Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
54
Down 65%
$11.2K
-$201.56
Smart Money Signal
35 of 54 top traders (65%)19 hold an outcome priced under 50%28 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TH THG. | Downavg 99¢ | $3.5K | $3.5K | +$35 | 100% 96-0 (96) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 80.3¢ | $1.5K | $1.6K | +$106.61 | 59% 536-371 (907) |
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $1.3K | $1.3K | -$0.19 | 47% 629-703 (1332) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 83.4¢ | $487.97 | $553.1 | +$65.13 | 52% 498-458 (956) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 86.1¢ | $548.03 | $457.43 | -$90.59 | 41% 588-855 (1443) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 62.8¢ | $395.5 | $390.56 | -$4.95 | 26% 419-1163 (1582) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 58.2¢ | $267.64 | $336.92 | +$69.28 | 41% 363-532 (895) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 47.2¢ | $215.93 | $323.79 | +$107.86 | 41% 388-548 (936) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 47.1¢ | $238.76 | $260.86 | +$22.11 | 54% 3785-3176 (6961) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 96¢ | $227.33 | $236.8 | +$9.47 | 46% 669-781 (1450) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 93¢ | $196.51 | $170 | -$26.51 | 46% 527-617 (1144) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Downavg 55¢ | $139.29 | $221.03 | +$81.74 | — |
LI Little-big | Downavg 76.4¢ | $122.19 | $159.98 | +$37.79 | — |
AS asdaefef | Downavg 63.8¢ | $175.35 | $156.81 | +$0.8 | 66% 1796-933 (2729) |
0X 0x280E296e5f14091642208Ac24614826D9902fbd8-1780260958670 | Downavg 82.9¢ | $145.07 | $171.92 | +$26.86 | — |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.5¢ | $147.24 | $149.54 | +$2.3 | 98% 1917-39 (1956) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR | Upavg 34.9¢ | $127.46 | — | -$127.46 | 34% 402-773 (1175) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 57.3¢ | $97.91 | $147.22 | +$49.31 | 52% 3819-3574 (7393) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR | Upavg 61.5¢ | $123.7 | — | -$123.7 | 44% 1012-1265 (2277) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335 | Downavg 29¢ | $47.53 | $128.68 | +$81.15 | 51% 407-391 (798) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c | Downavg 57¢ | $98.63 | $119.99 | +$21.36 | 59% 508-353 (861) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14 | Downavg 50.8¢ | $75.27 | $133.07 | +$57.8 | — |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR | Upavg 27.2¢ | $144.52 | — | -$144.52 | — |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 44.1¢ | $66.51 | $90.4 | +$23.89 | 49% 1034-1095 (2129) |
 BoneOhioCTR | Upavg 58.6¢ | $146.49 | — | -$146.49 | 74% 773-277 (1050) |
Invested
$3,465
Value
$3.5K
PnL
+$35
Record
100%
96-0 (96)
Invested
$1,474.26
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$106.61
Record
59%
536-371 (907)
Invested
$1,343.41
Value
$1.3K
PnL
-$0.19
Record
47%
629-703 (1332)
Invested
$487.97
Value
$553.1
PnL
+$65.13
Record
52%
498-458 (956)
machinelearnedInvested
$548.03
Value
$457.43
PnL
-$90.59
Record
41%
588-855 (1443)
Invested
$395.5
Value
$390.56
PnL
-$4.95
Record
26%
419-1163 (1582)
Invested
$267.64
Value
$336.92
PnL
+$69.28
Record
41%
363-532 (895)
Invested
$215.93
Value
$323.79
PnL
+$107.86
Record
41%
388-548 (936)
Invested
$238.76
Value
$260.86
PnL
+$22.11
Record
54%
3785-3176 (6961)
Invested
$227.33
Value
$236.8
PnL
+$9.47
Record
46%
669-781 (1450)
Invested
$196.51
Value
$170
PnL
-$26.51
Record
46%
527-617 (1144)
Invested
$139.29
Value
$221.03
PnL
+$81.74
Record
—
Invested
$122.19
Value
$159.98
PnL
+$37.79
Record
—
Invested
$175.35
Value
$156.81
PnL
+$0.8
Record
66%
1796-933 (2729)
Invested
$145.07
Value
$171.92
PnL
+$26.86
Record
—
Invested
$147.24
Value
$149.54
PnL
+$2.3
Record
98%
1917-39 (1956)
x-MoneyForWhiskasCTRInvested
$127.46
Value
—
PnL
-$127.46
Record
34%
402-773 (1175)
Invested
$97.91
Value
$147.22
PnL
+$49.31
Record
52%
3819-3574 (7393)
G-Penis-MonsterCTRInvested
$123.7
Value
—
PnL
-$123.7
Record
44%
1012-1265 (2277)
Invested
$47.53
Value
$128.68
PnL
+$81.15
Record
51%
407-391 (798)
Invested
$98.63
Value
$119.99
PnL
+$21.36
Record
59%
508-353 (861)
Invested
$75.27
Value
$133.07
PnL
+$57.8
Record
—
Invested
$144.52
Value
—
PnL
-$144.52
Record
—
ohioism<$100Invested
$66.51
Value
$90.4
PnL
+$23.89
Record
49%
1034-1095 (2129)
BoneOhioCTRInvested
$146.49
Value
—
PnL
-$146.49
Record
74%
773-277 (1050)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
THG.
Down — $3.5K
Bonereaper
Down — $1.6K
0x50f7
Down — $1.3K
wzbbb
Down — $553.1
machinelearned
Down — $457.43
ply-pm0
Down — $390.56
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $336.92
GoodFallen
Down — $323.79
stepahead
Down — $260.86
mo-money
Down — $236.8