Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
57
Up 65%
1 arb excluded
$11.7K
$-11.1K
Smart Money Signal
37 of 57 top traders (65%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed20 hold an outcome priced under 50%31 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $8.5K | — | $-7.3K | 56% 109-86 (195) |
TH THG. | Upavg 99¢ | $3.5K | $3.5K | +$35 | 99% 487-3 (490) |
MA machine-earningCTR | Downavg 50¢ | $4.0K | — | $-3.3K | 45% 414-498 (912) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 96.7¢ | $2.1K | $2.0K | -$31.42 | 60% 600-406 (1006) |
09 0x0970...e369ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $550 | $501.84 | -$10.61 | — |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $250.92 | $501.84 | +$264.39 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $275 | — | -$275 | |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2343-1812 (4155) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 82.5¢ | $436.82 | $432.14 | -$4.68 | 50% 1649-1618 (3267) |
BL blue.birds | Upavg 82.7¢ | $379.49 | $423.29 | +$51.79 | 52% 3971-3716 (7687) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 73.4¢ | $409.77 | $372.2 | -$37.57 | 41% 406-584 (990) |
ST stepahead | Upavg 73.4¢ | $338.58 | $344.47 | +$5.89 | 54% 3861-3228 (7089) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14 | Upavg 71.8¢ | $228.45 | $317.97 | +$89.52 | 55% 1218-999 (2217) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 96¢ | $282.24 | $294 | +$11.76 | 98% 2126-43 (2169) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 91.3¢ | $259.13 | $226.23 | -$32.9 | 46% 585-682 (1267) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Upavg 87.4¢ | $199.14 | $204.34 | +$5.2 | 49% 465-482 (947) |
MO mo-money | Upavg 87.4¢ | $203.28 | $232.51 | +$29.23 | 46% 740-863 (1603) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c | Upavg 78.1¢ | $253.67 | $189.78 | -$63.88 | 60% 566-385 (951) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskas | Upavg 70¢ | $227.82 | $183.3 | -$24.92 | 35% 450-821 (1271) |
0X 0x855e484854D1411B959dDffddA11A698566C5189-1780249997359 | Upavg 73¢ | $175.37 | $169 | -$6.37 | 50% 438-446 (884) |
BO bosona | Upavg 82.3¢ | $140.48 | $170.78 | +$30.3 | 50% 3968-3980 (7948) |
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b | Upavg 87.1¢ | $169.45 | $129 | -$40.45 | 60% 555-373 (928) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 59.7¢ | $130.24 | $108.45 | -$2.59 | 53% 1280-1152 (2432) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 86.7¢ | $115.37 | $110.15 | -$5.22 | 56% 522-409 (931) |
0X 0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894CTR | Downavg 43.5¢ | $204.06 | — | -$204.06 | 49% 430-453 (883) |
AS asdaefef | Upavg 77.3¢ | $102.52 | $98.93 | +$2.87 | 67% 2068-1040 (3108) |
Invested
$8,530
Value
—
PnL
$-7.3K
Record
56%
109-86 (195)
Invested
$3,465
Value
$3.5K
PnL
+$35
Record
99%
487-3 (490)
Invested
$4,000
Value
—
PnL
$-3.3K
Record
45%
414-498 (912)
Invested
$2,091.16
Value
$2.0K
PnL
-$31.42
Record
60%
600-406 (1006)
Invested
$550
Value
$501.84
PnL
-$10.61
Record
—
Both legs:
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2343-1812 (4155)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$436.82
Value
$432.14
PnL
-$4.68
Record
50%
1649-1618 (3267)
Invested
$379.49
Value
$423.29
PnL
+$51.79
Record
52%
3971-3716 (7687)
Invested
$409.77
Value
$372.2
PnL
-$37.57
Record
41%
406-584 (990)
Invested
$338.58
Value
$344.47
PnL
+$5.89
Record
54%
3861-3228 (7089)
Invested
$228.45
Value
$317.97
PnL
+$89.52
Record
55%
1218-999 (2217)
Invested
$282.24
Value
$294
PnL
+$11.76
Record
98%
2126-43 (2169)
Invested
$259.13
Value
$226.23
PnL
-$32.9
Record
46%
585-682 (1267)
Invested
$199.14
Value
$204.34
PnL
+$5.2
Record
49%
465-482 (947)
Invested
$203.28
Value
$232.51
PnL
+$29.23
Record
46%
740-863 (1603)
Invested
$253.67
Value
$189.78
PnL
-$63.88
Record
60%
566-385 (951)
x-MoneyForWhiskasInvested
$227.82
Value
$183.3
PnL
-$24.92
Record
35%
450-821 (1271)
Invested
$175.37
Value
$169
PnL
-$6.37
Record
50%
438-446 (884)
Invested
$140.48
Value
$170.78
PnL
+$30.3
Record
50%
3968-3980 (7948)
Invested
$169.45
Value
$129
PnL
-$40.45
Record
60%
555-373 (928)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$130.24
Value
$108.45
PnL
-$2.59
Record
53%
1280-1152 (2432)
Invested
$115.37
Value
$110.15
PnL
-$5.22
Record
56%
522-409 (931)
Invested
$204.06
Value
—
PnL
-$204.06
Record
49%
430-453 (883)
Invested
$102.52
Value
$98.93
PnL
+$2.87
Record
67%
2068-1040 (3108)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989
CTRDown — $0
THG.
Up — $3.5K
machine-earning
CTRDown — $0
Bonereaper
Up — $2.0K
0x0970...e369
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ByteBadger92
Up — $500
QuantumPebble673
Up — $500
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $432.14
blue.birds
Up — $423.29
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $372.2