Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Resolved Up. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 62%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$13.1K

Combined PnL

-$237.59

Smart Money Signal

34 of 55 top traders (62%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed21 hold an outcome priced under 50%41 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up34 traders

Total Value$13.0K

Total Shares13,025

Combined PnL+$176.32

Down21 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares4,547

Combined PnL-$413.91

Up — 62%Down — 38%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$6.9K	$6.9K	+$6.93	47% 619-701 (1320)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 92.1¢	$1.9K	$2.0K	+$75.85	59% 527-368 (895)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99.6¢	$1.4K	$1.4K	+$6.12	98% 1899-39 (1938)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 78¢	$282.48	$290.33	+$27.05	52% 3801-3556 (7357)
ST stepahead	Upavg 53.5¢	$200.96	$217.54	+$16.57	54% 3778-3168 (6946)
AL almach	Upavg 99.5¢	$235.58	$188.93	-$46.65	47% 654-750 (1404)
CD 0xcd30...2dd0	Upavg 74.2¢	$179.15	$180.99	+$5.59	—
x-MoneyForWhiskas	Upavg 78.6¢	$178.59	$175.02	-$3.57	34% 394-770 (1164)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 77.2¢	$173.76	$159.59	-$14.17	40% 358-526 (884)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 75.1¢	$148.56	$153.7	+$5.14	50% 1317-1303 (2620)
BoneOhio	Upavg 75¢	$118.79	$129.06	+$10.27	73% 753-272 (1025)
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212	Upavg 52¢	$71.91	$100	+$28.09	51% 406-397 (803)
94 0x9417...6e5eARB<$100	Upavg 53¢	$77.5	$100	+$22.5	—
└ Up leg	Upavg 53¢	$53	$100	+$47
└ Down leg	Downavg 29¢	$24.5	—	-$24.5
85 0x855e...5189	Upavg 99.2¢	$118.16	$84.5	-$33.66	—
37 0x3708...daf9<$100	Upavg 97¢	$97.62	$84.5	-$13.12	—
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 88.9¢	$100.75	$80.36	-$20.39	26% 417-1159 (1576)
WZ wzbbb<$100	Upavg 82.9¢	$79.68	$82.62	+$2.94	52% 489-456 (945)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 77¢	$71.42	$79.91	+$17.18	62% 2020-1262 (3282)
1B 0x1b41...0b56<$100	Upavg 74.8¢	$66.7	$72.69	+$6.94	—
DC 0xdc3f...4fa0<$100	Upavg 65.7¢	$70.19	$67.71	-$2.49	—
56 0x568b...0b3b<$100	Upavg 68¢	$65.6	$80	+$14.4	—
machinelearned<$100	Upavg 80¢	$65.72	$82.15	+$16.43	41% 580-851 (1431)
4C 0x4c94...ffad<$100	Upavg 67.7¢	$41.71	$59.65	+$17.93	—
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 77.8¢	$37.33	$47.98	+$10.65	66% 1776-921 (2697)
GO GoodFallenCTR<$100	Downavg 25.9¢	$67.02	—	-$67.02	41% 381-544 (925)

0x50f7

Invested

$6,919.09

Value

$6.9K

PnL

+$6.93

Record

47%

619-701 (1320)

Bonereaper

Invested

$1,885.94

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$75.85

Record

59%

527-368 (895)

hoodquant

Invested

$1,423.88

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$6.12

Record

98%

1899-39 (1938)

blue.birds

Invested

$282.48

Value

$290.33

PnL

+$27.05

Record

52%

3801-3556 (7357)

stepahead

Invested

$200.96

Value

$217.54

PnL

+$16.57

Record

54%

3778-3168 (6946)

almach

Invested

$235.58

Value

$188.93

PnL

-$46.65

Record

47%

654-750 (1404)

0xcd30...2dd0

Invested

$179.15

Value

$180.99

PnL

+$5.59

Record

—

x-MoneyForWhiskas

Invested

$178.59

Value

$175.02

PnL

-$3.57

Record

34%

394-770 (1164)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$173.76

Value

$159.59

PnL

-$14.17

Record

40%

358-526 (884)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$148.56

Value

$153.7

PnL

+$5.14

Record

50%

1317-1303 (2620)

BoneOhio

Invested

$118.79

Value

$129.06

PnL

+$10.27

Record

73%

753-272 (1025)

0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212

Invested

$71.91

Value

$100

PnL

+$28.09

Record

51%

406-397 (803)

0x9417...6e5eARB<$100

Invested

$77.5

Value

$100

PnL

+$22.5

Record

—

Both legs:

Up$5353¢+$47

Down$24.529¢-$24.5

0x855e...5189

Invested

$118.16

Value

$84.5

PnL

-$33.66

Record

—

0x3708...daf9<$100

Invested

$97.62

Value

$84.5

PnL

-$13.12

Record

—

ply-pm0

Invested

$100.75

Value

$80.36

PnL

-$20.39

Record

26%

417-1159 (1576)

wzbbb<$100

Invested

$79.68

Value

$82.62

PnL

+$2.94

Record

52%

489-456 (945)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$71.42

Value

$79.91

PnL

+$17.18

Record

62%

2020-1262 (3282)

0x1b41...0b56<$100

Invested

$66.7

Value

$72.69

PnL

+$6.94

Record

—

0xdc3f...4fa0<$100

Invested

$70.19

Value

$67.71

PnL

-$2.49

Record

—

0x568b...0b3b<$100

Invested

$65.6

Value

$80

PnL

+$14.4

Record

—

machinelearned<$100

Invested

$65.72

Value

$82.15

PnL

+$16.43

Record

41%

580-851 (1431)

0x4c94...ffad<$100

Invested

$41.71

Value

$59.65

PnL

+$17.93

Record

—

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$37.33

Value

$47.98

PnL

+$10.65

Record

66%

1776-921 (2697)

GoodFallenCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$67.02

Value

—

PnL

-$67.02

Record

41%

381-544 (925)

Smart Money Signal

34 of 55 top traders (62%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed21 hold an outcome priced under 50%41 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x32e66eba...4746c7

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794449100

Traders in this Market

0x50f7

Up — $6.9K

+$6.93

Bonereaper

Up — $2.0K

+$75.85

hoodquant

Up — $1.4K

+$6.12

blue.birds

Up — $290.33

+$27.05

stepahead

Up — $217.54

+$16.57

almach

Up — $188.93

-$46.65

0xcd30...2dd0

Up — $180.99

+$5.59

x-MoneyForWhiskas

Up — $175.02

-$3.57

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $159.59

-$14.17

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $153.7

+$5.14

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