Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 63%

12 arb excluded

Total Value

$5.5K

Combined PnL

-$225.96

Smart Money Signal

25 of 42 top traders (60%)12 arbitrage traders dimmed17 hold an outcome priced under 50%34 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up25 traders

Total Value$3.9K

Total Shares3,906

Combined PnL+$253.72

Down17 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,868

Combined PnL-$479.68

Up — 60%Down — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 91.1¢	$2.1K	$2.0K	-$95.59	59% 536-371 (907)
CR CrouchPredictionsARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$236.36	$374.89	+$138.53	46% 527-617 (1144)
└ Down leg	Downavg 6.5¢	$48.82	—	-$48.82
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$187.54	$374.89	+$187.35
BL blue.birds	Upavg 81.5¢	$550.64	$492.38	-$29.16	52% 3819-3574 (7393)
BO bosonaCTR	Downavg 21.9¢	$151.38	—	-$151.38	50% 3891-3897 (7788)
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 62¢	$234.55	$271.4	+$54.77	52% 498-458 (956)
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsARB<$100	Upavg 50.2¢	$191.49	$230.04	+$38.56	41% 363-532 (895)
└ Down leg	Downavg 32.4¢	$76	—	-$76
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.2¢	$115.49	$230.04	+$114.56
ST stepaheadARB<$100	Upavg 72.3¢	$144.82	$165.09	+$20.27	54% 3785-3176 (6961)
└ Up leg	Upavg 72.3¢	$119.32	$165.09	+$45.77
└ Down leg	Downavg 19.8¢	$25.5	—	-$25.5
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eARB<$100	Upavg 76.5¢	$117.12	$108.59	-$8.53	—
└ Down leg	Downavg 21¢	$34.04	—	-$34.04
└ Up leg	Upavg 76.5¢	$83.08	$108.59	+$25.51
RE Repentant-Dealer-GlidingARB<$100	Upavg 77.4¢	$165.45	$135.92	-$29.53	—
└ Up leg	Upavg 77.4¢	$105.2	$135.92	+$30.72
└ Down leg	Downavg 46.3¢	$60.25	—	-$60.25
x-MoneyForWhiskasARB<$100	Upavg 54.8¢	$87.11	$109.85	+$22.73	34% 402-773 (1175)
└ Up leg	Upavg 54.8¢	$60.25	$109.85	+$49.6
└ Down leg	Downavg 30.5¢	$26.87	—	-$26.87
PL ply-pm0ARB<$100	Upavg 64.4¢	$102.81	$110.13	+$7.32	26% 419-1163 (1582)
└ Up leg	Upavg 64.4¢	$70.9	$110.13	+$39.23
└ Down leg	Downavg 37.8¢	$31.91	—	-$31.91
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 66.2¢	$62.68	$94.69	+$32.01	66% 1796-933 (2729)
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212	Upavg 47.1¢	$79.99	$167.1	+$87.11	51% 410-400 (810)
EZ EZTRADENL2ARB<$100	Upavg 97¢	$65.72	$60.02	-$5.7	—
└ Down leg	Downavg 7.5¢	$7.5	—	-$7.5
└ Up leg	Upavg 97¢	$58.22	$60.02	+$1.8
0X 0x280E296e5f14091642208Ac24614826D9902fbd8-1780260958670ARB<$100	Upavg 70¢	$81.62	$84.5	+$2.88	—
└ Up leg	Upavg 70¢	$59.15	$84.5	+$25.35
└ Down leg	Downavg 33¢	$22.47	—	-$22.47
G-Penis-Monster	Upavg 69¢	$103.43	$149.9	+$46.47	44% 1012-1265 (2277)
AL almachCTR<$100	Downavg 5¢	$7.32	—	-$7.32	47% 668-756 (1424)
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100	Downavg 38.1¢	$51.38	—	-$51.38	46% 669-781 (1450)
Polkadot-FrogARB<$100	Upavg 78.5¢	$96.24	$69.3	+$12.24	53% 1148-1015 (2163)
└ Up leg	Upavg 78.5¢	$54.43	$69.3	+$22.64
└ Down leg	Downavg 17.3¢	$10.4	—	-$10.4
FairValueMachineARB<$100	Upavg 58.6¢	$72.56	$68.51	-$4.05	53% 4150-3615 (7765)
└ Up leg	Upavg 58.6¢	$40.16	$68.51	+$28.35
└ Down leg	Downavg 54¢	$32.4	—	-$32.4
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335ARB<$100	Upavg 96¢	$89.63	$84.5	-$5.13	51% 407-391 (798)
└ Up leg	Upavg 96¢	$81.12	$84.5	+$3.38
└ Down leg	Downavg 20¢	$8.51	—	-$8.51
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b<$100	Upavg 81.6¢	$81.83	$85.6	+$3.77	—
SE seeeeeeb<$100	Upavg 73.3¢	$45.2	$61.69	+$16.49	—
0X 0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658CTR<$100	Downavg 48.4¢	$59.98	—	-$59.98	50% 110-110 (220)
SU suntori	Upavg 98¢	$109.3	$110.1	+$0.8	—