Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Resolved Up. 52% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
58
Up 51%
4 arb excluded
$16.7K
$-3.6K
Smart Money Signal
30 of 58 top traders (52%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed28 hold an outcome priced under 50%22 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 arcsine-barrister | Upavg 50¢ | $5.0K | $4.5K | -$201.47 | 38% 167-268 (435) |
BO bosona | Upavg 68.7¢ | $1.1K | $1.6K | +$418.04 | 51% 4461-4339 (8800) |
BL blue.birds | Upavg 66.3¢ | $1.4K | $1.2K | -$135.77 | 52% 4742-4430 (9172) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 63.6¢ | $841.72 | $991.5 | +$149.79 | 53% 753-663 (1416) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 58.8¢ | $934.96 | $890.74 | -$32.26 | 44% 636-822 (1458) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 46.9¢ | $684.14 | $818.75 | +$134.6 | 60% 906-605 (1511) |
ST stepahead | Upavg 73.8¢ | $1.0K | $796.64 | -$225.49 | 55% 4254-3494 (7748) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 53¢ | $513.23 | $648.15 | +$134.92 | 46% 880-1020 (1900) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 52.7¢ | $593.58 | $575 | -$18.58 | 45% 675-823 (1498) |
 NIULAI4CTR | Downavg 47.1¢ | $807.56 | — | -$807.56 | 26% 405-1179 (1584) |
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 71.7¢ | $693.44 | $511.52 | -$168.5 | 49% 4099-4182 (8281) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 66¢ | $499.71 | $506.91 | +$8.69 | 51% 1930-1826 (3756) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 48.9¢ | $583.77 | — | -$466.32 | 55% 3034-2491 (5525) |
 FairValueMachine | Upavg 58.2¢ | $437.54 | $458.06 | +$37.79 | 53% 4439-3859 (8298) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 52.7¢ | $486.76 | $453.23 | +$74.5 | 30% 586-1356 (1942) |
AN antsaslykuCTR | Downavg 42.7¢ | $295.32 | — | -$295.32 | 38% 1224-2020 (3244) |
0X 0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658 | Upavg 65.1¢ | $289.83 | $325.27 | +$35.44 | 50% 676-677 (1353) |
WZ wzbbbCTR | Downavg 48.3¢ | $340.62 | — | -$340.62 | 52% 759-712 (1471) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskas | Upavg 43.4¢ | $238.65 | $279.55 | +$61.18 | 39% 654-1033 (1687) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR | Downavg 30.4¢ | $197.24 | — | -$197.24 | 44% 1813-2341 (4154) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR | Downavg 44.6¢ | $469.06 | — | -$469.06 | 55% 781-639 (1420) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR | Downavg 24.1¢ | $187.72 | — | -$187.72 | 47% 1854-2076 (3930) |
SU suntori | Upavg 81.1¢ | $175.19 | $198.98 | +$36.26 | 46% 2359-2814 (5173) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025 | Upavg 38.5¢ | $128.83 | $179.97 | +$51.15 | 47% 1892-2135 (4027) |
 OhioAI | Upavg 48.7¢ | $154.74 | $179.99 | +$40.24 | 51% 656-643 (1299) |
arcsine-barristerInvested
$5,000
Value
$4.5K
PnL
-$201.47
Record
38%
167-268 (435)
Invested
$1,138.42
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$418.04
Record
51%
4461-4339 (8800)
Invested
$1,368.07
Value
$1.2K
PnL
-$135.77
Record
52%
4742-4430 (9172)
Invested
$841.72
Value
$991.5
PnL
+$149.79
Record
53%
753-663 (1416)
Invested
$934.96
Value
$890.74
PnL
-$32.26
Record
44%
636-822 (1458)
Invested
$684.14
Value
$818.75
PnL
+$134.6
Record
60%
906-605 (1511)
Invested
$1,022.14
Value
$796.64
PnL
-$225.49
Record
55%
4254-3494 (7748)
Invested
$513.23
Value
$648.15
PnL
+$134.92
Record
46%
880-1020 (1900)
Invested
$593.58
Value
$575
PnL
-$18.58
Record
45%
675-823 (1498)
NIULAI4CTRInvested
$807.56
Value
—
PnL
-$807.56
Record
26%
405-1179 (1584)
Invested
$693.44
Value
$511.52
PnL
-$168.5
Record
49%
4099-4182 (8281)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$499.71
Value
$506.91
PnL
+$8.69
Record
51%
1930-1826 (3756)
Invested
$583.77
Value
—
PnL
-$466.32
Record
55%
3034-2491 (5525)
FairValueMachineInvested
$437.54
Value
$458.06
PnL
+$37.79
Record
53%
4439-3859 (8298)
Invested
$486.76
Value
$453.23
PnL
+$74.5
Record
30%
586-1356 (1942)
Invested
$295.32
Value
—
PnL
-$295.32
Record
38%
1224-2020 (3244)
Invested
$289.83
Value
$325.27
PnL
+$35.44
Record
50%
676-677 (1353)
Invested
$340.62
Value
—
PnL
-$340.62
Record
52%
759-712 (1471)
x-MoneyForWhiskasInvested
$238.65
Value
$279.55
PnL
+$61.18
Record
39%
654-1033 (1687)
G-Penis-MonsterCTRInvested
$197.24
Value
—
PnL
-$197.24
Record
44%
1813-2341 (4154)
Invested
$469.06
Value
—
PnL
-$469.06
Record
55%
781-639 (1420)
Invested
$187.72
Value
—
PnL
-$187.72
Record
47%
1854-2076 (3930)
Invested
$175.19
Value
$198.98
PnL
+$36.26
Record
46%
2359-2814 (5173)
Invested
$128.83
Value
$179.97
PnL
+$51.15
Record
47%
1892-2135 (4027)
OhioAIInvested
$154.74
Value
$179.99
PnL
+$40.24
Record
51%
656-643 (1299)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
arcsine-barrister
Up — $4.5K
bosona
Up — $1.6K
blue.birds
Up — $1.2K
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $991.5
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $890.74
Bonereaper
Up — $818.75
stepahead
Up — $796.64
CrouchPredictions
Up — $648.15
GoodFallen
Up — $575
NIULAI4
CTRDown — $0