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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Up 73%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$19.7K

Combined PnL

-$6.18

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 11 top traders (73%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders
Total Value$11.1K
Total Shares11,146
Combined PnL+$3.93
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares331
Combined PnL-$10.11
Up — 73%Down — 27%
0X
0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$8,706

Value

$8.5K

PnL

-$93

Record

55%

182-146 (328)

Both legs:

Down$4,35350¢$-4.4K
Up$4,25350¢+$4.3K
arcsine-barrister
Up

Invested

$5,000

Value

$5.0K

PnL

+$0

Record

34%

33-63 (96)

MA
machine-earning
Up

Invested

$4,000

Value

$4.0K

PnL

+$0

Record

45%

474-576 (1050)

SO
soswald1
Up

Invested

$950

Value

$950

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

2285-2228 (4513)

BY
ByteBadger92
Up

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

2475-1962 (4437)

QU
QuantumPebble673
Up

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$0

Record

—

Polkadot-Frog
Up

Invested

$100

Value

$100

PnL

+$0

Record

52%

1462-1348 (2810)

CR
CrouchPredictionsCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.56

Value

—

PnL

-$1.56

Record

46%

661-788 (1449)

ST
stepahead<$100
Up

Invested

$65.88

Value

$69

PnL

+$3.12

Record

55%

3974-3307 (7281)

Synthesizerchan<$100
Up

Invested

$26.18

Value

$26.99

PnL

+$0.81

Record

53%

96-85 (181)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

38%

938-1558 (2496)

RA
rabadabadooCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$8.5

Value

—

PnL

-$8.5

Record

47%

997-1147 (2144)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xe3dbc940...a803b6
Slug
btc-updown-5m-1794524700

Traders in this Market

0X

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$93

arcsine-barrister

Up — $5.0K

+$0
MA

machine-earning

Up — $4.0K

+$0
SO

soswald1

Up — $950

+$0
BY

ByteBadger92

Up — $500

+$0
QU

QuantumPebble673

Up — $500

+$0

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $100

+$0
CR

CrouchPredictions

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.56
ST

stepahead

Up — $69

+$3.12

Synthesizerchan

Up — $26.99

+$0.81
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