543 (2859)

Smart Money Signal

37 of 51 top traders (73%)14 hold an outcome priced under 50%26 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xbd030cf3...900a8f

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794638100

Traders in this Market

arcsine-barrister

Up — $5.0K

+$109.14

bosona

Up — $748.61

+$156.13

asdcaxz

Up — $607.61

-$5.62

ply-pm0

Up — $532.9

+$31.1

almach

Up — $506.59

+$145.46

ByteBadger92

Up — $478.54

+$0.66

CrouchPredictions

Up — $392.73

-$9.09

blue.birds

Up — $329.39

+$15.63

stepahead

Up — $323.81

+$35.16

Bonereaper

Up — $300.2

-$23.01

Trade on Polymarket