Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 82%

Total Value

$19.0K

Combined PnL

$-6.6K

Smart Money Signal

45 of 56 top traders (80%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%24 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down11 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares8,920

Combined PnL$-7.9K

Up45 traders

Total Value$19.0K

Total Shares19,028

Combined PnL+$1.3K

Down — 20%Up — 80%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989CTR	Downavg 50¢	$8.9K	—	$-7.8K	55% 101-83 (184)
TH THG.	Upavg 99¢	$3.5K	$3.5K	+$35	99% 485-3 (488)
MA machine-earning	Upavg 50¢	$4.0K	$3.4K	-$56.75	45% 408-493 (901)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 99¢	$1.8K	$1.8K	+$17.79	48% 1079-1166 (2245)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 80.1¢	$973.19	$1.2K	+$217.43	60% 593-402 (995)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 84.2¢	$748.5	$843.69	+$95.19	46% 576-676 (1252)
machinelearned	Upavg 81¢	$722.38	$891.49	+$169.11	42% 643-890 (1533)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 50¢	$500	$500	+$0	56% 2341-1812 (4153)
QU QuantumPebble673	Upavg 50¢	$500	$500	+$0	—
AL almach	Upavg 76¢	$383.15	$500	+$116.85	47% 731-834 (1565)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 89.8¢	$383.79	$398.46	+$14.67	52% 3955-3700 (7655)
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$379.79	$380.17	+$0.38	48% 784-863 (1647)
SP spartacray	Upavg 85.9¢	$301.43	$350.99	+$49.56	58% 540-391 (931)
MO mo-money	Upavg 91.3¢	$303.61	$326.87	+$23.27	46% 731-854 (1585)
EZ EZTRADENL2	Upavg 94.1¢	$306.06	$316.31	+$10.25	49% 461-475 (936)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Upavg 86.5¢	$290.89	$316.87	+$25.97	56% 517-403 (920)
0X 0x280E296e5f14091642208Ac24614826D9902fbd8-1780260958670	Upavg 71.4¢	$211.1	$293.32	+$82.22	44% 391-490 (881)
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b	Upavg 80.9¢	$262.56	$321.81	+$59.25	60% 550-368 (918)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 92.5¢	$280.07	$280	-$0.07	53% 1264-1138 (2402)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 81¢	$284.39	$253.55	-$3.54	41% 402-577 (979)
ST stepahead	Upavg 69.2¢	$204.87	$243.42	+$38.55	54% 3852-3222 (7074)
UN uninformedfloww	Upavg 81.4¢	$225.59	$277.14	+$51.55	50% 1101-1104 (2205)
BO bosona	Upavg 80.2¢	$198.22	$241.09	+$42.87	50% 3956-3972 (7928)
DE devonpoll	Upavg 52.2¢	$188.87	$189.54	+$0.67	51% 254-244 (498)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c	Upavg 83.5¢	$167.24	$200.18	+$32.94	59% 560-382 (942)

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989CTR

Down

Invested

$8,947

Value

—

PnL

$-7.8K

Record

55%

101-83 (184)

THG.

Invested

$3,465

Value

$3.5K

PnL

+$35

Record

99%

485-3 (488)

machine-earning

Invested

$4,000

Value

$3.4K

PnL

-$56.75

Record

45%

408-493 (901)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$1,761.48

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$17.79

Record

48%

1079-1166 (2245)

Bonereaper

Invested

$973.19

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$217.43

Record

60%

593-402 (995)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$748.5

Value

$843.69

PnL

+$95.19

Record

46%

576-676 (1252)

machinelearned

Invested

$722.38

Value

$891.49

PnL

+$169.11

Record

42%

643-890 (1533)

ByteBadger92

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

2341-1812 (4153)

QuantumPebble673

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$0

Record

—

almach

Invested

$383.15

Value

$500

PnL

+$116.85

Record

47%

731-834 (1565)

blue.birds

Invested

$383.79

Value

$398.46

PnL

+$14.67

Record

52%

3955-3700 (7655)

0x50f7

Invested

$379.79

Value

$380.17

PnL

+$0.38

Record

48%

784-863 (1647)

spartacray

Invested

$301.43

Value

$350.99

PnL

+$49.56

Record

58%

540-391 (931)

mo-money

Invested

$303.61

Value

$326.87

PnL

+$23.27

Record

46%

731-854 (1585)

EZTRADENL2

Invested

$306.06

Value

$316.31

PnL

+$10.25

Record

49%

461-475 (936)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Invested

$290.89

Value

$316.87

PnL

+$25.97

Record

56%

517-403 (920)

0x280E296e5f14091642208Ac24614826D9902fbd8-1780260958670

Invested

$211.1

Value

$293.32

PnL

+$82.22

Record

44%

391-490 (881)

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b

Invested

$262.56

Value

$321.81

PnL

+$59.25

Record

60%

550-368 (918)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$280.07

Value

$280

PnL

-$0.07

Record

53%

1264-1138 (2402)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$284.39

Value

$253.55

PnL

-$3.54

Record

41%

402-577 (979)

stepahead

Invested

$204.87

Value

$243.42

PnL

+$38.55

Record

54%

3852-3222 (7074)

uninformedfloww

Invested

$225.59

Value

$277.14

PnL

+$51.55

Record

50%

1101-1104 (2205)

bosona

Invested

$198.22

Value

$241.09

PnL

+$42.87

Record

50%

3956-3972 (7928)

devonpoll

Invested

$188.87

Value

$189.54

PnL

+$0.67

Record

51%

254-244 (498)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Invested

$167.24

Value

$200.18

PnL

+$32.94

Record

59%

560-382 (942)

Smart Money Signal

45 of 56 top traders (80%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%24 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xd4e77c41...48425a

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794479100

Traders in this Market

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

CTR

Down — $0

$-7.8K

THG.

Up — $3.5K

+$35

machine-earning

Up — $3.4K

-$56.75

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $1.8K

+$17.79

Bonereaper

Up — $1.2K

+$217.43

CrouchPredictions

Up — $843.69

+$95.19

machinelearned

Up — $891.49

+$169.11

ByteBadger92

Up — $500

+$0

QuantumPebble673

Up — $500

+$0

almach

Up — $500

+$116.85

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