Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 85% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 85%

Total Value

$14.7K

Combined PnL

$-4.3K

Smart Money Signal

34 of 40 top traders (85%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up34 traders

Total Value$14.7K

Total Shares14,700

Combined PnL+$1.7K

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares19,254

Combined PnL$-6.1K

Up — 85%Down — 15%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BoneOhio	Upavg 99¢	$3.5K	$3.5K	+$35	74% 668-239 (907)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 94.9¢	$2.7K	$2.7K	+$51.12	59% 471-334 (805)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 73¢	$806.99	$915.17	+$108.17	53% 1030-912 (1942)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 64.6¢	$572.26	$838.98	+$266.73	46% 465-554 (1019)
BO bosona	Upavg 68.3¢	$564.8	$749.99	+$185.2	50% 3804-3824 (7628)
MO mo-money	Upavg 68¢	$562.49	$749.99	+$187.5	45% 584-705 (1289)
AL almach	Upavg 67.7¢	$562.37	$750	+$187.63	46% 578-687 (1265)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98.9¢	$455.75	$461	+$5.25	98% 1733-37 (1770)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 67.4¢	$342.35	$450	+$107.65	25% 375-1116 (1491)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 60.9¢	$275.56	$355.32	+$119.48	50% 1187-1186 (2373)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 77.1¢	$345.46	$284.84	-$60.62	41% 325-477 (802)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c	Upavg 74¢	$296.18	$294.36	-$1.82	60% 461-307 (768)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 83¢	$276.15	$250	-$26.15	52% 3662-3433 (7095)
x-MoneyForWhiskas	Upavg 73.1¢	$259.74	$245.37	-$14.37	33% 352-730 (1082)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710	Upavg 66.7¢	$200.17	$300	+$99.83	36% 395-700 (1095)
ST stepahead	Upavg 67.2¢	$175.34	$216	+$40.66	54% 3713-3120 (6833)
PB PBot-5	Upavg 72.4¢	$140.86	$194.59	+$53.73	47% 538-599 (1137)
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335	Upavg 58¢	$121.29	$169	+$47.71	51% 367-356 (723)
ohioism	Upavg 95¢	$156.75	$165	+$8.25	48% 909-982 (1891)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 49.3¢	$122.62	$248.85	+$126.23	47% 887-999 (1886)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 70.5¢	$143.33	$113.3	+$7.37	41% 346-497 (843)
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212	Upavg 60¢	$101.4	$169	+$67.6	51% 373-363 (736)
HS Hsilverbasher	Upavg 66.9¢	$69.97	$104.57	+$34.6	52% 161-150 (311)
PA Papeasy<$100	Upavg 76.8¢	$61.12	$76.57	+$15.45	50% 3426-3372 (6798)
FairValueMachine<$100	Upavg 70.8¢	$45.66	$64.51	+$18.85	53% 4100-3577 (7677)

BoneOhio

Invested

$3,465

Value

$3.5K

PnL

+$35

Record

74%

668-239 (907)

Bonereaper

Invested

$2,667.54

Value

$2.7K

PnL

+$51.12

Record

59%

471-334 (805)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$806.99

Value

$915.17

PnL

+$108.17

Record

53%

1030-912 (1942)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$572.26

Value

$838.98

PnL

+$266.73

Record

46%

465-554 (1019)

bosona

Invested

$564.8

Value

$749.99

PnL

+$185.2

Record

50%

3804-3824 (7628)

mo-money

Invested

$562.49

Value

$749.99

PnL

+$187.5

Record

45%

584-705 (1289)

almach

Invested

$562.37

Value

$750

PnL

+$187.63

Record

46%

578-687 (1265)

hoodquant

Invested

$455.75

Value

$461

PnL

+$5.25

Record

98%

1733-37 (1770)

ply-pm0

Invested

$342.35

Value

$450

PnL

+$107.65

Record

25%

375-1116 (1491)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$275.56

Value

$355.32

PnL

+$119.48

Record

50%

1187-1186 (2373)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$345.46

Value

$284.84

PnL

-$60.62

Record

41%

325-477 (802)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Invested

$296.18

Value

$294.36

PnL

-$1.82

Record

60%

461-307 (768)

blue.birds

Invested

$276.15

Value

$250

PnL

-$26.15

Record

52%

3662-3433 (7095)

x-MoneyForWhiskas

Invested

$259.74

Value

$245.37

PnL

-$14.37

Record

33%

352-730 (1082)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Invested

$200.17

Value

$300

PnL

+$99.83

Record

36%

395-700 (1095)

stepahead

Invested

$175.34

Value

$216

PnL

+$40.66

Record

54%

3713-3120 (6833)

PBot-5

Invested

$140.86

Value

$194.59

PnL

+$53.73

Record

47%

538-599 (1137)

0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335

Invested

$121.29

Value

$169

PnL

+$47.71

Record

51%

367-356 (723)

ohioism

Invested

$156.75

Value

$165

PnL

+$8.25

Record

48%

909-982 (1891)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$122.62

Value

$248.85

PnL

+$126.23

Record

47%

887-999 (1886)

GoodFallen

Invested

$143.33

Value

$113.3

PnL

+$7.37

Record

41%

346-497 (843)

0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212

Invested

$101.4

Value

$169

PnL

+$67.6

Record

51%

373-363 (736)

Hsilverbasher

Invested

$69.97

Value

$104.57

PnL

+$34.6

Record

52%

161-150 (311)

Papeasy<$100

Invested

$61.12

Value

$76.57

PnL

+$15.45

Record

50%

3426-3372 (6798)

FairValueMachine<$100

Invested

$45.66

Value

$64.51

PnL

+$18.85

Record

53%

4100-3577 (7677)

Smart Money Signal

34 of 40 top traders (85%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x28894d48...6edd94

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794423300

Traders in this Market

BoneOhio

Up — $3.5K

+$35

Bonereaper

Up — $2.7K

+$51.12

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $915.17

+$108.17

CrouchPredictions

Up — $838.98

+$266.73

bosona

Up — $749.99

+$185.2

mo-money

Up — $749.99

+$187.5

almach

Up — $750

+$187.63

hoodquant

Up — $461

+$5.25

ply-pm0

Up — $450

+$107.65

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $355.32

+$119.48

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