Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Resolved Up. 74% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 74%

Total Value

$11.3K

Combined PnL

$-7.8K

Smart Money Signal

37 of 50 top traders (74%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%29 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down13 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares9,968

Combined PnL$-8.2K

Up37 traders

Total Value$11.3K

Total Shares11,335

Combined PnL+$420.29

Down — 26%Up — 74%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989CTR	Downavg 50¢	$8.6K	—	$-7.4K	56% 90-72 (162)
TH THG.	Upavg 99¢	$3.5K	$3.5K	+$35	99% 473-3 (476)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 99¢	$2.2K	$2.0K	-$151.88	48% 1046-1143 (2189)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 96.1¢	$1.6K	$1.7K	+$67.17	59% 577-393 (970)
0X 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489	Upavg 99¢	$958.17	$967.85	+$9.68	56% 51-40 (91)
QU QuantumPebble673CTR	Downavg 50¢	$500	—	-$500	—
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 50.6¢	$517.85	$500	+$12.3	57% 2288-1755 (4043)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 87.1¢	$378.12	$396.14	+$18.02	46% 563-662 (1225)
ST stepahead	Upavg 72.4¢	$239.29	$251.59	+$12.3	54% 3834-3208 (7042)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 76.9¢	$250.29	$248.48	+$21.44	52% 3913-3669 (7582)
KA Kathod-Shi-14	Upavg 77.5¢	$168.17	$217.1	+$48.93	55% 1173-958 (2131)
DE devonpollCTR	Downavg 50¢	$180	—	-$180	51% 235-230 (465)
0X 0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658	Upavg 82¢	$152.1	$169	+$16.9	51% 446-434 (880)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 76.9¢	$244.49	$140	-$4.86	53% 1239-1097 (2336)
x-MoneyForWhiskas	Upavg 75.5¢	$139.79	$135.18	-$4.61	35% 435-801 (1236)
EZ EZTRADENL2	Upavg 93.6¢	$130.09	$125	-$5.09	49% 451-461 (912)
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212	Upavg 55.9¢	$66.4	$116.72	+$50.32	50% 433-432 (865)
machinelearned	Upavg 84.5¢	$105.39	$105.77	+$0.38	42% 627-882 (1509)
0X 0x855e484854D1411B959dDffddA11A698566C5189-1780249997359CTR	Downavg 13.9¢	$109.29	—	-$109.29	50% 428-425 (853)
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b	Upavg 85.6¢	$126.58	$99.81	+$13.22	60% 534-361 (895)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions<$100	Upavg 79.1¢	$90.31	$98.27	+$7.96	41% 391-564 (955)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100	Upavg 69.5¢	$56.41	$80.01	+$23.6	59% 544-377 (921)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 82.5¢	$57.5	$69.73	+$12.23	66% 1988-1002 (2990)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100	Upavg 90.5¢	$67.22	$65.5	-$1.72	52% 467-426 (893)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Upavg 88.2¢	$51.94	$58.92	+$6.98	50% 1050-1060 (2110)

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989CTR

Down

Invested

$8,595

Value

—

PnL

$-7.4K

Record

56%

90-72 (162)

THG.

Invested

$3,465

Value

$3.5K

PnL

+$35

Record

99%

473-3 (476)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$2,151.88

Value

$2.0K

PnL

-$151.88

Record

48%

1046-1143 (2189)

Bonereaper

Invested

$1,647.14

Value

$1.7K

PnL

+$67.17

Record

59%

577-393 (970)

0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489

Invested

$958.17

Value

$967.85

PnL

+$9.68

Record

56%

51-40 (91)

QuantumPebble673CTR

Down

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

—

ByteBadger92

Invested

$517.85

Value

$500

PnL

+$12.3

Record

57%

2288-1755 (4043)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$378.12

Value

$396.14

PnL

+$18.02

Record

46%

563-662 (1225)

stepahead

Invested

$239.29

Value

$251.59

PnL

+$12.3

Record

54%

3834-3208 (7042)

blue.birds

Invested

$250.29

Value

$248.48

PnL

+$21.44

Record

52%

3913-3669 (7582)

Kathod-Shi-14

Invested

$168.17

Value

$217.1

PnL

+$48.93

Record

55%

1173-958 (2131)

devonpollCTR

Down

Invested

$180

Value

—

PnL

-$180

Record

51%

235-230 (465)

0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658

Invested

$152.1

Value

$169

PnL

+$16.9

Record

51%

446-434 (880)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$244.49

Value

$140

PnL

-$4.86

Record

53%

1239-1097 (2336)

x-MoneyForWhiskas

Invested

$139.79

Value

$135.18

PnL

-$4.61

Record

35%

435-801 (1236)

EZTRADENL2

Invested

$130.09

Value

$125

PnL

-$5.09

Record

49%

451-461 (912)

0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212

Invested

$66.4

Value

$116.72

PnL

+$50.32

Record

50%

433-432 (865)

machinelearned

Invested

$105.39

Value

$105.77

PnL

+$0.38

Record

42%

627-882 (1509)

0x855e484854D1411B959dDffddA11A698566C5189-1780249997359CTR

Down

Invested

$109.29

Value

—

PnL

-$109.29

Record

50%

428-425 (853)

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b

Invested

$126.58

Value

$99.81

PnL

+$13.22

Record

60%

534-361 (895)

dangerously-skip-permissions<$100

Invested

$90.31

Value

$98.27

PnL

+$7.96

Record

41%

391-564 (955)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100

Invested

$56.41

Value

$80.01

PnL

+$23.6

Record

59%

544-377 (921)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$57.5

Value

$69.73

PnL

+$12.23

Record

66%

1988-1002 (2990)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100

Invested

$67.22

Value

$65.5

PnL

-$1.72

Record

52%

467-426 (893)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$51.94

Value

$58.92

PnL

+$6.98

Record

50%

1050-1060 (2110)

Smart Money Signal

37 of 50 top traders (74%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%29 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xf825f497...386f2d

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794468900

Traders in this Market

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

CTR

Down — $0

$-7.4K

THG.

Up — $3.5K

+$35

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $2.0K

-$151.88

Bonereaper

Up — $1.7K

+$67.17

0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489

Up — $967.85

+$9.68

QuantumPebble673

CTR

Down — $0

-$500

ByteBadger92

Up — $500

+$12.3

CrouchPredictions

Up — $396.14

+$18.02

stepahead

Up — $251.59

+$12.3

blue.birds

Up — $248.48

+$21.44

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