Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Resolved Up. 66% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
59
Up 66%
2 arb excluded
$18.1K
$-2.3K
Smart Money Signal
39 of 59 top traders (66%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed20 hold an outcome priced under 50%26 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989 | Upavg 50¢ | $9.0K | $8.5K | +$11.11 | 57% 73-56 (129) |
 BoneOhio | Upavg 99¢ | $2.8K | $2.9K | +$29.28 | 74% 846-295 (1141) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 98¢ | $890.91 | $800 | -$90.91 | 41% 599-859 (1458) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 55.2¢ | $501.15 | $557.56 | +$56.4 | 46% 534-630 (1164) |
BO BonereaperCTR | Downavg 51.1¢ | $595.69 | — | -$595.69 | 60% 549-373 (922) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | — |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 49.6¢ | $596.35 | — | -$506.45 | 57% 2190-1623 (3813) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Downavg 47.6¢ | $451.38 | — | -$451.38 | 47% 1681-1866 (3547) |
ST stepahead | Upavg 61.6¢ | $395.95 | $401.69 | +$5.74 | 54% 3796-3185 (6981) |
MO mo-money | Upavg 91¢ | $598.48 | $372.6 | -$216.52 | 46% 686-795 (1481) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 40.7¢ | $257.88 | $346.1 | +$88.22 | 41% 370-540 (910) |
0X 0x3708CEF9f92678DF15A0473e36c45d68A16cdAf9-1780222715877 | Upavg 81.9¢ | $309.61 | $320.84 | +$11.23 | 48% 392-421 (813) |
BL blue.birds | Upavg 69.1¢ | $305.47 | $255.26 | -$50.21 | 52% 3844-3594 (7438) |
0X 0x280E296e5f14091642208Ac24614826D9902fbd8-1780260958670ARB<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $211.24 | $185.41 | -$25.82 | 44% 358-458 (816) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 46¢ | $138 | — | -$138 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 39.5¢ | $73.24 | $185.41 | +$112.18 | |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 46.6¢ | $168.81 | $233.02 | +$64.22 | 42% 396-555 (951) |
 pspspsps5 | Upavg 97.6¢ | $218.59 | $222 | +$3.41 | 34% 561-1084 (1645) |
BO bosona | Upavg 80.3¢ | $248.54 | $212.67 | -$29.4 | 50% 3912-3912 (7824) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 60¢ | $229.2 | $199.94 | -$29.26 | 26% 423-1174 (1597) |
0X 0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658 | Upavg 57.8¢ | $109.34 | $189 | +$79.67 | 50% 421-413 (834) |
RA rabadabadooCTR | Downavg 45.6¢ | $150.36 | — | -$150.36 | 47% 799-905 (1704) |
97 0x976d...8b63ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.5¢ | $150 | $135.37 | -$8.63 | — |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.5¢ | $74.25 | — | -$74.25 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.5¢ | $68.36 | $135.37 | +$65.62 | |
 x-MoneyForWhiskas | Upavg 43.2¢ | $119.42 | $139.32 | +$19.9 | 34% 410-780 (1190) |
AS asdaefef | Upavg 81¢ | $136.79 | $126.2 | -$4.11 | 67% 1888-951 (2839) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 95¢ | $123.45 | $125 | +$1.55 | 53% 1174-1043 (2217) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14 | Upavg 70.9¢ | $128.7 | $115.59 | -$10.52 | 55% 1115-909 (2024) |
Invested
$8,985
Value
$8.5K
PnL
+$11.11
Record
57%
73-56 (129)
BoneOhioInvested
$2,823.81
Value
$2.9K
PnL
+$29.28
Record
74%
846-295 (1141)
machinelearnedInvested
$890.91
Value
$800
PnL
-$90.91
Record
41%
599-859 (1458)
Invested
$501.15
Value
$557.56
PnL
+$56.4
Record
46%
534-630 (1164)
Invested
$595.69
Value
—
PnL
-$595.69
Record
60%
549-373 (922)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
—
Invested
$596.35
Value
—
PnL
-$506.45
Record
57%
2190-1623 (3813)
Invested
$451.38
Value
—
PnL
-$451.38
Record
47%
1681-1866 (3547)
Invested
$395.95
Value
$401.69
PnL
+$5.74
Record
54%
3796-3185 (6981)
Invested
$598.48
Value
$372.6
PnL
-$216.52
Record
46%
686-795 (1481)
Invested
$257.88
Value
$346.1
PnL
+$88.22
Record
41%
370-540 (910)
Invested
$309.61
Value
$320.84
PnL
+$11.23
Record
48%
392-421 (813)
Invested
$305.47
Value
$255.26
PnL
-$50.21
Record
52%
3844-3594 (7438)
Invested
$211.24
Value
$185.41
PnL
-$25.82
Record
44%
358-458 (816)
Both legs:
Invested
$168.81
Value
$233.02
PnL
+$64.22
Record
42%
396-555 (951)
pspspsps5Invested
$218.59
Value
$222
PnL
+$3.41
Record
34%
561-1084 (1645)
Invested
$248.54
Value
$212.67
PnL
-$29.4
Record
50%
3912-3912 (7824)
Invested
$229.2
Value
$199.94
PnL
-$29.26
Record
26%
423-1174 (1597)
Invested
$109.34
Value
$189
PnL
+$79.67
Record
50%
421-413 (834)
Invested
$150.36
Value
—
PnL
-$150.36
Record
47%
799-905 (1704)
Invested
$150
Value
$135.37
PnL
-$8.63
Record
—
Both legs:
x-MoneyForWhiskasInvested
$119.42
Value
$139.32
PnL
+$19.9
Record
34%
410-780 (1190)
Invested
$136.79
Value
$126.2
PnL
-$4.11
Record
67%
1888-951 (2839)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$123.45
Value
$125
PnL
+$1.55
Record
53%
1174-1043 (2217)
Invested
$128.7
Value
$115.59
PnL
-$10.52
Record
55%
1115-909 (2024)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989
Up — $8.5K
BoneOhio
Up — $2.9K
machinelearned
Up — $800
CrouchPredictions
Up — $557.56
Bonereaper
CTRDown — $0
QuantumPebble673
Up — $500
ByteBadger92
CTRDown — $0
38791873984189
CTRDown — $0
stepahead
Up — $401.69
mo-money
Up — $372.6