Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
57
Up 67%
$17.9K
$-16.9K
Smart Money Signal
38 of 57 top traders (67%)19 hold an outcome priced under 50%29 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $9.0K | — | $-7.8K | 58% 160-118 (278) |
 arcsine-barristerCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $5.0K | — | $-4.7K | 34% 17-33 (50) |
MA machine-earningCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $4.0K | — | $-3.7K | 46% 455-541 (996) |
TH THG. | Upavg 99¢ | $3.5K | $3.5K | +$35 | 99% 532-3 (535) |
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $3.1K | $3.1K | -$24.94 | 49% 903-945 (1848) |
 BoneOhio | Upavg 99¢ | $3.0K | $3.0K | +$30 | 74% 1071-381 (1452) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 94.9¢ | $2.0K | $2.0K | -$38.12 | 60% 653-441 (1094) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $1.2K | $1.2K | +$12.05 | 98% 2299-45 (2344) |
BO bosona | Upavg 97.8¢ | $551.37 | $559.33 | +$7.97 | 50% 4072-4027 (8099) |
AL almach | Upavg 98.9¢ | $500.1 | $505.8 | +$5.7 | 48% 838-895 (1733) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 54.2¢ | $576.35 | $496.08 | -$15.24 | 56% 2372-1839 (4211) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Upavg 91.1¢ | $363.97 | $349.99 | -$13.98 | 50% 512-520 (1032) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 91.9¢ | $248.19 | $269.97 | +$21.78 | 43% 706-932 (1638) |
ST stepahead | Upavg 71.1¢ | $236.14 | $246.37 | +$10.23 | 55% 3928-3274 (7202) |
MO mo-money | Upavg 97¢ | $235.27 | $242.55 | +$7.28 | 48% 840-911 (1751) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 74.6¢ | $206.11 | $206.24 | +$0.13 | 42% 451-624 (1075) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 84.9¢ | $327.45 | $181.92 | -$16.2 | 53% 1399-1261 (2660) |
BL blue.birds | Upavg 88.2¢ | $167.72 | $169.1 | +$1.38 | 52% 4097-3832 (7929) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 75.4¢ | $165.89 | $144.73 | -$19.86 | 52% 590-538 (1128) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskas | Upavg 72.4¢ | $153.4 | $140 | -$13.4 | 36% 490-866 (1356) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c | Upavg 87.8¢ | $192.2 | $132.64 | -$59.56 | 59% 614-422 (1036) |
0X 0x280E296e5f14091642208Ac24614826D9902fbd8-1780260958670<$100 | Upavg 64¢ | $95.94 | $92 | -$3.94 | 45% 435-541 (976) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 91.3¢ | $126.2 | $89.67 | -$36.53 | 53% 533-480 (1013) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335 | Upavg 49¢ | $82.81 | $169 | +$86.19 | 51% 493-474 (967) |
Invested
$9,000
Value
—
PnL
$-7.8K
Record
58%
160-118 (278)
arcsine-barristerCTRInvested
$5,000
Value
—
PnL
$-4.7K
Record
34%
17-33 (50)
Invested
$4,000
Value
—
PnL
$-3.7K
Record
46%
455-541 (996)
Invested
$3,465
Value
$3.5K
PnL
+$35
Record
99%
532-3 (535)
Invested
$3,140.97
Value
$3.1K
PnL
-$24.94
Record
49%
903-945 (1848)
BoneOhioInvested
$2,970
Value
$3.0K
PnL
+$30
Record
74%
1071-381 (1452)
Invested
$1,993.67
Value
$2.0K
PnL
-$38.12
Record
60%
653-441 (1094)
Invested
$1,192.95
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$12.05
Record
98%
2299-45 (2344)
Invested
$551.37
Value
$559.33
PnL
+$7.97
Record
50%
4072-4027 (8099)
Invested
$500.1
Value
$505.8
PnL
+$5.7
Record
48%
838-895 (1733)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$576.35
Value
$496.08
PnL
-$15.24
Record
56%
2372-1839 (4211)
Invested
$363.97
Value
$349.99
PnL
-$13.98
Record
50%
512-520 (1032)
machinelearnedInvested
$248.19
Value
$269.97
PnL
+$21.78
Record
43%
706-932 (1638)
Invested
$236.14
Value
$246.37
PnL
+$10.23
Record
55%
3928-3274 (7202)
Invested
$235.27
Value
$242.55
PnL
+$7.28
Record
48%
840-911 (1751)
Invested
$206.11
Value
$206.24
PnL
+$0.13
Record
42%
451-624 (1075)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$327.45
Value
$181.92
PnL
-$16.2
Record
53%
1399-1261 (2660)
Invested
$167.72
Value
$169.1
PnL
+$1.38
Record
52%
4097-3832 (7929)
Invested
$165.89
Value
$144.73
PnL
-$19.86
Record
52%
590-538 (1128)
x-MoneyForWhiskasInvested
$153.4
Value
$140
PnL
-$13.4
Record
36%
490-866 (1356)
Invested
$192.2
Value
$132.64
PnL
-$59.56
Record
59%
614-422 (1036)
Invested
$95.94
Value
$92
PnL
-$3.94
Record
45%
435-541 (976)
Invested
$126.2
Value
$89.67
PnL
-$36.53
Record
53%
533-480 (1013)
Invested
$82.81
Value
$169
PnL
+$86.19
Record
51%
493-474 (967)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989
CTRDown — $0
arcsine-barrister
CTRDown — $0
machine-earning
CTRDown — $0
THG.
Up — $3.5K
0x50f7
Up — $3.1K
BoneOhio
Up — $3.0K
Bonereaper
Up — $2.0K
hoodquant
Up — $1.2K
bosona
Up — $559.33
almach
Up — $505.8