Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
52
Down 63%
$4.4K
$147.75
Smart Money Signal
33 of 52 top traders (63%)19 hold an outcome priced under 50%42 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 91.5¢ | $2.1K | $2.1K | +$79.96 | 59% 536-371 (907) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 84.7¢ | $284.85 | $336.4 | +$51.55 | 41% 588-855 (1443) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335 | Downavg 96¢ | $162.24 | $169 | +$6.76 | 51% 407-391 (798) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 67.5¢ | $111.6 | $165.26 | +$53.66 | 52% 498-458 (956) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskas | Downavg 69.7¢ | $127.75 | $147.96 | +$20.21 | 34% 402-773 (1175) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 64.6¢ | $110.7 | $142.96 | +$34.76 | 41% 363-532 (895) |
 OhioRiskManagement | Downavg 99¢ | $131 | $131 | +$0 | 39% 676-1067 (1743) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.8¢ | $119.55 | $121 | +$1.45 | 98% 1917-39 (1956) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 66.9¢ | $116.3 | $128.62 | +$12.31 | 54% 3785-3176 (6961) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 73.8¢ | $101.25 | $118.66 | +$17.41 | 52% 3819-3574 (7393) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 76.8¢ | $58.84 | $76.62 | +$17.78 | 66% 1796-933 (2729) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 41.6¢ | $31.75 | $76.28 | +$44.53 | — |
EZ EZTRADENL2<$100 | Downavg 96.3¢ | $90.75 | $75 | -$15.75 | — |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Downavg 49.3¢ | $37.09 | $65.95 | +$28.85 | 26% 419-1163 (1582) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 81.9¢ | $47.18 | $57.64 | +$10.45 | — |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 50.7¢ | $27.9 | $55 | +$27.1 | 44% 1012-1265 (2277) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $48.6 | $40 | -$8.6 | 53% 1148-1015 (2163) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 50.2¢ | $21.41 | $40.47 | +$19.06 | 62% 2042-1276 (3318) |
PA PapeasyCTR<$100 | Upavg 61¢ | $45.74 | — | -$45.74 | 50% 3472-3414 (6886) |
0X 0x855e484854D1411B959dDffddA11A698566C5189-1780249997359CTR<$100 | Upavg 10.8¢ | $24.07 | — | -$24.07 | — |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $33.95 | $35 | +$1.05 | 46% 569-681 (1250) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Downavg 39.1¢ | $12.41 | $31.78 | +$19.37 | 41% 388-548 (936) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $43.98 | — | -$43.98 | 48% 998-1097 (2095) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $30.85 | $39.05 | +$8.2 | — |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Downavg 47.6¢ | $21.6 | $45.33 | +$23.73 | 57% 4421-3277 (7698) |
Invested
$2,072.73
Value
$2.1K
PnL
+$79.96
Record
59%
536-371 (907)
machinelearnedInvested
$284.85
Value
$336.4
PnL
+$51.55
Record
41%
588-855 (1443)
Invested
$162.24
Value
$169
PnL
+$6.76
Record
51%
407-391 (798)
Invested
$111.6
Value
$165.26
PnL
+$53.66
Record
52%
498-458 (956)
x-MoneyForWhiskasInvested
$127.75
Value
$147.96
PnL
+$20.21
Record
34%
402-773 (1175)
Invested
$110.7
Value
$142.96
PnL
+$34.76
Record
41%
363-532 (895)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$131
Value
$131
PnL
+$0
Record
39%
676-1067 (1743)
Invested
$119.55
Value
$121
PnL
+$1.45
Record
98%
1917-39 (1956)
Invested
$116.3
Value
$128.62
PnL
+$12.31
Record
54%
3785-3176 (6961)
Invested
$101.25
Value
$118.66
PnL
+$17.41
Record
52%
3819-3574 (7393)
Invested
$58.84
Value
$76.62
PnL
+$17.78
Record
66%
1796-933 (2729)
Invested
$31.75
Value
$76.28
PnL
+$44.53
Record
—
Invested
$90.75
Value
$75
PnL
-$15.75
Record
—
Invested
$37.09
Value
$65.95
PnL
+$28.85
Record
26%
419-1163 (1582)
Invested
$47.18
Value
$57.64
PnL
+$10.45
Record
—
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$27.9
Value
$55
PnL
+$27.1
Record
44%
1012-1265 (2277)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$48.6
Value
$40
PnL
-$8.6
Record
53%
1148-1015 (2163)
Invested
$21.41
Value
$40.47
PnL
+$19.06
Record
62%
2042-1276 (3318)
Invested
$45.74
Value
—
PnL
-$45.74
Record
50%
3472-3414 (6886)
Invested
$24.07
Value
—
PnL
-$24.07
Record
—
Invested
$33.95
Value
$35
PnL
+$1.05
Record
46%
569-681 (1250)
Invested
$12.41
Value
$31.78
PnL
+$19.37
Record
41%
388-548 (936)
Invested
$43.98
Value
—
PnL
-$43.98
Record
48%
998-1097 (2095)
Invested
$30.85
Value
$39.05
PnL
+$8.2
Record
—
Invested
$21.6
Value
$45.33
PnL
+$23.73
Record
57%
4421-3277 (7698)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Bonereaper
Down — $2.1K
machinelearned
Down — $336.4
0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335
Down — $169
wzbbb
Down — $165.26
x-MoneyForWhiskas
Down — $147.96
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $142.96
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $131
hoodquant
Down — $121
stepahead
Down — $128.62
blue.birds
Down — $118.66