Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
30
Up 67%
1 arb excluded
$3.2K
-$113.76
Smart Money Signal
20 of 30 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 63.3¢ | $471.93 | $468.83 | +$8.9 | 59% 510-360 (870) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsARB<$100 | Upavg 70.7¢ | $314.43 | $317.09 | +$2.66 | 41% 349-512 (861) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 70.7¢ | $224.08 | $317.09 | +$93.01 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 26.5¢ | $90.35 | — | -$90.35 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 79.5¢ | $293.74 | $300.74 | +$7 | 50% 1269-1265 (2534) |
BL blue.birds | Upavg 83.3¢ | $309.56 | $267.12 | -$42.44 | 52% 3766-3522 (7288) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 54.2¢ | $212.72 | $215.44 | +$2.72 | 46% 502-596 (1098) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 69.9¢ | $220.66 | $197.78 | -$21.91 | 51% 474-448 (922) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 75.4¢ | $192.86 | $177.09 | -$15.78 | 41% 373-529 (902) |
ST stepahead | Upavg 66.6¢ | $146.19 | $171.53 | +$25.34 | 54% 3758-3156 (6914) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 59¢ | $136.87 | $140.76 | +$3.88 | 26% 407-1145 (1552) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c | Upavg 72.5¢ | $112.48 | $148.59 | +$36.11 | 59% 489-339 (828) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 48.2¢ | $98.45 | $102.34 | +$4.88 | 53% 1101-972 (2073) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskas | Upavg 76.8¢ | $95.2 | $109.99 | +$14.79 | 34% 383-759 (1142) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Upavg 73¢ | $74.8 | $94.36 | +$20.1 | 53% 4130-3601 (7731) |
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212 | Upavg 59.9¢ | $86.76 | $144.8 | +$58.04 | 50% 392-393 (785) |
 OhioAI<$100 | Upavg 56¢ | $70.44 | $86.66 | +$24.22 | 48% 325-358 (683) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 65.2¢ | $72.14 | $79.51 | +$7.37 | 48% 980-1048 (2028) |
BO bosona<$100 | Upavg 81¢ | $78.78 | $73.63 | -$5.15 | 50% 3857-3869 (7726) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 76.7¢ | $76.62 | $65.61 | -$11.01 | 49% 3456-3566 (7022) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Upavg 69.2¢ | $51.67 | $46.9 | -$4.77 | 46% 632-753 (1385) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 10.5¢ | $45.68 | — | -$45.68 | 74% 738-260 (998) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $18.59 | — | -$18.59 | 47% 601-679 (1280) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335<$100 | Upavg 77¢ | $24.54 | $18.09 | -$6.46 | 51% 391-378 (769) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 17.6¢ | $32.55 | — | -$32.55 | 44% 955-1216 (2171) |
BY ByteBadger92<$100 | Upavg 56.2¢ | $62.32 | $15 | +$13.63 | 58% 1973-1454 (3427) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Downavg 20.4¢ | $8.4 | — | -$8.4 | 57% 4386-3257 (7643) |
Invested
$471.93
Value
$468.83
PnL
+$8.9
Record
59%
510-360 (870)
Invested
$314.43
Value
$317.09
PnL
+$2.66
Record
41%
349-512 (861)
Both legs:
Invested
$293.74
Value
$300.74
PnL
+$7
Record
50%
1269-1265 (2534)
Invested
$309.56
Value
$267.12
PnL
-$42.44
Record
52%
3766-3522 (7288)
Invested
$212.72
Value
$215.44
PnL
+$2.72
Record
46%
502-596 (1098)
Invested
$220.66
Value
$197.78
PnL
-$21.91
Record
51%
474-448 (922)
Invested
$192.86
Value
$177.09
PnL
-$15.78
Record
41%
373-529 (902)
Invested
$146.19
Value
$171.53
PnL
+$25.34
Record
54%
3758-3156 (6914)
Invested
$136.87
Value
$140.76
PnL
+$3.88
Record
26%
407-1145 (1552)
Invested
$112.48
Value
$148.59
PnL
+$36.11
Record
59%
489-339 (828)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$98.45
Value
$102.34
PnL
+$4.88
Record
53%
1101-972 (2073)
x-MoneyForWhiskasInvested
$95.2
Value
$109.99
PnL
+$14.79
Record
34%
383-759 (1142)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$74.8
Value
$94.36
PnL
+$20.1
Record
53%
4130-3601 (7731)
Invested
$86.76
Value
$144.8
PnL
+$58.04
Record
50%
392-393 (785)
OhioAI<$100Invested
$70.44
Value
$86.66
PnL
+$24.22
Record
48%
325-358 (683)
ohioism<$100Invested
$72.14
Value
$79.51
PnL
+$7.37
Record
48%
980-1048 (2028)
Invested
$78.78
Value
$73.63
PnL
-$5.15
Record
50%
3857-3869 (7726)
Invested
$76.62
Value
$65.61
PnL
-$11.01
Record
49%
3456-3566 (7022)
Invested
$51.67
Value
$46.9
PnL
-$4.77
Record
46%
632-753 (1385)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$45.68
Value
—
PnL
-$45.68
Record
74%
738-260 (998)
Invested
$18.59
Value
—
PnL
-$18.59
Record
47%
601-679 (1280)
Invested
$24.54
Value
$18.09
PnL
-$6.46
Record
51%
391-378 (769)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$32.55
Value
—
PnL
-$32.55
Record
44%
955-1216 (2171)
Invested
$62.32
Value
$15
PnL
+$13.63
Record
58%
1973-1454 (3427)
Invested
$8.4
Value
—
PnL
-$8.4
Record
57%
4386-3257 (7643)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Bonereaper
Up — $468.83
dangerously-skip-permissions
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $300.74
blue.birds
Up — $267.12
CrouchPredictions
Up — $215.44
wzbbb
Up — $197.78
GoodFallen
Up — $177.09
stepahead
Up — $171.53
ply-pm0
Up — $140.76
0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c
Up — $148.59