Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Resolved Down. 74% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
34
Down 73%
$12.6K
$2.2K
Smart Money Signal
25 of 34 top traders (74%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 79.3¢ | $2.7K | $3.1K | +$453.63 | 48% 937-1035 (1972) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 51.7¢ | $848.34 | $1.2K | +$324.4 | 58% 492-353 (845) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 63.5¢ | $690.14 | $929.07 | +$238.93 | 46% 485-580 (1065) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 58.4¢ | $659.97 | $929.3 | +$277.84 | 40% 337-501 (838) |
AL almach | Downavg 65.4¢ | $630.28 | $852.42 | +$222.14 | 46% 606-715 (1321) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 68.6¢ | $765.64 | $806.25 | +$40.61 | 26% 393-1134 (1527) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 56.4¢ | $689.55 | $740.24 | +$50.68 | 54% 3739-3142 (6881) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 71.5¢ | $602.64 | $691.85 | +$94.87 | 52% 3722-3489 (7211) |
BO bosona | Downavg 77.7¢ | $598.65 | $680.76 | +$82.11 | 50% 3834-3852 (7686) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 61.3¢ | $406.39 | $577.4 | +$171.01 | 45% 611-735 (1346) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 57.6¢ | $327.66 | $411.94 | +$90.68 | 41% 358-521 (879) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 55¢ | $292.9 | $357.49 | +$64.59 | 53% 1061-944 (2005) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 28.2¢ | $117.81 | $331.06 | +$213.25 | 40% 548-820 (1368) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskas | Downavg 69.3¢ | $273.66 | $256.53 | -$5.94 | 33% 371-747 (1118) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c | Downavg 76.2¢ | $172.08 | $197.55 | +$25.47 | 59% 475-329 (804) |
 FairValueMachineCTR<$100 | Upavg 36.4¢ | $95.23 | — | -$94.37 | 53% 4117-3595 (7712) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 51.2¢ | $64.06 | $94.93 | +$31.96 | 66% 1742-899 (2641) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335 | Downavg 51¢ | $59.37 | $116.36 | +$56.99 | 51% 384-371 (755) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 78.7¢ | $97.6 | $85 | +$3.4 | 48% 948-1028 (1976) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 64.9¢ | $75.75 | $80 | +$8 | 44% 932-1181 (2113) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 61.5¢ | $39.82 | $63.26 | +$23.44 | 49% 3410-3533 (6943) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 4.4¢ | $53.26 | — | -$30.96 | 61% 1965-1241 (3206) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 40.4¢ | $31.2 | $77.18 | +$45.98 | 47% 563-628 (1191) |
 OhioAICTR<$100 | Upavg 27.8¢ | $18.8 | — | -$18.8 | 47% 308-350 (658) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 18.5¢ | $26.83 | — | -$17.86 | 74% 712-248 (960) |
Invested
$2,677.21
Value
$3.1K
PnL
+$453.63
Record
48%
937-1035 (1972)
Invested
$848.34
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$324.4
Record
58%
492-353 (845)
Invested
$690.14
Value
$929.07
PnL
+$238.93
Record
46%
485-580 (1065)
Invested
$659.97
Value
$929.3
PnL
+$277.84
Record
40%
337-501 (838)
Invested
$630.28
Value
$852.42
PnL
+$222.14
Record
46%
606-715 (1321)
Invested
$765.64
Value
$806.25
PnL
+$40.61
Record
26%
393-1134 (1527)
Invested
$689.55
Value
$740.24
PnL
+$50.68
Record
54%
3739-3142 (6881)
Invested
$602.64
Value
$691.85
PnL
+$94.87
Record
52%
3722-3489 (7211)
Invested
$598.65
Value
$680.76
PnL
+$82.11
Record
50%
3834-3852 (7686)
Invested
$406.39
Value
$577.4
PnL
+$171.01
Record
45%
611-735 (1346)
Invested
$327.66
Value
$411.94
PnL
+$90.68
Record
41%
358-521 (879)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$292.9
Value
$357.49
PnL
+$64.59
Record
53%
1061-944 (2005)
machinelearnedInvested
$117.81
Value
$331.06
PnL
+$213.25
Record
40%
548-820 (1368)
x-MoneyForWhiskasInvested
$273.66
Value
$256.53
PnL
-$5.94
Record
33%
371-747 (1118)
Invested
$172.08
Value
$197.55
PnL
+$25.47
Record
59%
475-329 (804)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100Invested
$95.23
Value
—
PnL
-$94.37
Record
53%
4117-3595 (7712)
Invested
$64.06
Value
$94.93
PnL
+$31.96
Record
66%
1742-899 (2641)
Invested
$59.37
Value
$116.36
PnL
+$56.99
Record
51%
384-371 (755)
ohioism<$100Invested
$97.6
Value
$85
PnL
+$3.4
Record
48%
948-1028 (1976)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$75.75
Value
$80
PnL
+$8
Record
44%
932-1181 (2113)
Invested
$39.82
Value
$63.26
PnL
+$23.44
Record
49%
3410-3533 (6943)
Invested
$53.26
Value
—
PnL
-$30.96
Record
61%
1965-1241 (3206)
Invested
$31.2
Value
$77.18
PnL
+$45.98
Record
47%
563-628 (1191)
OhioAICTR<$100Invested
$18.8
Value
—
PnL
-$18.8
Record
47%
308-350 (658)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$26.83
Value
—
PnL
-$17.86
Record
74%
712-248 (960)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $3.1K
Bonereaper
Down — $1.2K
CrouchPredictions
Down — $929.07
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $929.3
almach
Down — $852.42
ply-pm0
Down — $806.25
stepahead
Down — $740.24
blue.birds
Down — $691.85
bosona
Down — $680.76
mo-money
Down — $577.4