Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 71%

Total Value

$11.9K

Combined PnL

$-2.5K

Smart Money Signal

45 of 63 top traders (71%)18 hold an outcome priced under 50%27 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up45 traders

Total Value$11.9K

Total Shares11,856

Combined PnL-$150.74

Down18 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares5,358

Combined PnL$-2.4K

Up — 71%Down — 29%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BoneOhio	Upavg 98.1¢	$3.6K	$3.6K	+$70.61	74% 859-301 (1160)
machinelearned	Upavg 84.7¢	$1.0K	$1.0K	+$2.09	41% 608-864 (1472)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 80.2¢	$966.08	$866.72	-$70.26	52% 3861-3605 (7466)
ST stepahead	Upavg 64.1¢	$508.76	$512.87	+$4.11	54% 3803-3190 (6993)
QU QuantumPebble673	Upavg 50¢	$500	$500	+$0	—
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Downavg 47.1¢	$573.34	—	-$489	57% 2204-1653 (3857)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 72.9¢	$470.66	$437.49	-$29.08	59% 553-378 (931)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 82¢	$490.76	$348.89	-$141.88	41% 375-544 (919)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 84¢	$303.83	$305.94	+$2.12	42% 400-560 (960)
0X 0x855e484854D1411B959dDffddA11A698566C5189-1780249997359	Upavg 78.5¢	$279.77	$290.79	+$11.03	50% 411-410 (821)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 62.1¢	$290.53	$258.33	+$27.8	53% 1187-1055 (2242)
0X 0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894	Upavg 75.8¢	$243.19	$253.85	+$10.66	49% 400-419 (819)
MO mo-money	Upavg 70.5¢	$269.73	$226.12	-$43.61	46% 691-800 (1491)
x-MoneyForWhiskas	Upavg 70.8¢	$206.13	$221.14	+$15.02	35% 418-781 (1199)
0X 0x280E296e5f14091642208Ac24614826D9902fbd8-1780260958670	Upavg 78.1¢	$291.44	$219.55	-$71.89	44% 363-462 (825)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 73.6¢	$292.43	$200.7	-$91.73	46% 539-637 (1176)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c	Upavg 66.7¢	$172.62	$181.16	+$48.54	59% 522-363 (885)
82 0x828b...a12b	Upavg 50¢	$180	$180	+$0	49% 206-212 (418)
0X 0x3708CEF9f92678DF15A0473e36c45d68A16cdAf9-1780222715877	Upavg 59.5¢	$163.89	$173.33	+$9.44	48% 394-428 (822)
RA rabadabadoo	Upavg 69.3¢	$205.95	$173.17	-$16.38	47% 809-913 (1722)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 50.3¢	$92.71	$164.34	+$71.63	48% 1012-1108 (2120)
DR drfc4eybh7i8	Upavg 80.8¢	$187.46	$154.19	-$0.53	62% 2187-1350 (3537)
ohioism	Upavg 68.9¢	$130.74	$152.16	+$23.92	48% 1098-1190 (2288)
FL flippingsharks	Upavg 84¢	$161.18	$141.39	+$18.42	38% 401-660 (1061)
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212CTR	Downavg 38.6¢	$189.99	—	-$189.99	51% 422-410 (832)

BoneOhio

Invested

$3,572.05

Value

$3.6K

PnL

+$70.61

Record

74%

859-301 (1160)

machinelearned

Invested

$1,014.34

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$2.09

Record

41%

608-864 (1472)

blue.birds

Invested

$966.08

Value

$866.72

PnL

-$70.26

Record

52%

3861-3605 (7466)

stepahead

Invested

$508.76

Value

$512.87

PnL

+$4.11

Record

54%

3803-3190 (6993)

QuantumPebble673

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$0

Record

—

ByteBadger92CTR

Down

Invested

$573.34

Value

—

PnL

-$489

Record

57%

2204-1653 (3857)

Bonereaper

Invested

$470.66

Value

$437.49

PnL

-$29.08

Record

59%

553-378 (931)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$490.76

Value

$348.89

PnL

-$141.88

Record

41%

375-544 (919)

GoodFallen

Invested

$303.83

Value

$305.94

PnL

+$2.12

Record

42%

400-560 (960)

0x855e484854D1411B959dDffddA11A698566C5189-1780249997359

Invested

$279.77

Value

$290.79

PnL

+$11.03

Record

50%

411-410 (821)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$290.53

Value

$258.33

PnL

+$27.8

Record

53%

1187-1055 (2242)

0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894

Invested

$243.19

Value

$253.85

PnL

+$10.66

Record

49%

400-419 (819)

mo-money

Invested

$269.73

Value

$226.12

PnL

-$43.61

Record

46%

691-800 (1491)

x-MoneyForWhiskas

Invested

$206.13

Value

$221.14

PnL

+$15.02

Record

35%

418-781 (1199)

0x280E296e5f14091642208Ac24614826D9902fbd8-1780260958670

Invested

$291.44

Value

$219.55

PnL

-$71.89

Record

44%

363-462 (825)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$292.43

Value

$200.7

PnL

-$91.73

Record

46%

539-637 (1176)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Invested

$172.62

Value

$181.16

PnL

+$48.54

Record

59%

522-363 (885)

0x828b...a12b

Invested

$180

Value

$180

PnL

+$0

Record

49%

206-212 (418)

0x3708CEF9f92678DF15A0473e36c45d68A16cdAf9-1780222715877

Invested

$163.89

Value

$173.33

PnL

+$9.44

Record

48%

394-428 (822)

rabadabadoo

Invested

$205.95

Value

$173.17

PnL

-$16.38

Record

47%

809-913 (1722)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$92.71

Value

$164.34

PnL

+$71.63

Record

48%

1012-1108 (2120)

drfc4eybh7i8

Invested

$187.46

Value

$154.19

PnL

-$0.53

Record

62%

2187-1350 (3537)

ohioism

Invested

$130.74

Value

$152.16

PnL

+$23.92

Record

48%

1098-1190 (2288)

flippingsharks

Invested

$161.18

Value

$141.39

PnL

+$18.42

Record

38%

401-660 (1061)

0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212CTR

Down

Invested

$189.99

Value

—

PnL

-$189.99

Record

51%

422-410 (832)

Smart Money Signal

45 of 63 top traders (71%)18 hold an outcome priced under 50%27 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x1a0f7115...d3570c

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794459900

Traders in this Market

BoneOhio

Up — $3.6K

+$70.61

machinelearned

Up — $1.0K

+$2.09

blue.birds

Up — $866.72

-$70.26

stepahead

Up — $512.87

+$4.11

QuantumPebble673

Up — $500

+$0

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$489

Bonereaper

Up — $437.49

-$29.08

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $348.89

-$141.88

GoodFallen

Up — $305.94

+$2.12

0x855e484854D1411B959dDffddA11A698566C5189-1780249997359

Up — $290.79

+$11.03

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