Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
58
Down 60%
$8.0K
$-10.2K
Smart Money Signal
35 of 58 top traders (60%)23 hold an outcome priced under 50%33 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $8.9K | — | $-6.3K | 56% 90-72 (162) |
TH THG. | Downavg 99¢ | $3.2K | $3.3K | +$32.54 | 99% 473-3 (476) |
94 0x949f...14efCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $4.0K | — | $-3.3K | — |
 machinelearned | Downavg 78.1¢ | $536.01 | $686.64 | +$150.63 | 42% 627-882 (1509) |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | — |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 52.1¢ | $537.8 | $489.01 | -$2.61 | 57% 2288-1755 (4043) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 74.1¢ | $370.85 | $394.36 | +$23.51 | 54% 3834-3208 (7042) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 79¢ | $222.78 | $261.73 | +$38.95 | 52% 3913-3669 (7582) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 84.7¢ | $253.01 | $254.43 | +$1.41 | 46% 563-662 (1225) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskas | Downavg 81.8¢ | $253.9 | $236.24 | -$17.66 | 35% 435-801 (1236) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 72.9¢ | $194.48 | $202.69 | +$15.81 | 59% 577-393 (970) |
LI Little-big | Downavg 59.2¢ | $161.93 | $208.72 | +$46.78 | 53% 568-507 (1075) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 78.8¢ | $168.1 | $172.59 | +$4.49 | 41% 391-564 (955) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 59.3¢ | $166.04 | $148.01 | -$18.03 | 53% 1239-1097 (2336) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Upavg 48.1¢ | $134.85 | — | -$134.85 | 48% 1999-2208 (4207) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335 | Downavg 75.8¢ | $151.39 | $133.7 | -$17.7 | 50% 431-424 (855) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c | Downavg 84.4¢ | $118.14 | $139.99 | +$21.85 | 59% 544-377 (921) |
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b | Downavg 84¢ | $111.7 | $127.52 | +$17.34 | 60% 534-361 (895) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 81.9¢ | $116.27 | $119.52 | +$4.11 | 42% 417-578 (995) |
SP spartacray | Downavg 81.2¢ | $105.87 | $125.42 | +$19.55 | 58% 526-383 (909) |
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212 | Downavg 57.5¢ | $116.9 | $203.46 | +$86.56 | 50% 433-432 (865) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 85.8¢ | $95.74 | $105.27 | +$9.53 | 55% 497-399 (896) |
 G-Penis-Monster | Downavg 70.1¢ | $112.3 | $99.34 | +$16.44 | 44% 1135-1448 (2583) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Downavg 88.2¢ | $101.04 | $92.18 | -$8.86 | 49% 451-461 (912) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 75.5¢ | $75.5 | $99.99 | +$24.5 | 50% 1050-1060 (2110) |
Invested
$8,904
Value
—
PnL
$-6.3K
Record
56%
90-72 (162)
Invested
$3,221.8
Value
$3.3K
PnL
+$32.54
Record
99%
473-3 (476)
Invested
$4,000
Value
—
PnL
$-3.3K
Record
—
machinelearnedInvested
$536.01
Value
$686.64
PnL
+$150.63
Record
42%
627-882 (1509)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
—
Invested
$537.8
Value
$489.01
PnL
-$2.61
Record
57%
2288-1755 (4043)
Invested
$370.85
Value
$394.36
PnL
+$23.51
Record
54%
3834-3208 (7042)
Invested
$222.78
Value
$261.73
PnL
+$38.95
Record
52%
3913-3669 (7582)
Invested
$253.01
Value
$254.43
PnL
+$1.41
Record
46%
563-662 (1225)
x-MoneyForWhiskasInvested
$253.9
Value
$236.24
PnL
-$17.66
Record
35%
435-801 (1236)
Invested
$194.48
Value
$202.69
PnL
+$15.81
Record
59%
577-393 (970)
Invested
$161.93
Value
$208.72
PnL
+$46.78
Record
53%
568-507 (1075)
Invested
$168.1
Value
$172.59
PnL
+$4.49
Record
41%
391-564 (955)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$166.04
Value
$148.01
PnL
-$18.03
Record
53%
1239-1097 (2336)
Invested
$134.85
Value
—
PnL
-$134.85
Record
48%
1999-2208 (4207)
Invested
$151.39
Value
$133.7
PnL
-$17.7
Record
50%
431-424 (855)
Invested
$118.14
Value
$139.99
PnL
+$21.85
Record
59%
544-377 (921)
Invested
$111.7
Value
$127.52
PnL
+$17.34
Record
60%
534-361 (895)
Invested
$116.27
Value
$119.52
PnL
+$4.11
Record
42%
417-578 (995)
Invested
$105.87
Value
$125.42
PnL
+$19.55
Record
58%
526-383 (909)
Invested
$116.9
Value
$203.46
PnL
+$86.56
Record
50%
433-432 (865)
Invested
$95.74
Value
$105.27
PnL
+$9.53
Record
55%
497-399 (896)
G-Penis-MonsterInvested
$112.3
Value
$99.34
PnL
+$16.44
Record
44%
1135-1448 (2583)
Invested
$101.04
Value
$92.18
PnL
-$8.86
Record
49%
451-461 (912)
Invested
$75.5
Value
$99.99
PnL
+$24.5
Record
50%
1050-1060 (2110)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989
CTRUp — $0
THG.
Down — $3.3K
0x949f...14ef
CTRUp — $0
machinelearned
Down — $686.64
QuantumPebble673
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
Down — $489.01
stepahead
Down — $394.36
blue.birds
Down — $261.73
CrouchPredictions
Down — $254.43
x-MoneyForWhiskas
Down — $236.24