Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Resolved Down. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
65
Down 79%
$18.6K
$-3.7K
Smart Money Signal
51 of 65 top traders (78%)14 hold an outcome priced under 50%31 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989 | Downavg 50¢ | $8.7K | $8.3K | +$19.98 | 57% 118-90 (208) |
MA machine-earningCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $4.0K | — | $-3.1K | 45% 419-506 (925) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 82¢ | $848.04 | $923.59 | +$89.66 | 59% 606-414 (1020) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.9¢ | $889.21 | $899 | +$9.79 | 98% 2138-43 (2181) |
38 38791873984189 | Downavg 46.9¢ | $404.13 | $860.98 | +$456.85 | 48% 2099-2308 (4407) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 89.7¢ | $668.72 | $745.91 | +$77.19 | 42% 660-898 (1558) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 55.4¢ | $522.64 | $680.02 | +$157.38 | 41% 412-591 (1003) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 76.4¢ | $470.54 | $615.87 | +$145.33 | 51% 1179-1131 (2310) |
SO soswald1CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $550 | — | -$538.09 | — |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | — |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2343-1812 (4155) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Downavg 89.4¢ | $410.71 | $427.37 | +$16.66 | 49% 474-486 (960) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 47.4¢ | $171.87 | $362.59 | +$190.72 | 46% 594-689 (1283) |
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212 | Downavg 46¢ | $166.73 | $362.46 | +$195.73 | 50% 455-454 (909) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 93.1¢ | $303.64 | $325.98 | +$22.34 | 52% 549-509 (1058) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Downavg 96¢ | $289.91 | $301.48 | +$11.57 | 37% 598-1014 (1612) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskas | Downavg 81.5¢ | $296.25 | $273.2 | -$23.05 | 36% 459-825 (1284) |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 99¢ | $262.84 | $262.61 | -$0.23 | 33% 613-1228 (1841) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 62.1¢ | $202.15 | $250.21 | +$48.05 | 55% 3874-3232 (7106) |
BO bosona | Downavg 74.2¢ | $184.73 | $244.07 | +$59.34 | 50% 3983-3986 (7969) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 57¢ | $205.76 | $219.04 | +$13.28 | 43% 445-598 (1043) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 70.2¢ | $233.98 | $198.06 | -$35.92 | 53% 1297-1168 (2465) |
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b | Downavg 84.1¢ | $221.47 | $187.27 | +$37.1 | 60% 564-377 (941) |
DE devonpoll | Downavg 50¢ | $180 | $180 | +$3.15 | 52% 274-257 (531) |
0X 0x855e484854D1411B959dDffddA11A698566C5189-1780249997359 | Downavg 68.2¢ | $112.73 | $165.23 | +$52.5 | 50% 445-451 (896) |
Invested
$8,723
Value
$8.3K
PnL
+$19.98
Record
57%
118-90 (208)
Invested
$4,000
Value
—
PnL
$-3.1K
Record
45%
419-506 (925)
Invested
$848.04
Value
$923.59
PnL
+$89.66
Record
59%
606-414 (1020)
Invested
$889.21
Value
$899
PnL
+$9.79
Record
98%
2138-43 (2181)
Invested
$404.13
Value
$860.98
PnL
+$456.85
Record
48%
2099-2308 (4407)
machinelearnedInvested
$668.72
Value
$745.91
PnL
+$77.19
Record
42%
660-898 (1558)
Invested
$522.64
Value
$680.02
PnL
+$157.38
Record
41%
412-591 (1003)
Invested
$470.54
Value
$615.87
PnL
+$145.33
Record
51%
1179-1131 (2310)
Invested
$550
Value
—
PnL
-$538.09
Record
—
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
—
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2343-1812 (4155)
Invested
$410.71
Value
$427.37
PnL
+$16.66
Record
49%
474-486 (960)
Invested
$171.87
Value
$362.59
PnL
+$190.72
Record
46%
594-689 (1283)
Invested
$166.73
Value
$362.46
PnL
+$195.73
Record
50%
455-454 (909)
Invested
$303.64
Value
$325.98
PnL
+$22.34
Record
52%
549-509 (1058)
Invested
$289.91
Value
$301.48
PnL
+$11.57
Record
37%
598-1014 (1612)
x-MoneyForWhiskasInvested
$296.25
Value
$273.2
PnL
-$23.05
Record
36%
459-825 (1284)
pspspsps5Invested
$262.84
Value
$262.61
PnL
-$0.23
Record
33%
613-1228 (1841)
Invested
$202.15
Value
$250.21
PnL
+$48.05
Record
55%
3874-3232 (7106)
Invested
$184.73
Value
$244.07
PnL
+$59.34
Record
50%
3983-3986 (7969)
Invested
$205.76
Value
$219.04
PnL
+$13.28
Record
43%
445-598 (1043)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$233.98
Value
$198.06
PnL
-$35.92
Record
53%
1297-1168 (2465)
Invested
$221.47
Value
$187.27
PnL
+$37.1
Record
60%
564-377 (941)
Invested
$180
Value
$180
PnL
+$3.15
Record
52%
274-257 (531)
Invested
$112.73
Value
$165.23
PnL
+$52.5
Record
50%
445-451 (896)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989
Down — $8.3K
machine-earning
CTRUp — $0
Bonereaper
Down — $923.59
hoodquant
Down — $899
38791873984189
Down — $860.98
machinelearned
Down — $745.91
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $680.02
uninformedfloww
Down — $615.87
soswald1
CTRUp — $0
QuantumPebble673
CTRUp — $0