Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Resolved Up. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 65%

Total Value

$5.5K

Combined PnL

$193.25

Smart Money Signal

34 of 52 top traders (65%)18 hold an outcome priced under 50%37 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up34 traders

Total Value$5.5K

Total Shares5,525

Combined PnL+$423.34

Down18 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,199

Combined PnL-$230.1

Up — 65%Down — 35%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 82.7¢	$1.2K	$1.4K	+$246.21	59% 527-368 (895)
machinelearned	Upavg 84.9¢	$785.34	$924.5	+$139.16	41% 580-851 (1431)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 87.1¢	$336.72	$320.91	-$15.81	50% 1317-1303 (2620)
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$268.14	$268.41	+$0.27	47% 619-701 (1320)
23 0x239e...1c10	Upavg 94.5¢	$264.6	$267.03	+$2.43	—
BL blue.birds	Upavg 87¢	$256.62	$257.06	+$0.44	52% 3801-3556 (7357)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 99¢	$384.4	$251.68	-$132.72	48% 991-1090 (2081)
ST stepahead	Upavg 77.9¢	$170.22	$172.05	+$1.83	54% 3778-3168 (6946)
CD 0xcd30...2dd0	Upavg 88.2¢	$150.12	$163.17	+$13.51	—
x-MoneyForWhiskas	Upavg 85.9¢	$147.44	$158.69	+$11.24	34% 394-770 (1164)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 89¢	$140.64	$131	-$9.64	46% 519-610 (1129)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 76.2¢	$125.6	$127.29	+$28.99	41% 381-544 (925)
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 80.9¢	$99.2	$122.62	+$23.42	52% 489-456 (945)
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212<$100	Upavg 46¢	$47.08	$99.99	+$52.91	51% 406-397 (803)
UN uninformedfloww	Upavg 86.5¢	$86.5	$100	+$13.5	49% 767-785 (1552)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 98.5¢	$108.85	$80.72	-$28.13	26% 417-1159 (1576)
B5 0xb543...5d5e<$100	Upavg 85.5¢	$76.86	$77	+$0.14	—
56 0x568b...0b3b<$100	Upavg 93¢	$74.4	$80	+$5.6	—
28 0x280e...fbd8<$100	Upavg 56¢	$64.22	$64.57	+$0.35	—
FairValueMachine<$100	Upavg 80¢	$82.4	$70	+$15.2	53% 4144-3610 (7754)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 70.1¢	$46.38	$66.17	+$19.79	66% 1776-921 (2697)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 87.4¢	$57.82	$65	+$7.18	48% 1014-1081 (2095)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100	Upavg 94.8¢	$48.45	$51.09	+$2.64	59% 504-348 (852)
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR<$100	Downavg 15.3¢	$99.67	—	-$72.04	40% 358-526 (884)
4C 0x4c94...ffad<$100	Upavg 90¢	$36	$40	+$4	—

Bonereaper

Invested

$1,173.33

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$246.21

Record

59%

527-368 (895)

machinelearned

Invested

$785.34

Value

$924.5

PnL

+$139.16

Record

41%

580-851 (1431)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$336.72

Value

$320.91

PnL

-$15.81

Record

50%

1317-1303 (2620)

0x50f7

Invested

$268.14

Value

$268.41

PnL

+$0.27

Record

47%

619-701 (1320)

0x239e...1c10

Invested

$264.6

Value

$267.03

PnL

+$2.43

Record

—

blue.birds

Invested

$256.62

Value

$257.06

PnL

+$0.44

Record

52%

3801-3556 (7357)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$384.4

Value

$251.68

PnL

-$132.72

Record

48%

991-1090 (2081)

stepahead

Invested

$170.22

Value

$172.05

PnL

+$1.83

Record

54%

3778-3168 (6946)

0xcd30...2dd0

Invested

$150.12

Value

$163.17

PnL

+$13.51

Record

—

x-MoneyForWhiskas

Invested

$147.44

Value

$158.69

PnL

+$11.24

Record

34%

394-770 (1164)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$140.64

Value

$131

PnL

-$9.64

Record

46%

519-610 (1129)

GoodFallen

Invested

$125.6

Value

$127.29

PnL

+$28.99

Record

41%

381-544 (925)

wzbbb

Invested

$99.2

Value

$122.62

PnL

+$23.42

Record

52%

489-456 (945)

0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212<$100

Invested

$47.08

Value

$99.99

PnL

+$52.91

Record

51%

406-397 (803)

uninformedfloww

Invested

$86.5

Value

$100

PnL

+$13.5

Record

49%

767-785 (1552)

ply-pm0

Invested

$108.85

Value

$80.72

PnL

-$28.13

Record

26%

417-1159 (1576)

0xb543...5d5e<$100

Invested

$76.86

Value

$77

PnL

+$0.14

Record

—

0x568b...0b3b<$100

Invested

$74.4

Value

$80

PnL

+$5.6

Record

—

0x280e...fbd8<$100

Invested

$64.22

Value

$64.57

PnL

+$0.35

Record

—

FairValueMachine<$100

Invested

$82.4

Value

$70

PnL

+$15.2

Record

53%

4144-3610 (7754)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$46.38

Value

$66.17

PnL

+$19.79

Record

66%

1776-921 (2697)

ohioism<$100

Invested

$57.82

Value

$65

PnL

+$7.18

Record

48%

1014-1081 (2095)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100

Invested

$48.45

Value

$51.09

PnL

+$2.64

Record

59%

504-348 (852)

dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$99.67

Value

—

PnL

-$72.04

Record

40%

358-526 (884)

0x4c94...ffad<$100

Invested

$36

Value

$40

PnL

+$4

Record

—

Smart Money Signal

34 of 52 top traders (65%)18 hold an outcome priced under 50%37 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xbacde420...21d250

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794449400

Traders in this Market

Bonereaper

Up — $1.4K

+$246.21

machinelearned

Up — $924.5

+$139.16

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $320.91

-$15.81

0x50f7

Up — $268.41

+$0.27

0x239e...1c10

Up — $267.03

+$2.43

blue.birds

Up — $257.06

+$0.44

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $251.68

-$132.72

stepahead

Up — $172.05

+$1.83

0xcd30...2dd0

Up — $163.17

+$13.51

x-MoneyForWhiskas

Up — $158.69

+$11.24

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