Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
63
Up 57%
3 arb excluded
$26.8K
$-2.0K
Smart Money Signal
36 of 63 top traders (57%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed27 hold an outcome priced under 50%27 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989 | Upavg 50¢ | $8.6K | $7.1K | +$268.08 | 57% 146-109 (255) |
 arcsine-barrister | Upavg 50¢ | $5.0K | $4.7K | -$166.39 | 33% 9-18 (27) |
MA machine-earning | Upavg 50¢ | $4.0K | $3.7K | +$167.03 | 46% 443-530 (973) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 98.2¢ | $2.6K | $2.0K | -$585.97 | 48% 1171-1273 (2444) |
BO bosona | Upavg 30.6¢ | $447.61 | $761.01 | +$313.41 | 50% 4052-4009 (8061) |
PB PBot-6 | Upavg 50.3¢ | $763.43 | $1.5K | +$753.82 | 50% 437-429 (866) |
AL almach | Upavg 78.4¢ | $550.61 | $702.24 | +$151.63 | 48% 818-877 (1695) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR | Downavg 55.5¢ | $404.3 | — | -$404.3 | 42% 441-611 (1052) |
BL blue.birdsCTR | Downavg 61.6¢ | $657.4 | — | -$657.4 | 52% 4060-3799 (7859) |
MO mo-money | Upavg 49.8¢ | $431.49 | $786.34 | +$354.85 | 48% 822-890 (1712) |
PB PBot-5 | Upavg 48¢ | $311.59 | $516.87 | +$224.49 | 48% 748-800 (1548) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2370-1839 (4209) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
ST stepaheadCTR | Downavg 61.4¢ | $355.31 | — | -$355.31 | 54% 3908-3264 (7172) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Upavg 48.9¢ | $387.45 | $436.95 | +$49.5 | 50% 501-508 (1009) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.5¢ | $389.57 | $395.58 | +$6.01 | 98% 2252-45 (2297) |
BO BonereaperCTR | Downavg 55.4¢ | $495.02 | — | -$495.02 | 60% 641-430 (1071) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 51.1¢ | $248.04 | $351.64 | +$103.6 | 43% 474-618 (1092) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR | Downavg 67.8¢ | $338.36 | — | -$338.36 | 44% 1290-1624 (2914) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 51.8¢ | $228.31 | $280.31 | +$52 | 53% 1367-1231 (2598) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR | Downavg 65.9¢ | $187.35 | — | -$187.35 | 36% 477-856 (1333) |
0X 0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894 | Upavg 22¢ | $65.41 | $221.85 | +$156.44 | 49% 464-475 (939) |
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212 | Upavg 36.5¢ | $86.62 | $222.14 | +$135.52 | 50% 480-475 (955) |
 machinelearnedCTR | Downavg 90.2¢ | $680.85 | — | -$680.85 | 43% 690-922 (1612) |
WZ wzbbbCTR | Downavg 56.2¢ | $205.41 | — | -$205.41 | 52% 577-528 (1105) |
Invested
$8,618
Value
$7.1K
PnL
+$268.08
Record
57%
146-109 (255)
arcsine-barristerInvested
$5,000
Value
$4.7K
PnL
-$166.39
Record
33%
9-18 (27)
Invested
$4,000
Value
$3.7K
PnL
+$167.03
Record
46%
443-530 (973)
Invested
$2,620.62
Value
$2.0K
PnL
-$585.97
Record
48%
1171-1273 (2444)
Invested
$447.61
Value
$761.01
PnL
+$313.41
Record
50%
4052-4009 (8061)
Invested
$763.43
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$753.82
Record
50%
437-429 (866)
Invested
$550.61
Value
$702.24
PnL
+$151.63
Record
48%
818-877 (1695)
Invested
$404.3
Value
—
PnL
-$404.3
Record
42%
441-611 (1052)
Invested
$657.4
Value
—
PnL
-$657.4
Record
52%
4060-3799 (7859)
Invested
$431.49
Value
$786.34
PnL
+$354.85
Record
48%
822-890 (1712)
Invested
$311.59
Value
$516.87
PnL
+$224.49
Record
48%
748-800 (1548)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2370-1839 (4209)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$355.31
Value
—
PnL
-$355.31
Record
54%
3908-3264 (7172)
Invested
$387.45
Value
$436.95
PnL
+$49.5
Record
50%
501-508 (1009)
Invested
$389.57
Value
$395.58
PnL
+$6.01
Record
98%
2252-45 (2297)
Invested
$495.02
Value
—
PnL
-$495.02
Record
60%
641-430 (1071)
Invested
$248.04
Value
$351.64
PnL
+$103.6
Record
43%
474-618 (1092)
G-Penis-MonsterCTRInvested
$338.36
Value
—
PnL
-$338.36
Record
44%
1290-1624 (2914)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$228.31
Value
$280.31
PnL
+$52
Record
53%
1367-1231 (2598)
x-MoneyForWhiskasCTRInvested
$187.35
Value
—
PnL
-$187.35
Record
36%
477-856 (1333)
Invested
$65.41
Value
$221.85
PnL
+$156.44
Record
49%
464-475 (939)
Invested
$86.62
Value
$222.14
PnL
+$135.52
Record
50%
480-475 (955)
machinelearnedCTRInvested
$680.85
Value
—
PnL
-$680.85
Record
43%
690-922 (1612)
Invested
$205.41
Value
—
PnL
-$205.41
Record
52%
577-528 (1105)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989
Up — $7.1K
arcsine-barrister
Up — $4.7K
machine-earning
Up — $3.7K
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $2.0K
bosona
Up — $761.01
PBot-6
Up — $1.5K
almach
Up — $702.24
dangerously-skip-permissions
CTRDown — $0
blue.birds
CTRDown — $0
mo-money
Up — $786.34