Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Resolved Down. 90% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
29
Down 90%
$7.5K
$683.1
Smart Money Signal
26 of 29 top traders (90%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 96.9¢ | $2.7K | $2.8K | +$86.59 | 58% 492-353 (845) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 87.8¢ | $908.31 | $1.0K | +$91.69 | 40% 548-820 (1368) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 90.3¢ | $700.65 | $691.88 | -$8.77 | 46% 485-580 (1065) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 62.9¢ | $365.41 | $394.23 | +$28.82 | 54% 3739-3142 (6881) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 51.8¢ | $267.55 | $513.34 | +$245.79 | 48% 937-1035 (1972) |
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989 | Downavg 79.8¢ | $959.08 | $274.11 | +$68.67 | 57% 70-53 (123) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 65.1¢ | $212.65 | $273.31 | +$60.66 | 26% 393-1134 (1527) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskas | Downavg 82.7¢ | $251.14 | $240 | -$11.14 | 33% 371-747 (1118) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 80.8¢ | $280.32 | $235.9 | -$24.82 | 53% 1061-944 (2005) |
AL almach | Downavg 85¢ | $172.66 | $198.46 | +$25.8 | 46% 606-715 (1321) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 91¢ | $167.33 | $179.92 | +$12.59 | 45% 611-735 (1346) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335 | Downavg 77.3¢ | $138.67 | $155.58 | +$16.91 | 51% 384-371 (755) |
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212 | Downavg 86.8¢ | $97.91 | $107.52 | +$9.6 | 50% 383-386 (769) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions<$100 | Downavg 72.7¢ | $65.4 | $90 | +$24.6 | 40% 337-501 (838) |
PA Papeasy<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $50.43 | $75 | +$24.57 | 50% 3445-3387 (6832) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $65.36 | $66.3 | +$0.94 | 35% 522-960 (1482) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 97.1¢ | $59.23 | $61.01 | +$1.78 | 98% 1814-38 (1852) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 76.2¢ | $55.58 | $49.1 | +$14.85 | 52% 3722-3489 (7211) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Downavg 71¢ | $21.3 | $30 | +$8.7 | 41% 358-521 (879) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $22 | $25 | +$3 | 48% 948-1028 (1976) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 60¢ | $14.51 | $24.19 | +$9.68 | 38% 680-1107 (1787) |
BY ByteBadger92<$100 | Downavg 66.1¢ | $51.07 | $8.97 | +$0.23 | 58% 1912-1406 (3318) |
 OhioAI<$100 | Downavg 71¢ | $9.52 | $8 | +$2.28 | 47% 308-350 (658) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $6.79 | $8.7 | +$1.91 | 51% 460-439 (899) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 67¢ | $4.67 | $5 | +$0.33 | 40% 634-948 (1582) |
Invested
$2,694.04
Value
$2.8K
PnL
+$86.59
Record
58%
492-353 (845)
machinelearnedInvested
$908.31
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$91.69
Record
40%
548-820 (1368)
Invested
$700.65
Value
$691.88
PnL
-$8.77
Record
46%
485-580 (1065)
Invested
$365.41
Value
$394.23
PnL
+$28.82
Record
54%
3739-3142 (6881)
Invested
$267.55
Value
$513.34
PnL
+$245.79
Record
48%
937-1035 (1972)
Invested
$959.08
Value
$274.11
PnL
+$68.67
Record
57%
70-53 (123)
Invested
$212.65
Value
$273.31
PnL
+$60.66
Record
26%
393-1134 (1527)
x-MoneyForWhiskasInvested
$251.14
Value
$240
PnL
-$11.14
Record
33%
371-747 (1118)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$280.32
Value
$235.9
PnL
-$24.82
Record
53%
1061-944 (2005)
Invested
$172.66
Value
$198.46
PnL
+$25.8
Record
46%
606-715 (1321)
Invested
$167.33
Value
$179.92
PnL
+$12.59
Record
45%
611-735 (1346)
Invested
$138.67
Value
$155.58
PnL
+$16.91
Record
51%
384-371 (755)
Invested
$97.91
Value
$107.52
PnL
+$9.6
Record
50%
383-386 (769)
Invested
$65.4
Value
$90
PnL
+$24.6
Record
40%
337-501 (838)
Invested
$50.43
Value
$75
PnL
+$24.57
Record
50%
3445-3387 (6832)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$65.36
Value
$66.3
PnL
+$0.94
Record
35%
522-960 (1482)
Invested
$59.23
Value
$61.01
PnL
+$1.78
Record
98%
1814-38 (1852)
Invested
$55.58
Value
$49.1
PnL
+$14.85
Record
52%
3722-3489 (7211)
Invested
$21.3
Value
$30
PnL
+$8.7
Record
41%
358-521 (879)
ohioism<$100Invested
$22
Value
$25
PnL
+$3
Record
48%
948-1028 (1976)
Invested
$14.51
Value
$24.19
PnL
+$9.68
Record
38%
680-1107 (1787)
Invested
$51.07
Value
$8.97
PnL
+$0.23
Record
58%
1912-1406 (3318)
OhioAI<$100Invested
$9.52
Value
$8
PnL
+$2.28
Record
47%
308-350 (658)
Invested
$6.79
Value
$8.7
PnL
+$1.91
Record
51%
460-439 (899)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$4.67
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.33
Record
40%
634-948 (1582)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Bonereaper
Down — $2.8K
machinelearned
Down — $1.0K
CrouchPredictions
Down — $691.88
stepahead
Down — $394.23
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $513.34
0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989
Down — $274.11
ply-pm0
Down — $273.31
x-MoneyForWhiskas
Down — $240
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $235.9
almach
Down — $198.46