Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
33
Up 67%
$9.4K
-$336.88
Smart Money Signal
22 of 33 top traders (67%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 94.7¢ | $3.1K | $3.2K | +$43.5 | 58% 492-353 (845) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 68.3¢ | $587.81 | $760.73 | +$172.92 | 40% 548-820 (1368) |
 BoneOhio | Upavg 99¢ | $621.18 | $627.45 | +$6.27 | 74% 712-248 (960) |
AL almach | Upavg 76.6¢ | $730.72 | $621.42 | -$109.3 | 46% 606-715 (1321) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 64.1¢ | $615.4 | $597.67 | -$17.73 | 46% 485-580 (1065) |
BL blue.birds | Upavg 77¢ | $512.7 | $536.41 | +$23.71 | 52% 3722-3489 (7211) |
BO bosona | Upavg 98¢ | $490 | $500 | +$10 | 50% 3834-3852 (7686) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR | Downavg 47.9¢ | $414.73 | — | -$414.73 | 48% 937-1035 (1972) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c | Upavg 69.6¢ | $354.8 | $391.78 | +$36.98 | 59% 475-329 (804) |
ST stepahead | Upavg 49.3¢ | $340.55 | $379.24 | +$38.69 | 54% 3739-3142 (6881) |
MO mo-money | Upavg 98¢ | $331.64 | $338.41 | +$6.77 | 45% 611-735 (1346) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $312.84 | $316 | +$3.16 | 98% 1814-38 (1852) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 51.2¢ | $185.35 | $274.33 | +$88.98 | 40% 337-501 (838) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 52.7¢ | $149.85 | $226.98 | +$77.14 | 41% 358-521 (879) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR | Downavg 37.2¢ | $206.93 | — | -$206.93 | 33% 371-747 (1118) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 61.8¢ | $171.08 | $157.24 | +$9.12 | 26% 393-1134 (1527) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 61.3¢ | $133.49 | $130.03 | +$16.34 | 53% 1061-944 (2005) |
 FairValueMachine | Upavg 42.5¢ | $85.33 | $141.6 | +$56.26 | 53% 4117-3595 (7712) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335 | Upavg 90.9¢ | $134.6 | $83.69 | -$50.91 | 51% 384-371 (755) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 85¢ | $64.77 | $70.28 | +$5.51 | 66% 1742-899 (2641) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 61.1¢ | $27.15 | $27.27 | +$3.93 | 44% 932-1181 (2113) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 40¢ | $56.7 | $35 | +$1.43 | 61% 1965-1241 (3206) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $61.1 | — | -$61.1 | 46% 582-670 (1252) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $43.03 | — | -$43.03 | 49% 3410-3533 (6943) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 74¢ | $18.5 | $25 | +$6.5 | 48% 948-1028 (1976) |
Invested
$3,116.28
Value
$3.2K
PnL
+$43.5
Record
58%
492-353 (845)
machinelearnedInvested
$587.81
Value
$760.73
PnL
+$172.92
Record
40%
548-820 (1368)
BoneOhioInvested
$621.18
Value
$627.45
PnL
+$6.27
Record
74%
712-248 (960)
Invested
$730.72
Value
$621.42
PnL
-$109.3
Record
46%
606-715 (1321)
Invested
$615.4
Value
$597.67
PnL
-$17.73
Record
46%
485-580 (1065)
Invested
$512.7
Value
$536.41
PnL
+$23.71
Record
52%
3722-3489 (7211)
Invested
$490
Value
$500
PnL
+$10
Record
50%
3834-3852 (7686)
Invested
$414.73
Value
—
PnL
-$414.73
Record
48%
937-1035 (1972)
Invested
$354.8
Value
$391.78
PnL
+$36.98
Record
59%
475-329 (804)
Invested
$340.55
Value
$379.24
PnL
+$38.69
Record
54%
3739-3142 (6881)
Invested
$331.64
Value
$338.41
PnL
+$6.77
Record
45%
611-735 (1346)
Invested
$312.84
Value
$316
PnL
+$3.16
Record
98%
1814-38 (1852)
Invested
$185.35
Value
$274.33
PnL
+$88.98
Record
40%
337-501 (838)
Invested
$149.85
Value
$226.98
PnL
+$77.14
Record
41%
358-521 (879)
x-MoneyForWhiskasCTRInvested
$206.93
Value
—
PnL
-$206.93
Record
33%
371-747 (1118)
Invested
$171.08
Value
$157.24
PnL
+$9.12
Record
26%
393-1134 (1527)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$133.49
Value
$130.03
PnL
+$16.34
Record
53%
1061-944 (2005)
FairValueMachineInvested
$85.33
Value
$141.6
PnL
+$56.26
Record
53%
4117-3595 (7712)
Invested
$134.6
Value
$83.69
PnL
-$50.91
Record
51%
384-371 (755)
Invested
$64.77
Value
$70.28
PnL
+$5.51
Record
66%
1742-899 (2641)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$27.15
Value
$27.27
PnL
+$3.93
Record
44%
932-1181 (2113)
Invested
$56.7
Value
$35
PnL
+$1.43
Record
61%
1965-1241 (3206)
Invested
$61.1
Value
—
PnL
-$61.1
Record
46%
582-670 (1252)
Invested
$43.03
Value
—
PnL
-$43.03
Record
49%
3410-3533 (6943)
ohioism<$100Invested
$18.5
Value
$25
PnL
+$6.5
Record
48%
948-1028 (1976)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Bonereaper
Up — $3.2K
machinelearned
Up — $760.73
BoneOhio
Up — $627.45
almach
Up — $621.42
CrouchPredictions
Up — $597.67
blue.birds
Up — $536.41
bosona
Up — $500
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown — $0
0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c
Up — $391.78
stepahead
Up — $379.24