Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Resolved Up. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 71%

Total Value

$4.1K

Combined PnL

$-1.1K

Smart Money Signal

25 of 36 top traders (69%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up25 traders

Total Value$4.1K

Total Shares4,133

Combined PnL-$360.46

Down11 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,173

Combined PnL-$733.97

Up — 69%Down — 31%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
machinelearned	Upavg 92.5¢	$729.7	$675.66	-$54.03	40% 521-792 (1313)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 70.3¢	$535.56	$492.17	-$43.38	58% 463-331 (794)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 88.6¢	$414.32	$366.83	-$47.5	52% 3643-3416 (7059)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 77.3¢	$383.54	$292.25	-$91.29	40% 320-471 (791)
AL almach	Upavg 98¢	$321.9	$280.09	-$41.81	46% 567-675 (1242)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$250.47	$253	+$2.53	98% 1703-36 (1739)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c	Upavg 77.9¢	$237.13	$183.74	-$53.39	60% 456-301 (757)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 87.9¢	$254.46	$180	-$74.46	53% 1012-899 (1911)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 85.4¢	$194.74	$181.41	-$13.33	25% 368-1112 (1480)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 46.4¢	$86	$185.48	+$99.49	47% 874-991 (1865)
x-MoneyForWhiskas	Upavg 83.5¢	$165.74	$158.08	-$7.66	32% 348-723 (1071)
BO bosona	Upavg 97¢	$165.29	$132.84	-$32.45	50% 3793-3812 (7605)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 80.3¢	$187.4	$117.07	-$70.33	41% 344-488 (832)
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR	Downavg 20.9¢	$213.71	—	-$213.71	45% 456-548 (1004)
DR drfc4eybh7i8	Upavg 97.5¢	$110.73	$107	-$3.73	61% 1857-1168 (3025)
ST stepahead	Upavg 84.5¢	$105.43	$96	-$9.43	54% 3706-3112 (6818)
BoneOhio	Upavg 92¢	$92	$100	+$8	74% 656-236 (892)
PA Papeasy<$100	Upavg 59¢	$52.84	$89.5	+$36.65	50% 3425-3362 (6787)
WZ wzbbb<$100	Upavg 78.7¢	$69.95	$63.44	-$6.51	50% 429-424 (853)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 55.6¢	$29.87	$53.73	+$23.87	49% 3341-3455 (6796)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100	Downavg 26.2¢	$52.11	—	-$52.11	53% 4097-3569 (7666)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 83.3¢	$38.8	$46.56	+$7.75	66% 1638-859 (2497)
HC Hcrystallash<$100	Upavg 61¢	$24.8	$40.66	+$15.86	57% 4323-3230 (7553)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 92¢	$24.7	$15	-$9.7	48% 895-969 (1864)
OhioAI<$100	Upavg 56¢	$12.61	$12.27	-$0.33	47% 286-326 (612)

machinelearned

Invested

$729.7

Value

$675.66

PnL

-$54.03

Record

40%

521-792 (1313)

Bonereaper

Invested

$535.56

Value

$492.17

PnL

-$43.38

Record

58%

463-331 (794)

blue.birds

Invested

$414.32

Value

$366.83

PnL

-$47.5

Record

52%

3643-3416 (7059)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$383.54

Value

$292.25

PnL

-$91.29

Record

40%

320-471 (791)

almach

Invested

$321.9

Value

$280.09

PnL

-$41.81

Record

46%

567-675 (1242)

hoodquant

Invested

$250.47

Value

$253

PnL

+$2.53

Record

98%

1703-36 (1739)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Invested

$237.13

Value

$183.74

PnL

-$53.39

Record

60%

456-301 (757)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$254.46

Value

$180

PnL

-$74.46

Record

53%

1012-899 (1911)

ply-pm0

Invested

$194.74

Value

$181.41

PnL

-$13.33

Record

25%

368-1112 (1480)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$86

Value

$185.48

PnL

+$99.49

Record

47%

874-991 (1865)

x-MoneyForWhiskas

Invested

$165.74

Value

$158.08

PnL

-$7.66

Record

32%

348-723 (1071)

bosona

Invested

$165.29

Value

$132.84

PnL

-$32.45

Record

50%

3793-3812 (7605)

GoodFallen

Invested

$187.4

Value

$117.07

PnL

-$70.33

Record

41%

344-488 (832)

CrouchPredictionsCTR

Down

Invested

$213.71

Value

—

PnL

-$213.71

Record

45%

456-548 (1004)

drfc4eybh7i8

Invested

$110.73

Value

$107

PnL

-$3.73

Record

61%

1857-1168 (3025)

stepahead

Invested

$105.43

Value

$96

PnL

-$9.43

Record

54%

3706-3112 (6818)

BoneOhio

Invested

$92

Value

$100

PnL

+$8

Record

74%

656-236 (892)

Papeasy<$100

Invested

$52.84

Value

$89.5

PnL

+$36.65

Record

50%

3425-3362 (6787)

wzbbb<$100

Invested

$69.95

Value

$63.44

PnL

-$6.51

Record

50%

429-424 (853)

asdcaxz<$100

Invested

$29.87

Value

$53.73

PnL

+$23.87

Record

49%

3341-3455 (6796)

FairValueMachineCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$52.11

Value

—

PnL

-$52.11

Record

53%

4097-3569 (7666)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$38.8

Value

$46.56

PnL

+$7.75

Record

66%

1638-859 (2497)

Hcrystallash<$100

Invested

$24.8

Value

$40.66

PnL

+$15.86

Record

57%

4323-3230 (7553)

ohioism<$100

Invested

$24.7

Value

$15

PnL

-$9.7

Record

48%

895-969 (1864)

OhioAI<$100

Invested

$12.61

Value

$12.27

PnL

-$0.33

Record

47%

286-326 (612)

Smart Money Signal

25 of 36 top traders (69%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xbaae397f...cc0f75

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794418500

Traders in this Market

machinelearned

Up — $675.66

-$54.03

Bonereaper

Up — $492.17

-$43.38

blue.birds

Up — $366.83

-$47.5

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $292.25

-$91.29

almach

Up — $280.09

-$41.81

hoodquant

Up — $253

+$2.53

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Up — $183.74

-$53.39

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $180

-$74.46

ply-pm0

Up — $181.41

-$13.33

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $185.48

+$99.49

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