Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Resolved Down. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
32
Down 53%
$9.1K
$3.7K
Smart Money Signal
17 of 32 top traders (53%)15 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 42.6¢ | $1.0K | $2.4K | +$1.3K | 48% 950-1050 (2000) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 58.2¢ | $482.29 | $829.23 | +$346.93 | 45% 619-745 (1364) |
BO bosona | Downavg 53.8¢ | $390.35 | $720.42 | +$330.06 | 50% 3845-3861 (7706) |
ST stepaheadCTR | Upavg 64.4¢ | $597.9 | — | -$597.9 | 54% 3749-3148 (6897) |
AL almach | Downavg 49.3¢ | $296.74 | $602.1 | +$305.36 | 46% 613-725 (1338) |
BO BonereaperCTR | Upavg 59.1¢ | $484.72 | — | -$470.87 | 58% 500-357 (857) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 30.8¢ | $227.37 | $429.96 | +$202.59 | 40% 554-833 (1387) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 41.2¢ | $157.28 | $359.57 | +$202.29 | 46% 495-586 (1081) |
PL ply-pm0CTR | Upavg 39.1¢ | $320.79 | — | -$300.86 | 26% 398-1141 (1539) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR | Upavg 41.3¢ | $118.27 | — | -$118.27 | 53% 1080-957 (2037) |
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 3.5¢ | $70.14 | $2.0K | +$1.9K | 47% 593-674 (1267) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $248.49 | $251 | +$2.51 | 98% 1837-39 (1876) |
PB PBot-5 | Downavg 27.2¢ | $57.49 | $211.64 | +$154.15 | 48% 575-634 (1209) |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 5.4¢ | $11.93 | $204.5 | +$192.57 | 35% 531-973 (1504) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR | Upavg 26.4¢ | $147.12 | — | -$49.27 | 50% 1263-1254 (2517) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR | Upavg 40.8¢ | $117.47 | — | -$108.08 | 40% 341-509 (850) |
BL blue.birdsCTR | Upavg 66.4¢ | $201.97 | — | -$201.97 | 52% 3739-3509 (7248) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskas | Downavg 72.5¢ | $94.32 | $104.47 | +$10.16 | 34% 379-751 (1130) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 53.2¢ | $53.68 | $100.05 | +$46.37 | 52% 470-441 (911) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | $68.22 | $98 | +$29.78 | 53% 4123-3599 (7722) |
 OhioAI<$100 | Downavg 33.1¢ | $43.26 | $89 | +$45.74 | 47% 315-355 (670) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 7¢ | $9.99 | $87.17 | +$92.82 | 40% 643-968 (1611) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Downavg 4¢ | $24 | $600 | +$576 | 37% 435-728 (1163) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 38.5¢ | $62.82 | — | -$51.81 | 49% 3432-3549 (6981) |
GO GoodFallenCTR<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $57.99 | — | -$23.19 | 41% 364-527 (891) |
Invested
$1,003.37
Value
$2.4K
PnL
+$1.3K
Record
48%
950-1050 (2000)
Invested
$482.29
Value
$829.23
PnL
+$346.93
Record
45%
619-745 (1364)
Invested
$390.35
Value
$720.42
PnL
+$330.06
Record
50%
3845-3861 (7706)
Invested
$597.9
Value
—
PnL
-$597.9
Record
54%
3749-3148 (6897)
Invested
$296.74
Value
$602.1
PnL
+$305.36
Record
46%
613-725 (1338)
Invested
$484.72
Value
—
PnL
-$470.87
Record
58%
500-357 (857)
machinelearnedInvested
$227.37
Value
$429.96
PnL
+$202.59
Record
40%
554-833 (1387)
Invested
$157.28
Value
$359.57
PnL
+$202.29
Record
46%
495-586 (1081)
Invested
$320.79
Value
—
PnL
-$300.86
Record
26%
398-1141 (1539)
Polkadot-FrogCTRInvested
$118.27
Value
—
PnL
-$118.27
Record
53%
1080-957 (2037)
Invested
$70.14
Value
$2.0K
PnL
+$1.9K
Record
47%
593-674 (1267)
Invested
$248.49
Value
$251
PnL
+$2.51
Record
98%
1837-39 (1876)
Invested
$57.49
Value
$211.64
PnL
+$154.15
Record
48%
575-634 (1209)
pspspsps5Invested
$11.93
Value
$204.5
PnL
+$192.57
Record
35%
531-973 (1504)
Invested
$147.12
Value
—
PnL
-$49.27
Record
50%
1263-1254 (2517)
Invested
$117.47
Value
—
PnL
-$108.08
Record
40%
341-509 (850)
Invested
$201.97
Value
—
PnL
-$201.97
Record
52%
3739-3509 (7248)
x-MoneyForWhiskasInvested
$94.32
Value
$104.47
PnL
+$10.16
Record
34%
379-751 (1130)
Invested
$53.68
Value
$100.05
PnL
+$46.37
Record
52%
470-441 (911)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$68.22
Value
$98
PnL
+$29.78
Record
53%
4123-3599 (7722)
OhioAI<$100Invested
$43.26
Value
$89
PnL
+$45.74
Record
47%
315-355 (670)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$9.99
Value
$87.17
PnL
+$92.82
Record
40%
643-968 (1611)
Invested
$24
Value
$600
PnL
+$576
Record
37%
435-728 (1163)
Invested
$62.82
Value
—
PnL
-$51.81
Record
49%
3432-3549 (6981)
Invested
$57.99
Value
—
PnL
-$23.19
Record
41%
364-527 (891)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $2.4K
mo-money
Down — $829.23
bosona
Down — $720.42
stepahead
CTRUp — $0
almach
Down — $602.1
Bonereaper
CTRUp — $0
machinelearned
Down — $429.96
CrouchPredictions
Down — $359.57
ply-pm0
CTRUp — $0
Polkadot-Frog
CTRUp — $0