Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 74% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
35
Down 76%
$9.6K
-$107.11
Smart Money Signal
26 of 35 top traders (74%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 96.2¢ | $2.0K | $1.9K | -$68.25 | 58% 456-325 (781) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.7¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$19.99 | 98% 1669-36 (1705) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 87.6¢ | $1.0K | $1.1K | +$102.8 | 39% 513-787 (1300) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 77.1¢ | $624.9 | $568 | -$56.9 | 45% 448-543 (991) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 78¢ | $413 | $500 | +$87 | 45% 561-685 (1246) |
AL almach | Downavg 78¢ | $445.26 | $500 | +$54.74 | 45% 555-665 (1220) |
BO bosona | Downavg 83¢ | $415 | $500 | +$85 | 50% 3782-3804 (7586) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 83¢ | $504.22 | $456.37 | +$21.82 | 52% 3623-3395 (7018) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c | Downavg 78.9¢ | $307.73 | $329.77 | +$22.05 | 60% 448-296 (744) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 81.9¢ | $351.49 | $310.85 | -$40.64 | 53% 990-886 (1876) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 80.8¢ | $355.87 | $296.35 | -$59.52 | 40% 315-463 (778) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 79.6¢ | $241.78 | $250 | +$8.22 | 50% 1138-1119 (2257) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 75.6¢ | $240.83 | $250.09 | +$9.26 | 25% 362-1106 (1468) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 77.3¢ | $196 | $188.29 | -$7.71 | 54% 3693-3108 (6801) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 82¢ | $193.54 | $179.52 | -$13.33 | 41% 339-481 (820) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskas | Downavg 81.2¢ | $185.15 | $167.95 | -$17.2 | 32% 342-716 (1058) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 83.5¢ | $78.75 | $90 | +$11.88 | 61% 1823-1148 (2971) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335 | Downavg 98¢ | $125.81 | $84.5 | -$41.31 | 51% 357-343 (700) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 88.3¢ | $92.4 | $81.1 | -$9.63 | 50% 421-419 (840) |
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $80.32 | $84.5 | +$4.18 | 51% 364-348 (712) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 75.6¢ | $58.67 | $58.39 | -$0.28 | 49% 3321-3438 (6759) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 78.9¢ | $35.04 | $44.41 | +$9.37 | 65% 1606-846 (2452) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $26.25 | $35 | +$8.75 | 48% 876-948 (1824) |
 FairValueMachineCTR<$100 | Upavg 30.6¢ | $29.84 | — | -$29.84 | 53% 4092-3562 (7654) |
 OhioAI<$100 | Downavg 77.9¢ | $14.37 | $14.78 | +$0.41 | 47% 279-321 (600) |
Invested
$1,950.54
Value
$1.9K
PnL
-$68.25
Record
58%
456-325 (781)
Invested
$1,501.01
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$19.99
Record
98%
1669-36 (1705)
machinelearnedInvested
$1,046.08
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$102.8
Record
39%
513-787 (1300)
Invested
$624.9
Value
$568
PnL
-$56.9
Record
45%
448-543 (991)
Invested
$413
Value
$500
PnL
+$87
Record
45%
561-685 (1246)
Invested
$445.26
Value
$500
PnL
+$54.74
Record
45%
555-665 (1220)
Invested
$415
Value
$500
PnL
+$85
Record
50%
3782-3804 (7586)
Invested
$504.22
Value
$456.37
PnL
+$21.82
Record
52%
3623-3395 (7018)
Invested
$307.73
Value
$329.77
PnL
+$22.05
Record
60%
448-296 (744)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$351.49
Value
$310.85
PnL
-$40.64
Record
53%
990-886 (1876)
Invested
$355.87
Value
$296.35
PnL
-$59.52
Record
40%
315-463 (778)
Invested
$241.78
Value
$250
PnL
+$8.22
Record
50%
1138-1119 (2257)
Invested
$240.83
Value
$250.09
PnL
+$9.26
Record
25%
362-1106 (1468)
Invested
$196
Value
$188.29
PnL
-$7.71
Record
54%
3693-3108 (6801)
Invested
$193.54
Value
$179.52
PnL
-$13.33
Record
41%
339-481 (820)
x-MoneyForWhiskasInvested
$185.15
Value
$167.95
PnL
-$17.2
Record
32%
342-716 (1058)
Invested
$78.75
Value
$90
PnL
+$11.88
Record
61%
1823-1148 (2971)
Invested
$125.81
Value
$84.5
PnL
-$41.31
Record
51%
357-343 (700)
Invested
$92.4
Value
$81.1
PnL
-$9.63
Record
50%
421-419 (840)
Invested
$80.32
Value
$84.5
PnL
+$4.18
Record
51%
364-348 (712)
Invested
$58.67
Value
$58.39
PnL
-$0.28
Record
49%
3321-3438 (6759)
Invested
$35.04
Value
$44.41
PnL
+$9.37
Record
65%
1606-846 (2452)
ohioism<$100Invested
$26.25
Value
$35
PnL
+$8.75
Record
48%
876-948 (1824)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100Invested
$29.84
Value
—
PnL
-$29.84
Record
53%
4092-3562 (7654)
OhioAI<$100Invested
$14.37
Value
$14.78
PnL
+$0.41
Record
47%
279-321 (600)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Bonereaper
Down — $1.9K
hoodquant
Down — $1.5K
machinelearned
Down — $1.1K
CrouchPredictions
Down — $568
mo-money
Down — $500
almach
Down — $500
bosona
Down — $500
blue.birds
Down — $456.37
0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c
Down — $329.77
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $310.85