Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Resolved Down. 91% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 91%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$20.6K

Combined PnL

$3.6K

Smart Money Signal

Down

31 of 34 top traders (91%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down31 traders

Total Value$20.5K

Total Shares20,503

Combined PnL+$3.7K

Up3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares491

Combined PnL-$121.05

Down — 91%Up — 9%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x50f7	Downavg 99.9¢	$3.1K	$3.1K	+$3.12	47% 593-674 (1267)
AL almach	Downavg 72.7¢	$2.0K	$2.7K	+$646.18	46% 613-725 (1338)
BO bosona	Downavg 57.7¢	$1.4K	$2.3K	+$924.56	50% 3845-3861 (7706)
MO mo-money	Downavg 79¢	$1.9K	$2.3K	+$442.58	45% 619-745 (1364)
PL ply-pm0	Downavg 56¢	$1.4K	$1.7K	+$245.26	26% 398-1141 (1539)
CR CrouchPredictions	Downavg 72.3¢	$1.1K	$1.4K	+$289.36	46% 495-586 (1081)
BO Bonereaper	Downavg 80.7¢	$1.0K	$1.2K	+$170.09	58% 500-357 (857)
Polkadot-Frog	Downavg 81.2¢	$997.8	$1.1K	+$82.2	53% 1080-957 (2037)
ST stepahead	Downavg 52.8¢	$616.44	$730.02	+$113.58	54% 3749-3148 (6897)
UN uninformedfloww	Downavg 79.4¢	$571.64	$720.06	+$148.42	49% 706-726 (1432)
HO hoodquant	Downavg 99¢	$537.07	$542.49	+$5.42	98% 1837-39 (1876)
machinelearned	Downavg 62¢	$334.63	$497.06	+$162.43	40% 554-833 (1387)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Downavg 66.6¢	$387.59	$405.76	+$18.17	40% 341-509 (850)
BL blue.birds	Downavg 76.8¢	$334.8	$374.07	+$39.27	52% 3739-3509 (7248)
G-Penis-Monster	Downavg 72.3¢	$155.45	$215	+$59.55	44% 945-1197 (2142)
x-MoneyForWhiskas	Downavg 69.1¢	$158.62	$180	+$21.38	34% 379-751 (1130)
GO GoodFallen	Downavg 62.1¢	$122.63	$125.07	+$2.44	41% 364-527 (891)
BoneOhio	Downavg 79¢	$118.5	$150	+$31.5	74% 723-254 (977)
HS Hsilverbasher	Downavg 55¢	$66	$120	+$54	52% 178-166 (344)
pspspsps5ARB<$100	Downavg 30.2¢	$50.25	$92.8	+$42.55	35% 531-973 (1504)
└ Down leg	Downavg 30.2¢	$28.01	$92.8	+$64.79
└ Up leg	Upavg 11.9¢	$22.24	—	-$22.24
ohioism<$100	Downavg 79.2¢	$75.2	$95	+$19.8	48% 962-1040 (2002)
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212<$100	Downavg 80¢	$71.09	$84.5	+$13.41	50% 388-390 (778)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Downavg 56.6¢	$61.01	$78.79	+$22.87	49% 3432-3549 (6981)
PA Papeasy<$100	Downavg 76¢	$75.67	$75	-$0.67	50% 3450-3393 (6843)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Downavg 37¢	$45.88	$124	+$78.12	48% 950-1050 (2000)