Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 83%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$19.3K

Combined PnL

$-6.3K

Smart Money Signal

43 of 52 top traders (83%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down9 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares8,587

Combined PnL$-7.8K

Up43 traders

Total Value$19.1K

Total Shares19,136

Combined PnL+$1.5K

Down — 17%Up — 83%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989CTR	Downavg 50¢	$8.5K	—	$-7.4K	55% 101-83 (184)
MA machine-earning	Upavg 50¢	$4.0K	$3.9K	+$250.53	45% 408-493 (901)
TH THG.	Upavg 99¢	$3.5K	$3.5K	+$35	99% 485-3 (488)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 94.7¢	$2.2K	$2.2K	-$41.36	60% 593-402 (995)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$678.15	$685	+$6.85	98% 2120-43 (2163)
AL almach	Upavg 94.1¢	$611.5	$650	+$38.5	47% 731-834 (1565)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 46.2¢	$505.58	$1.1K	+$589.52	48% 1079-1166 (2245)
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 50¢	$500	$500	+$0	56% 2341-1812 (4153)
QU QuantumPebble673	Upavg 50¢	$500	$500	+$0	—
BO bosona	Upavg 85.9¢	$345.68	$402.34	+$56.66	50% 3956-3972 (7928)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 77.4¢	$582.41	$381.66	-$0.04	52% 3955-3700 (7655)
ST stepahead	Upavg 58.6¢	$335.79	$368.5	+$32.71	54% 3852-3222 (7074)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 78.3¢	$389.39	$310.67	-$78.72	41% 402-577 (979)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 75.9¢	$324.84	$333.94	+$9.1	53% 1264-1138 (2402)
pspspsps5	Upavg 98.8¢	$324.95	$328.9	+$3.95	33% 596-1191 (1787)
KA Kathod-Shi-14	Upavg 75.2¢	$236.42	$314.28	+$77.86	55% 1208-984 (2192)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c	Upavg 83.9¢	$255.3	$297.42	+$46.91	59% 560-382 (942)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 80.2¢	$287.44	$276.82	-$10.62	27% 453-1214 (1667)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 85.1¢	$291.22	$258.05	-$33.17	46% 576-676 (1252)
EZ EZTRADENL2	Upavg 92¢	$233.76	$246.15	+$12.39	49% 461-475 (936)
0X 0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658	Upavg 73.9¢	$219.36	$231.7	+$12.34	50% 454-448 (902)
0X 0x3708CEF9f92678DF15A0473e36c45d68A16cdAf9-1780222715877	Upavg 46.3¢	$110.98	$206.61	+$95.63	48% 420-459 (879)
MO mo-money	Upavg 76.9¢	$176.13	$228.94	+$52.81	46% 731-854 (1585)
x-MoneyForWhiskas	Upavg 71.6¢	$161.23	$173.64	+$12.4	35% 444-816 (1260)
machinelearned	Upavg 64.8¢	$134.92	$201.1	+$66.18	42% 643-890 (1533)

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989CTR

Down

Invested

$8,524

Value

—

PnL

$-7.4K

Record

55%

101-83 (184)

machine-earning

Invested

$4,000

Value

$3.9K

PnL

+$250.53

Record

45%

408-493 (901)

THG.

Invested

$3,465

Value

$3.5K

PnL

+$35

Record

99%

485-3 (488)

Bonereaper

Invested

$2,235.12

Value

$2.2K

PnL

-$41.36

Record

60%

593-402 (995)

hoodquant

Invested

$678.15

Value

$685

PnL

+$6.85

Record

98%

2120-43 (2163)

almach

Invested

$611.5

Value

$650

PnL

+$38.5

Record

47%

731-834 (1565)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$505.58

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$589.52

Record

48%

1079-1166 (2245)

ByteBadger92

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

2341-1812 (4153)

QuantumPebble673

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$0

Record

—

bosona

Invested

$345.68

Value

$402.34

PnL

+$56.66

Record

50%

3956-3972 (7928)

blue.birds

Invested

$582.41

Value

$381.66

PnL

-$0.04

Record

52%

3955-3700 (7655)

stepahead

Invested

$335.79

Value

$368.5

PnL

+$32.71

Record

54%

3852-3222 (7074)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$389.39

Value

$310.67

PnL

-$78.72

Record

41%

402-577 (979)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$324.84

Value

$333.94

PnL

+$9.1

Record

53%

1264-1138 (2402)

pspspsps5

Invested

$324.95

Value

$328.9

PnL

+$3.95

Record

33%

596-1191 (1787)

Kathod-Shi-14

Invested

$236.42

Value

$314.28

PnL

+$77.86

Record

55%

1208-984 (2192)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Invested

$255.3

Value

$297.42

PnL

+$46.91

Record

59%

560-382 (942)

ply-pm0

Invested

$287.44

Value

$276.82

PnL

-$10.62

Record

27%

453-1214 (1667)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$291.22

Value

$258.05

PnL

-$33.17

Record

46%

576-676 (1252)

EZTRADENL2

Invested

$233.76

Value

$246.15

PnL

+$12.39

Record

49%

461-475 (936)

0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658

Invested

$219.36

Value

$231.7

PnL

+$12.34

Record

50%

454-448 (902)

0x3708CEF9f92678DF15A0473e36c45d68A16cdAf9-1780222715877

Invested

$110.98

Value

$206.61

PnL

+$95.63

Record

48%

420-459 (879)

mo-money

Invested

$176.13

Value

$228.94

PnL

+$52.81

Record

46%

731-854 (1585)

x-MoneyForWhiskas

Invested

$161.23

Value

$173.64

PnL

+$12.4

Record

35%

444-816 (1260)

machinelearned

Invested

$134.92

Value

$201.1

PnL

+$66.18

Record

42%

643-890 (1533)

Smart Money Signal

43 of 52 top traders (83%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x19396119...9aa240

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794477300

Traders in this Market

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

CTR

Down — $0

$-7.4K

machine-earning

Up — $3.9K

+$250.53

THG.

Up — $3.5K

+$35

Bonereaper

Up — $2.2K

-$41.36

hoodquant

Up — $685

+$6.85

almach

Up — $650

+$38.5

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $1.1K

+$589.52

ByteBadger92

Up — $500

+$0

QuantumPebble673

Up — $500

+$0

bosona

Up — $402.34

+$56.66

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