Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Resolved Down. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
28
Down 78%
$12.3K
$756.33
Smart Money Signal
22 of 28 top traders (79%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $3.4K | $3.4K | +$3.42 | 46% 582-670 (1252) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 92.7¢ | $2.1K | $2.3K | +$166.88 | 48% 937-1035 (1972) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 75.8¢ | $1.3K | $1.5K | +$160.93 | 58% 492-353 (845) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 82.2¢ | $1.0K | $1.2K | +$219.72 | 49% 683-704 (1387) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 71.4¢ | $419 | $564.16 | +$145.16 | 40% 548-820 (1368) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 78.2¢ | $439.3 | $506.35 | +$67.05 | 52% 3722-3489 (7211) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 67.9¢ | $344.69 | $461.53 | +$116.84 | 45% 611-735 (1346) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 61.6¢ | $456.4 | $458.12 | +$20.92 | 53% 1061-944 (2005) |
BO bosona | Downavg 70¢ | $290.88 | $370.16 | +$79.28 | 50% 3834-3852 (7686) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 86.8¢ | $377.61 | $355.98 | +$4.97 | 46% 485-580 (1065) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98¢ | $304.78 | $311 | +$6.22 | 98% 1814-38 (1852) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 57.3¢ | $207.64 | $231.88 | +$24.24 | 54% 3739-3142 (6881) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 90¢ | $251.05 | $192.71 | -$52.97 | 51% 460-439 (899) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100 | Downavg 77.1¢ | $66.35 | $85 | +$18.65 | 59% 475-329 (804) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 55.4¢ | $55.24 | $67.55 | +$12.31 | 46% 606-715 (1321) |
PL ply-pm0CTR<$100 | Upavg 18.1¢ | $82.7 | — | -$77.8 | 26% 393-1134 (1527) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 95.5¢ | $66.2 | $60 | -$6.2 | 40% 634-948 (1582) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $56.39 | $53.91 | -$2.48 | 35% 522-960 (1482) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 38.5¢ | $25.02 | $50.66 | +$25.64 | 49% 3410-3533 (6943) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR<$100 | Upavg 44.5¢ | $46 | — | -$46 | 33% 371-747 (1118) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 55.9¢ | $52.83 | $44.04 | -$5.08 | 38% 680-1107 (1787) |
 OhioAI<$100 | Downavg 47.8¢ | $41.5 | $44 | +$13.18 | 47% 308-350 (658) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 39.4¢ | $43.4 | — | -$43.4 | 44% 932-1181 (2113) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 71¢ | $21.3 | $30 | +$8.7 | 48% 948-1028 (1976) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Upavg 41¢ | $16.4 | — | -$16.4 | 52% 176-162 (338) |
Invested
$3,414.93
Value
$3.4K
PnL
+$3.42
Record
46%
582-670 (1252)
Invested
$2,148.12
Value
$2.3K
PnL
+$166.88
Record
48%
937-1035 (1972)
Invested
$1,329.78
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$160.93
Record
58%
492-353 (845)
Invested
$1,015.05
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$219.72
Record
49%
683-704 (1387)
machinelearnedInvested
$419
Value
$564.16
PnL
+$145.16
Record
40%
548-820 (1368)
Invested
$439.3
Value
$506.35
PnL
+$67.05
Record
52%
3722-3489 (7211)
Invested
$344.69
Value
$461.53
PnL
+$116.84
Record
45%
611-735 (1346)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$456.4
Value
$458.12
PnL
+$20.92
Record
53%
1061-944 (2005)
Invested
$290.88
Value
$370.16
PnL
+$79.28
Record
50%
3834-3852 (7686)
Invested
$377.61
Value
$355.98
PnL
+$4.97
Record
46%
485-580 (1065)
Invested
$304.78
Value
$311
PnL
+$6.22
Record
98%
1814-38 (1852)
Invested
$207.64
Value
$231.88
PnL
+$24.24
Record
54%
3739-3142 (6881)
Invested
$251.05
Value
$192.71
PnL
-$52.97
Record
51%
460-439 (899)
Invested
$66.35
Value
$85
PnL
+$18.65
Record
59%
475-329 (804)
Invested
$55.24
Value
$67.55
PnL
+$12.31
Record
46%
606-715 (1321)
Invested
$82.7
Value
—
PnL
-$77.8
Record
26%
393-1134 (1527)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$66.2
Value
$60
PnL
-$6.2
Record
40%
634-948 (1582)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$56.39
Value
$53.91
PnL
-$2.48
Record
35%
522-960 (1482)
Invested
$25.02
Value
$50.66
PnL
+$25.64
Record
49%
3410-3533 (6943)
x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR<$100Invested
$46
Value
—
PnL
-$46
Record
33%
371-747 (1118)
Invested
$52.83
Value
$44.04
PnL
-$5.08
Record
38%
680-1107 (1787)
OhioAI<$100Invested
$41.5
Value
$44
PnL
+$13.18
Record
47%
308-350 (658)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$43.4
Value
—
PnL
-$43.4
Record
44%
932-1181 (2113)
ohioism<$100Invested
$21.3
Value
$30
PnL
+$8.7
Record
48%
948-1028 (1976)
Invested
$16.4
Value
—
PnL
-$16.4
Record
52%
176-162 (338)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $3.4K
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $2.3K
Bonereaper
Down — $1.5K
uninformedfloww
Down — $1.2K
machinelearned
Down — $564.16
blue.birds
Down — $506.35
mo-money
Down — $461.53
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $458.12
bosona
Down — $370.16
CrouchPredictions
Down — $355.98