Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Resolved Down. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
32
Down 44%
$6.1K
$-3.3K
Smart Money Signal
14 of 32 top traders (44%)18 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 82.3¢ | $1.7K | $1.9K | +$135.5 | 58% 486-346 (832) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $1.1K | $1.2K | +$11.51 | 98% 1784-38 (1822) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR | Upavg 51.6¢ | $1.2K | — | $-1.1K | 40% 333-493 (826) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 44.9¢ | $504.82 | $722.59 | +$257.37 | 41% 353-514 (867) |
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR | Upavg 26.9¢ | $422.43 | — | -$422.43 | 45% 476-573 (1049) |
BL blue.birdsCTR | Upavg 76.3¢ | $559.44 | — | -$559.44 | 52% 3696-3476 (7172) |
BO bosona | Downavg 59.6¢ | $392.7 | $566.26 | +$173.56 | 50% 3824-3843 (7667) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 56.9¢ | $580.89 | $541.66 | -$39.24 | 54% 3732-3133 (6865) |
PL ply-pm0CTR | Upavg 48¢ | $539.18 | — | -$539.18 | 25% 386-1129 (1515) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335 | Downavg 72.7¢ | $351.74 | $444.02 | +$92.28 | 51% 377-366 (743) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR | Upavg 50.3¢ | $293.69 | — | -$293.69 | 33% 364-742 (1106) |
 FairValueMachine | Downavg 39.1¢ | $165.53 | $252.24 | +$86.71 | 53% 4110-3590 (7700) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37cCTR | Upavg 59.9¢ | $185.88 | — | -$185.88 | 59% 468-324 (792) |
AS asdcaxzCTR | Upavg 46.5¢ | $267.46 | — | -$230.46 | 49% 3395-3511 (6906) |
PB PBot-5 | Downavg 33.2¢ | $98.43 | $148.4 | +$49.97 | 47% 556-618 (1174) |
 OhioAI | Downavg 38.4¢ | $93.44 | $128.98 | +$35.54 | 47% 303-344 (647) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 42.1¢ | $74.4 | $94.95 | +$20.54 | 51% 452-435 (887) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 75.5¢ | $79.3 | — | -$79.3 | 53% 1052-936 (1988) |
AN antsaslykuCTR | Upavg 38.1¢ | $111.15 | — | -$108.1 | 38% 670-1090 (1760) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 52.2¢ | $72.48 | $88.58 | +$39.51 | 61% 1940-1220 (3160) |
 machinelearnedCTR | Upavg 50.8¢ | $206.25 | — | -$206.25 | 40% 541-815 (1356) |
PA PapeasyCTR<$100 | Upavg 78¢ | $53.42 | — | -$53.42 | 50% 3438-3382 (6820) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $45.44 | — | -$8.82 | 49% 679-696 (1375) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $87.19 | $52 | -$35.19 | 66% 1722-886 (2608) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 79.4¢ | $62.93 | — | -$62.93 | 44% 914-1162 (2076) |
Invested
$1,733.81
Value
$1.9K
PnL
+$135.5
Record
58%
486-346 (832)
Invested
$1,139.49
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$11.51
Record
98%
1784-38 (1822)
Invested
$1,183.96
Value
—
PnL
$-1.1K
Record
40%
333-493 (826)
Invested
$504.82
Value
$722.59
PnL
+$257.37
Record
41%
353-514 (867)
Invested
$422.43
Value
—
PnL
-$422.43
Record
45%
476-573 (1049)
Invested
$559.44
Value
—
PnL
-$559.44
Record
52%
3696-3476 (7172)
Invested
$392.7
Value
$566.26
PnL
+$173.56
Record
50%
3824-3843 (7667)
Invested
$580.89
Value
$541.66
PnL
-$39.24
Record
54%
3732-3133 (6865)
Invested
$539.18
Value
—
PnL
-$539.18
Record
25%
386-1129 (1515)
Invested
$351.74
Value
$444.02
PnL
+$92.28
Record
51%
377-366 (743)
x-MoneyForWhiskasCTRInvested
$293.69
Value
—
PnL
-$293.69
Record
33%
364-742 (1106)
FairValueMachineInvested
$165.53
Value
$252.24
PnL
+$86.71
Record
53%
4110-3590 (7700)
Invested
$185.88
Value
—
PnL
-$185.88
Record
59%
468-324 (792)
Invested
$267.46
Value
—
PnL
-$230.46
Record
49%
3395-3511 (6906)
Invested
$98.43
Value
$148.4
PnL
+$49.97
Record
47%
556-618 (1174)
OhioAIInvested
$93.44
Value
$128.98
PnL
+$35.54
Record
47%
303-344 (647)
Invested
$74.4
Value
$94.95
PnL
+$20.54
Record
51%
452-435 (887)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$79.3
Value
—
PnL
-$79.3
Record
53%
1052-936 (1988)
Invested
$111.15
Value
—
PnL
-$108.1
Record
38%
670-1090 (1760)
Invested
$72.48
Value
$88.58
PnL
+$39.51
Record
61%
1940-1220 (3160)
machinelearnedCTRInvested
$206.25
Value
—
PnL
-$206.25
Record
40%
541-815 (1356)
Invested
$53.42
Value
—
PnL
-$53.42
Record
50%
3438-3382 (6820)
Invested
$45.44
Value
—
PnL
-$8.82
Record
49%
679-696 (1375)
Invested
$87.19
Value
$52
PnL
-$35.19
Record
66%
1722-886 (2608)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$62.93
Value
—
PnL
-$62.93
Record
44%
914-1162 (2076)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Bonereaper
Down — $1.9K
hoodquant
Down — $1.2K
dangerously-skip-permissions
CTRUp — $0
GoodFallen
Down — $722.59
CrouchPredictions
CTRUp — $0
blue.birds
CTRUp — $0
bosona
Down — $566.26
stepahead
Down — $541.66
ply-pm0
CTRUp — $0
0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335
Down — $444.02