Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 56%

Total Value

$8.1K

Combined PnL

-$911.74

Smart Money Signal

37 of 65 top traders (57%)28 hold an outcome priced under 50%36 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up37 traders

Total Value$8.1K

Total Shares8,093

Combined PnL+$1.9K

Down28 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares7,034

Combined PnL$-2.8K

Up — 57%Down — 43%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BO borderlocket	Upavg 53.8¢	$1.1K	$2.0K	+$904.62	27% 50-135 (185)
Atomforge	Upavg 51.3¢	$947.02	$1.8K	+$899.01	22% 209-752 (961)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 69.7¢	$636.63	$588.27	-$48.36	52% 3880-3635 (7515)
QU QuantumPebble673	Upavg 50¢	$500	$500	+$0	—
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Downavg 49.4¢	$537.14	—	-$500.91	57% 2241-1691 (3932)
ST stepahead	Upavg 66.1¢	$461.15	$423.81	-$37.34	54% 3817-3196 (7013)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 72.7¢	$447.65	$314.64	-$68.33	53% 1210-1069 (2279)
x-MoneyForWhiskas	Upavg 83.3¢	$290.88	$258.64	-$26.99	35% 423-791 (1214)
0X 0xdc27...afdd9a	Upavg 59.5¢	$116.12	$195.11	+$78.99	20% 65-257 (322)
DE devonpoll	Upavg 50¢	$180	$180	-$0	50% 216-217 (433)
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR	Downavg 33.2¢	$295.25	—	-$295.25	41% 383-551 (934)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 66.1¢	$172.15	$168.73	+$9.03	42% 407-568 (975)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 51.8¢	$97.31	$160.9	+$63.59	48% 1024-1120 (2144)
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212	Upavg 85.5¢	$175.33	$140.72	-$34.61	51% 427-418 (845)
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335	Upavg 50.7¢	$65.69	$129.6	+$63.91	50% 421-413 (834)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710	Upavg 78¢	$95.66	$122.64	+$26.98	38% 571-935 (1506)
DR drfc4eybh7i8	Upavg 66.5¢	$105.9	$118.23	+$12.33	62% 2224-1373 (3597)
BO BonereaperCTR	Downavg 39.2¢	$158	—	-$141.79	59% 562-384 (946)
RA rabadabadoo	Upavg 74.6¢	$117.2	$103.6	-$13.6	47% 823-928 (1751)
0X 0x280E296e5f14091642208Ac24614826D9902fbd8-1780260958670CTR	Downavg 47¢	$182.04	—	-$182.04	44% 370-469 (839)
0X 0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658CTR	Downavg 42.5¢	$126.41	—	-$126.41	51% 434-424 (858)
PB PBot-6<$100	Upavg 50¢	$44.24	$88.47	+$44.24	50% 377-383 (760)
0X 0x3708CEF9f92678DF15A0473e36c45d68A16cdAf9-1780222715877	Upavg 64¢	$105.2	$84.49	-$20.71	48% 402-435 (837)
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100	Upavg 96.4¢	$96.32	$83.89	-$12.43	49% 440-450 (890)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 70.6¢	$68.62	$81.53	+$12.91	67% 1947-979 (2926)

borderlocket

Invested

$1,052.65

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$904.62

Record

27%

50-135 (185)

Atomforge

Invested

$947.02

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$899.01

Record

22%

209-752 (961)

blue.birds

Invested

$636.63

Value

$588.27

PnL

-$48.36

Record

52%

3880-3635 (7515)

QuantumPebble673

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$0

Record

—

ByteBadger92CTR

Down

Invested

$537.14

Value

—

PnL

-$500.91

Record

57%

2241-1691 (3932)

stepahead

Invested

$461.15

Value

$423.81

PnL

-$37.34

Record

54%

3817-3196 (7013)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$447.65

Value

$314.64

PnL

-$68.33

Record

53%

1210-1069 (2279)

x-MoneyForWhiskas

Invested

$290.88

Value

$258.64

PnL

-$26.99

Record

35%

423-791 (1214)

0xdc27...afdd9a

Invested

$116.12

Value

$195.11

PnL

+$78.99

Record

20%

65-257 (322)

devonpoll

Invested

$180

Value

$180

PnL

-$0

Record

50%

216-217 (433)

dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR

Down

Invested

$295.25

Value

—

PnL

-$295.25

Record

41%

383-551 (934)

GoodFallen

Invested

$172.15

Value

$168.73

PnL

+$9.03

Record

42%

407-568 (975)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$97.31

Value

$160.9

PnL

+$63.59

Record

48%

1024-1120 (2144)

0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212

Invested

$175.33

Value

$140.72

PnL

-$34.61

Record

51%

427-418 (845)

0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335

Invested

$65.69

Value

$129.6

PnL

+$63.91

Record

50%

421-413 (834)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Invested

$95.66

Value

$122.64

PnL

+$26.98

Record

38%

571-935 (1506)

drfc4eybh7i8

Invested

$105.9

Value

$118.23

PnL

+$12.33

Record

62%

2224-1373 (3597)

BonereaperCTR

Down

Invested

$158

Value

—

PnL

-$141.79

Record

59%

562-384 (946)

rabadabadoo

Invested

$117.2

Value

$103.6

PnL

-$13.6

Record

47%

823-928 (1751)

0x280E296e5f14091642208Ac24614826D9902fbd8-1780260958670CTR

Down

Invested

$182.04

Value

—

PnL

-$182.04

Record

44%

370-469 (839)

0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658CTR

Down

Invested

$126.41

Value

—

PnL

-$126.41

Record

51%

434-424 (858)

PBot-6<$100

Invested

$44.24

Value

$88.47

PnL

+$44.24

Record

50%

377-383 (760)

0x3708CEF9f92678DF15A0473e36c45d68A16cdAf9-1780222715877

Invested

$105.2

Value

$84.49

PnL

-$20.71

Record

48%

402-435 (837)

EZTRADENL2<$100

Invested

$96.32

Value

$83.89

PnL

-$12.43

Record

49%

440-450 (890)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$68.62

Value

$81.53

PnL

+$12.91

Record

67%

1947-979 (2926)

Smart Money Signal

37 of 65 top traders (57%)28 hold an outcome priced under 50%36 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xa876aed4...00b9f3

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794461700

Traders in this Market

borderlocket

Up — $2.0K

+$904.62

Atomforge

Up — $1.8K

+$899.01

blue.birds

Up — $588.27

-$48.36

QuantumPebble673

Up — $500

+$0

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$500.91

stepahead

Up — $423.81

-$37.34

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $314.64

-$68.33

x-MoneyForWhiskas

Up — $258.64

-$26.99

0xdc27...afdd9a

Up — $195.11

+$78.99

devonpoll

Up — $180

-$0

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