Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 61%

Total Value

$8.6K

Combined PnL

$-7.9K

Smart Money Signal

33 of 55 top traders (60%)22 hold an outcome priced under 50%35 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down22 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares11,687

Combined PnL$-8.6K

Up33 traders

Total Value$8.6K

Total Shares8,570

Combined PnL+$657.18

Down — 40%Up — 60%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989CTR	Downavg 50¢	$8.7K	—	$-8.1K	57% 73-56 (129)
TH THG.	Upavg 99¢	$3.5K	$3.5K	+$35	99% 448-2 (450)
QU QuantumPebble673	Upavg 50¢	$500	$500	+$0	—
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 50.1¢	$519.66	$492.04	+$7.31	57% 2190-1623 (3813)
machinelearned	Upavg 74¢	$342.41	$462.72	+$120.3	41% 599-859 (1458)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 72.1¢	$338.6	$370.55	+$31.94	60% 549-373 (922)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 83.7¢	$360.2	$362.46	+$2.26	52% 3844-3594 (7438)
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335	Upavg 50.8¢	$231.98	$284.5	+$52.52	51% 413-399 (812)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 48.3¢	$259.58	$465.73	+$206.15	48% 1010-1104 (2114)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 85.5¢	$305.57	$220.42	-$85.16	41% 370-540 (910)
UN uninformedfloww	Upavg 78.2¢	$178.61	$228.31	+$49.7	50% 977-986 (1963)
ST stepahead	Upavg 62.1¢	$162.11	$181.55	+$19.43	54% 3796-3185 (6981)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 85.4¢	$171.97	$180.76	+$8.79	53% 1174-1043 (2217)
SP spartacray	Upavg 74.2¢	$118.53	$147.93	+$34.53	58% 502-365 (867)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 72.2¢	$123.71	$130.48	+$6.77	26% 423-1174 (1597)
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b	Upavg 76.3¢	$95.2	$120	+$24.8	60% 513-340 (853)
0X 0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894	Upavg 49.9¢	$62.69	$105	+$42.31	49% 396-415 (811)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100	Upavg 72.7¢	$91.18	$96.54	+$19.86	59% 518-358 (876)
RA rabadabadoo<$100	Upavg 67.2¢	$97.96	$89.29	-$8.67	47% 799-905 (1704)
x-MoneyForWhiskas<$100	Upavg 64.5¢	$84.17	$82.82	-$1.35	34% 410-780 (1190)
38 38791873984189CTR<$100	Downavg 49¢	$85.43	—	-$85.43	47% 1681-1866 (3547)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 67.5¢	$57.65	$85.38	+$27.73	67% 1888-951 (2839)
0X 0x280E296e5f14091642208Ac24614826D9902fbd8-1780260958670	Upavg 95¢	$111.58	$67.68	-$43.9	44% 358-458 (816)
97 0x976d...8b63CTR	Downavg 49.5¢	$150	—	-$67.76	—
0X 0x3708CEF9f92678DF15A0473e36c45d68A16cdAf9-1780222715877CTR<$100	Downavg 40.1¢	$47.84	—	-$47.84	48% 392-421 (813)

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989CTR

Down

Invested

$8,710

Value

—

PnL

$-8.1K

Record

57%

73-56 (129)

THG.

Invested

$3,465

Value

$3.5K

PnL

+$35

Record

99%

448-2 (450)

QuantumPebble673

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$0

Record

—

ByteBadger92

Invested

$519.66

Value

$492.04

PnL

+$7.31

Record

57%

2190-1623 (3813)

machinelearned

Invested

$342.41

Value

$462.72

PnL

+$120.3

Record

41%

599-859 (1458)

Bonereaper

Invested

$338.6

Value

$370.55

PnL

+$31.94

Record

60%

549-373 (922)

blue.birds

Invested

$360.2

Value

$362.46

PnL

+$2.26

Record

52%

3844-3594 (7438)

0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335

Invested

$231.98

Value

$284.5

PnL

+$52.52

Record

51%

413-399 (812)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$259.58

Value

$465.73

PnL

+$206.15

Record

48%

1010-1104 (2114)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$305.57

Value

$220.42

PnL

-$85.16

Record

41%

370-540 (910)

uninformedfloww

Invested

$178.61

Value

$228.31

PnL

+$49.7

Record

50%

977-986 (1963)

stepahead

Invested

$162.11

Value

$181.55

PnL

+$19.43

Record

54%

3796-3185 (6981)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$171.97

Value

$180.76

PnL

+$8.79

Record

53%

1174-1043 (2217)

spartacray

Invested

$118.53

Value

$147.93

PnL

+$34.53

Record

58%

502-365 (867)

ply-pm0

Invested

$123.71

Value

$130.48

PnL

+$6.77

Record

26%

423-1174 (1597)

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b

Invested

$95.2

Value

$120

PnL

+$24.8

Record

60%

513-340 (853)

0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894

Invested

$62.69

Value

$105

PnL

+$42.31

Record

49%

396-415 (811)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100

Invested

$91.18

Value

$96.54

PnL

+$19.86

Record

59%

518-358 (876)

rabadabadoo<$100

Invested

$97.96

Value

$89.29

PnL

-$8.67

Record

47%

799-905 (1704)

x-MoneyForWhiskas<$100

Invested

$84.17

Value

$82.82

PnL

-$1.35

Record

34%

410-780 (1190)

38791873984189CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$85.43

Value

—

PnL

-$85.43

Record

47%

1681-1866 (3547)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$57.65

Value

$85.38

PnL

+$27.73

Record

67%

1888-951 (2839)

0x280E296e5f14091642208Ac24614826D9902fbd8-1780260958670

Invested

$111.58

Value

$67.68

PnL

-$43.9

Record

44%

358-458 (816)

0x976d...8b63CTR

Down

Invested

$150

Value

—

PnL

-$67.76

Record

—

0x3708CEF9f92678DF15A0473e36c45d68A16cdAf9-1780222715877CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$47.84

Value

—

PnL

-$47.84

Record

48%

392-421 (813)

Smart Money Signal

33 of 55 top traders (60%)22 hold an outcome priced under 50%35 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x0c331cb6...98cba5

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794456000

Traders in this Market

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

CTR

Down — $0

$-8.1K

THG.

Up — $3.5K

+$35

QuantumPebble673

Up — $500

+$0

ByteBadger92

Up — $492.04

+$7.31

machinelearned

Up — $462.72

+$120.3

Bonereaper

Up — $370.55

+$31.94

blue.birds

Up — $362.46

+$2.26

0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335

Up — $284.5

+$52.52

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $465.73

+$206.15

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $220.42

-$85.16

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