Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
59
Down 69%
$22.6K
-$685.53
Smart Money Signal
41 of 59 top traders (69%)18 hold an outcome priced under 50%30 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989 | Downavg 50¢ | $8.6K | $8.0K | +$99.37 | 55% 101-83 (184) |
MA machine-earning | Downavg 50¢ | $4.0K | $3.9K | +$247.65 | 45% 408-493 (901) |
TH THG. | Downavg 99¢ | $3.5K | $3.5K | +$35 | 99% 485-3 (488) |
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $1.4K | $1.4K | +$1.4 | 48% 784-863 (1647) |
 cryingbabydicer87 | Downavg 99.5¢ | $851.71 | $855.7 | +$3.99 | 47% 783-880 (1663) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2341-1812 (4153) |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | — |
0X 0x3708CEF9f92678DF15A0473e36c45d68A16cdAf9-1780222715877 | Downavg 79.1¢ | $305.76 | $383.93 | +$78.17 | 48% 420-459 (879) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 73.9¢ | $303.07 | $342.81 | +$39.74 | 52% 3955-3700 (7655) |
FL flippingsharks | Downavg 69.7¢ | $242.01 | $347.3 | +$105.29 | 37% 417-704 (1121) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 74.5¢ | $273.35 | $283.51 | +$10.16 | 46% 576-676 (1252) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 70¢ | $308.49 | $244.79 | -$63.71 | 60% 593-402 (995) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskas | Downavg 72.6¢ | $217.92 | $252.72 | +$39.36 | 35% 444-816 (1260) |
0X 0x855e484854D1411B959dDffddA11A698566C5189-1780249997359 | Downavg 61¢ | $177.04 | $251.68 | +$74.64 | 50% 434-440 (874) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c | Downavg 79¢ | $193.87 | $245.37 | +$51.5 | 59% 560-382 (942) |
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b | Downavg 81.3¢ | $170.88 | $210.19 | +$39.31 | 60% 550-368 (918) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 68¢ | $162.94 | $196.09 | +$33.15 | 51% 1641-1598 (3239) |
0X 0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894 | Downavg 66.6¢ | $175.25 | $182.41 | +$7.16 | 48% 423-450 (873) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 73.2¢ | $189.27 | $180 | -$9.27 | 41% 402-577 (979) |
DE devonpollCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $180 | — | -$180 | 51% 254-244 (498) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 86¢ | $183.52 | $180 | -$3.52 | 53% 1264-1138 (2402) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 74.2¢ | $272.63 | $167.54 | +$4.9 | 27% 453-1214 (1667) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335CTR<$100 | Upavg 29.9¢ | $96.52 | — | -$96.52 | 51% 443-434 (877) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Downavg 78¢ | $119.88 | $151.7 | +$31.82 | 52% 481-436 (917) |
AL almach | Downavg 62¢ | $77.21 | $121.84 | +$44.63 | 47% 731-834 (1565) |
Invested
$8,579
Value
$8.0K
PnL
+$99.37
Record
55%
101-83 (184)
Invested
$4,000
Value
$3.9K
PnL
+$247.65
Record
45%
408-493 (901)
Invested
$3,465
Value
$3.5K
PnL
+$35
Record
99%
485-3 (488)
Invested
$1,399.11
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$1.4
Record
48%
784-863 (1647)
cryingbabydicer87Invested
$851.71
Value
$855.7
PnL
+$3.99
Record
47%
783-880 (1663)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2341-1812 (4153)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
—
Invested
$305.76
Value
$383.93
PnL
+$78.17
Record
48%
420-459 (879)
Invested
$303.07
Value
$342.81
PnL
+$39.74
Record
52%
3955-3700 (7655)
Invested
$242.01
Value
$347.3
PnL
+$105.29
Record
37%
417-704 (1121)
Invested
$273.35
Value
$283.51
PnL
+$10.16
Record
46%
576-676 (1252)
Invested
$308.49
Value
$244.79
PnL
-$63.71
Record
60%
593-402 (995)
x-MoneyForWhiskasInvested
$217.92
Value
$252.72
PnL
+$39.36
Record
35%
444-816 (1260)
Invested
$177.04
Value
$251.68
PnL
+$74.64
Record
50%
434-440 (874)
Invested
$193.87
Value
$245.37
PnL
+$51.5
Record
59%
560-382 (942)
Invested
$170.88
Value
$210.19
PnL
+$39.31
Record
60%
550-368 (918)
Invested
$162.94
Value
$196.09
PnL
+$33.15
Record
51%
1641-1598 (3239)
Invested
$175.25
Value
$182.41
PnL
+$7.16
Record
48%
423-450 (873)
Invested
$189.27
Value
$180
PnL
-$9.27
Record
41%
402-577 (979)
Invested
$180
Value
—
PnL
-$180
Record
51%
254-244 (498)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$183.52
Value
$180
PnL
-$3.52
Record
53%
1264-1138 (2402)
Invested
$272.63
Value
$167.54
PnL
+$4.9
Record
27%
453-1214 (1667)
Invested
$96.52
Value
—
PnL
-$96.52
Record
51%
443-434 (877)
Invested
$119.88
Value
$151.7
PnL
+$31.82
Record
52%
481-436 (917)
Invested
$77.21
Value
$121.84
PnL
+$44.63
Record
47%
731-834 (1565)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989
Down — $8.0K
machine-earning
Down — $3.9K
THG.
Down — $3.5K
0x50f7
Down — $1.4K
cryingbabydicer87
Down — $855.7
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
QuantumPebble673
CTRUp — $0
0x3708CEF9f92678DF15A0473e36c45d68A16cdAf9-1780222715877
Down — $383.93
blue.birds
Down — $342.81
flippingsharks
Down — $347.3