Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
29
Up 55%
2 arb excluded
$7.3K
-$232.27
Smart Money Signal
16 of 29 top traders (55%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed13 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 96.5¢ | $2.9K | $3.0K | +$105.81 | 58% 463-331 (794) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$14.86 | 98% 1703-36 (1739) |
BL blue.birds | Upavg 84.3¢ | $598.77 | $603.21 | +$4.45 | 52% 3643-3416 (7059) |
BO bosona | Upavg 99¢ | $495 | $500 | +$5 | 50% 3793-3812 (7605) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 70.6¢ | $397.48 | $372.46 | -$22.32 | 40% 320-471 (791) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c | Upavg 70.2¢ | $219 | $289.95 | +$70.95 | 60% 456-301 (757) |
CR CrouchPredictionsARB<$100 | Downavg 18.2¢ | $188.43 | $136.54 | -$51.89 | 45% 456-548 (1004) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 60¢ | $81.87 | $136.54 | +$54.68 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 18.2¢ | $106.56 | — | -$106.56 | |
AL almach | Upavg 59¢ | $102.44 | $156.63 | +$54.2 | 46% 567-675 (1242) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 70.4¢ | $131.93 | $140.67 | +$8.74 | 25% 368-1112 (1480) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskas | Upavg 63.9¢ | $100.73 | $120 | +$19.27 | 32% 348-723 (1071) |
GO GoodFallenARB<$100 | Downavg 26.9¢ | $103.31 | $68.53 | -$34.78 | 41% 344-488 (832) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 65.3¢ | $44.76 | $68.53 | +$23.78 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 26.9¢ | $58.55 | — | -$58.55 | |
ST stepahead<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | $73.72 | $88.42 | +$14.71 | 54% 3706-3112 (6818) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 99¢ | $141.28 | $80 | -$61.28 | 53% 1012-899 (1911) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $80.8 | $84.5 | +$3.7 | 51% 362-350 (712) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $80 | — | -$80 | 47% 529-591 (1120) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $48.27 | $64.34 | +$16.07 | 66% 1638-859 (2497) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Upavg 81.3¢ | $32.8 | $40.37 | +$7.57 | 57% 4323-3230 (7553) |
0X 0x50f7CTR | Downavg 4¢ | $240.43 | — | -$240.43 | 47% 556-630 (1186) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | $30.6 | $23.54 | -$7.06 | 61% 1857-1168 (3025) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 61¢ | $22.59 | $28.85 | +$6.26 | 44% 870-1125 (1995) |
 OhioAICTR<$100 | Downavg 36.5¢ | $19.43 | — | -$19.43 | 47% 286-326 (612) |
 machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $38 | — | -$38 | 40% 521-792 (1313) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Downavg 32¢ | $9.85 | — | -$9.85 | 50% 429-424 (853) |
 SynthesizerchanCTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $9 | — | -$9 | 52% 35-32 (67) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 12¢ | $4.8 | — | -$4.8 | 49% 3341-3455 (6796) |
Invested
$2,909.67
Value
$3.0K
PnL
+$105.81
Record
58%
463-331 (794)
Invested
$1,471.14
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$14.86
Record
98%
1703-36 (1739)
Invested
$598.77
Value
$603.21
PnL
+$4.45
Record
52%
3643-3416 (7059)
Invested
$495
Value
$500
PnL
+$5
Record
50%
3793-3812 (7605)
Invested
$397.48
Value
$372.46
PnL
-$22.32
Record
40%
320-471 (791)
Invested
$219
Value
$289.95
PnL
+$70.95
Record
60%
456-301 (757)
Invested
$188.43
Value
$136.54
PnL
-$51.89
Record
45%
456-548 (1004)
Both legs:
Invested
$102.44
Value
$156.63
PnL
+$54.2
Record
46%
567-675 (1242)
Invested
$131.93
Value
$140.67
PnL
+$8.74
Record
25%
368-1112 (1480)
x-MoneyForWhiskasInvested
$100.73
Value
$120
PnL
+$19.27
Record
32%
348-723 (1071)
Invested
$103.31
Value
$68.53
PnL
-$34.78
Record
41%
344-488 (832)
Both legs:
Invested
$73.72
Value
$88.42
PnL
+$14.71
Record
54%
3706-3112 (6818)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$141.28
Value
$80
PnL
-$61.28
Record
53%
1012-899 (1911)
Invested
$80.8
Value
$84.5
PnL
+$3.7
Record
51%
362-350 (712)
Invested
$80
Value
—
PnL
-$80
Record
47%
529-591 (1120)
Invested
$48.27
Value
$64.34
PnL
+$16.07
Record
66%
1638-859 (2497)
Invested
$32.8
Value
$40.37
PnL
+$7.57
Record
57%
4323-3230 (7553)
Invested
$240.43
Value
—
PnL
-$240.43
Record
47%
556-630 (1186)
Invested
$30.6
Value
$23.54
PnL
-$7.06
Record
61%
1857-1168 (3025)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$22.59
Value
$28.85
PnL
+$6.26
Record
44%
870-1125 (1995)
OhioAICTR<$100Invested
$19.43
Value
—
PnL
-$19.43
Record
47%
286-326 (612)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
$38
Value
—
PnL
-$38
Record
40%
521-792 (1313)
Invested
$9.85
Value
—
PnL
-$9.85
Record
50%
429-424 (853)
SynthesizerchanCTR<$100Invested
$9
Value
—
PnL
-$9
Record
52%
35-32 (67)
Invested
$4.8
Value
—
PnL
-$4.8
Record
49%
3341-3455 (6796)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
Bonereaper
Up — $3.0K
hoodquant
Up — $1.5K
blue.birds
Up — $603.21
bosona
Up — $500
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $372.46
0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c
Up — $289.95
CrouchPredictions
ARBArbitrage — excluded
almach
Up — $156.63
ply-pm0
Up — $140.67
x-MoneyForWhiskas
Up — $120