Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
33
Up 82%
$14.1K
-$510.88
Smart Money Signal
27 of 33 top traders (82%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() BoneOhio | Upavg 99¢ | $2.6K | $2.6K | +$26.3 | 74% 738-260 (998) |
![]() machinelearned | Upavg 93.2¢ | $2.0K | $1.9K | -$118.24 | 40% 564-836 (1400) |
BO bosona | Upavg 93.3¢ | $1.4K | $1.3K | -$90.06 | 50% 3857-3869 (7726) |
AL almach | Upavg 94.2¢ | $1.2K | $1.1K | -$120.32 | 46% 624-735 (1359) |
MO mo-money | Upavg 95.2¢ | $1.2K | $1.1K | -$110.42 | 46% 632-753 (1385) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 88¢ | $976.21 | $991.73 | +$15.51 | 59% 510-360 (870) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98¢ | $866.32 | $884 | +$17.68 | 98% 1855-39 (1894) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 83.8¢ | $814.64 | $801.09 | -$13.54 | 53% 1101-972 (2073) |
ST stepahead | Upavg 70.8¢ | $695.19 | $754.05 | +$59.83 | 54% 3758-3156 (6914) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 80.2¢ | $640.47 | $630.55 | -$8.93 | 26% 407-1145 (1552) |
BL blue.birds | Upavg 79.6¢ | $379.2 | $396.78 | +$23.63 | 52% 3766-3522 (7288) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 81.5¢ | $336.89 | $350.78 | +$13.89 | 50% 1269-1265 (2534) |
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212 | Upavg 84.4¢ | $289.34 | $314.69 | +$25.35 | 50% 392-393 (785) |
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 77.3¢ | $169.8 | $169.59 | +$14.29 | 49% 3456-3566 (7022) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement | Upavg 98¢ | $139.15 | $132 | -$7.15 | 40% 649-994 (1643) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 81.2¢ | $110 | $123.65 | +$13.65 | 51% 474-448 (922) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR | Downavg 22.4¢ | $157.3 | — | -$157.3 | 41% 349-512 (861) |
![]() ohioism | Upavg 87.3¢ | $120.13 | $106.59 | -$6.84 | 48% 980-1048 (2028) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Upavg 81¢ | $87.34 | $95.26 | +$7.91 | 41% 373-529 (902) |
![]() x-MoneyForWhiskas<$100 | Upavg 83.6¢ | $80.04 | $68.66 | -$11.38 | 34% 383-759 (1142) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 79.3¢ | $64.75 | $60 | -$4.75 | 44% 955-1216 (2171) |
![]() pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $74.68 | $66.3 | -$8.38 | 35% 538-1000 (1538) |
PA Papeasy<$100 | Upavg 65¢ | $48.75 | $75 | +$26.25 | 50% 3458-3397 (6855) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100 | Upavg 69.9¢ | $37.13 | $50.87 | +$13.74 | 59% 489-339 (828) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Upavg 81¢ | $33.6 | $41.48 | +$7.88 | 57% 4386-3257 (7643) |
BoneOhioInvested
$2,604.15
Value
$2.6K
PnL
+$26.3
Record
74%
738-260 (998)
machinelearnedInvested
$2,005.97
Value
$1.9K
PnL
-$118.24
Record
40%
564-836 (1400)
Invested
$1,359.43
Value
$1.3K
PnL
-$90.06
Record
50%
3857-3869 (7726)
Invested
$1,236.28
Value
$1.1K
PnL
-$120.32
Record
46%
624-735 (1359)
Invested
$1,179.86
Value
$1.1K
PnL
-$110.42
Record
46%
632-753 (1385)
Invested
$976.21
Value
$991.73
PnL
+$15.51
Record
59%
510-360 (870)
Invested
$866.32
Value
$884
PnL
+$17.68
Record
98%
1855-39 (1894)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$814.64
Value
$801.09
PnL
-$13.54
Record
53%
1101-972 (2073)
Invested
$695.19
Value
$754.05
PnL
+$59.83
Record
54%
3758-3156 (6914)
Invested
$640.47
Value
$630.55
PnL
-$8.93
Record
26%
407-1145 (1552)
Invested
$379.2
Value
$396.78
PnL
+$23.63
Record
52%
3766-3522 (7288)
Invested
$336.89
Value
$350.78
PnL
+$13.89
Record
50%
1269-1265 (2534)
Invested
$289.34
Value
$314.69
PnL
+$25.35
Record
50%
392-393 (785)
Invested
$169.8
Value
$169.59
PnL
+$14.29
Record
49%
3456-3566 (7022)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$139.15
Value
$132
PnL
-$7.15
Record
40%
649-994 (1643)
Invested
$110
Value
$123.65
PnL
+$13.65
Record
51%
474-448 (922)
Invested
$157.3
Value
—
PnL
-$157.3
Record
41%
349-512 (861)
ohioismInvested
$120.13
Value
$106.59
PnL
-$6.84
Record
48%
980-1048 (2028)
Invested
$87.34
Value
$95.26
PnL
+$7.91
Record
41%
373-529 (902)
x-MoneyForWhiskas<$100Invested
$80.04
Value
$68.66
PnL
-$11.38
Record
34%
383-759 (1142)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$64.75
Value
$60
PnL
-$4.75
Record
44%
955-1216 (2171)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$74.68
Value
$66.3
PnL
-$8.38
Record
35%
538-1000 (1538)
Invested
$48.75
Value
$75
PnL
+$26.25
Record
50%
3458-3397 (6855)
Invested
$37.13
Value
$50.87
PnL
+$13.74
Record
59%
489-339 (828)
Invested
$33.6
Value
$41.48
PnL
+$7.88
Record
57%
4386-3257 (7643)