Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Resolved Up. 91% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 90%

Total Value

$12.8K

Combined PnL

$387.54

Smart Money Signal

29 of 32 top traders (91%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up29 traders

Total Value$12.8K

Total Shares12,826

Combined PnL+$533.78

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,153

Combined PnL-$146.23

Up — 91%Down — 9%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 93.1¢	$2.2K	$2.4K	+$113.07	58% 449-321 (770)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98.6¢	$1.7K	$1.7K	+$23.02	98% 1643-35 (1678)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 93.1¢	$1.4K	$1.4K	+$36.83	50% 1112-1093 (2205)
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$1.3K	$1.3K	+$1.34	47% 535-608 (1143)
BO bosona	Upavg 95.8¢	$978.81	$982.66	+$3.85	50% 3775-3793 (7568)
AL almach	Upavg 89.8¢	$590.31	$615.53	+$25.22	46% 551-653 (1204)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710	Upavg 94¢	$564	$600	+$36	36% 382-671 (1053)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 74.5¢	$334.42	$449.01	+$114.6	45% 439-537 (976)
machinelearned	Upavg 75.2¢	$345.91	$450.66	+$104.75	39% 506-777 (1283)
ST stepahead	Upavg 81.4¢	$399.16	$406.6	+$7.44	54% 3684-3102 (6786)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 85.1¢	$402.39	$399.98	-$2.4	52% 3606-3382 (6988)
MO mo-money	Upavg 96.7¢	$326.91	$317.19	-$9.72	45% 555-673 (1228)
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335	Upavg 83.8¢	$286.13	$277.91	-$8.22	51% 352-337 (689)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c	Upavg 85.2¢	$221.99	$260.59	+$38.61	60% 442-291 (733)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 97.5¢	$251.13	$209.68	-$41.45	52% 969-877 (1846)
AS asdaefef	Upavg 92.9¢	$158.32	$164.31	+$5.99	65% 1584-836 (2420)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 98¢	$180.27	$150	-$30.27	24% 356-1101 (1457)
PB PBot-5	Upavg 49¢	$89.38	$140	+$68.62	47% 505-566 (1071)
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212	Upavg 55.4¢	$80.68	$115.75	+$35.07	51% 359-344 (703)
pspspsps5	Upavg 97.6¢	$109.97	$111	+$1.03	35% 468-869 (1337)
WZ wzbbb<$100	Upavg 79.7¢	$98	$73.6	-$4.86	50% 415-414 (829)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 83.2¢	$88.67	$69.99	+$8.32	44% 840-1079 (1919)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 93.6¢	$61.95	$66.16	+$4.21	40% 562-858 (1420)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 90¢	$65.39	$53	-$5.88	48% 861-936 (1797)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions<$100	Upavg 85¢	$39.6	$40	+$0.4	40% 308-459 (767)

Bonereaper

Invested

$2,237.35

Value

$2.4K

PnL

+$113.07

Record

58%

449-321 (770)

hoodquant

Invested

$1,661.98

Value

$1.7K

PnL

+$23.02

Record

98%

1643-35 (1678)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$1,379.09

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$36.83

Record

50%

1112-1093 (2205)

0x50f7

Invested

$1,341.6

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$1.34

Record

47%

535-608 (1143)

bosona

Invested

$978.81

Value

$982.66

PnL

+$3.85

Record

50%

3775-3793 (7568)

almach

Invested

$590.31

Value

$615.53

PnL

+$25.22

Record

46%

551-653 (1204)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Invested

$564

Value

$600

PnL

+$36

Record

36%

382-671 (1053)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$334.42

Value

$449.01

PnL

+$114.6

Record

45%

439-537 (976)

machinelearned

Invested

$345.91

Value

$450.66

PnL

+$104.75

Record

39%

506-777 (1283)

stepahead

Invested

$399.16

Value

$406.6

PnL

+$7.44

Record

54%

3684-3102 (6786)

blue.birds

Invested

$402.39

Value

$399.98

PnL

-$2.4

Record

52%

3606-3382 (6988)

mo-money

Invested

$326.91

Value

$317.19

PnL

-$9.72

Record

45%

555-673 (1228)

0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335

Invested

$286.13

Value

$277.91

PnL

-$8.22

Record

51%

352-337 (689)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Invested

$221.99

Value

$260.59

PnL

+$38.61

Record

60%

442-291 (733)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$251.13

Value

$209.68

PnL

-$41.45

Record

52%

969-877 (1846)

asdaefef

Invested

$158.32

Value

$164.31

PnL

+$5.99

Record

65%

1584-836 (2420)

ply-pm0

Invested

$180.27

Value

$150

PnL

-$30.27

Record

24%

356-1101 (1457)

PBot-5

Invested

$89.38

Value

$140

PnL

+$68.62

Record

47%

505-566 (1071)

0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212

Invested

$80.68

Value

$115.75

PnL

+$35.07

Record

51%

359-344 (703)

pspspsps5

Invested

$109.97

Value

$111

PnL

+$1.03

Record

35%

468-869 (1337)

wzbbb<$100

Invested

$98

Value

$73.6

PnL

-$4.86

Record

50%

415-414 (829)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$88.67

Value

$69.99

PnL

+$8.32

Record

44%

840-1079 (1919)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$61.95

Value

$66.16

PnL

+$4.21

Record

40%

562-858 (1420)

ohioism<$100

Invested

$65.39

Value

$53

PnL

-$5.88

Record

48%

861-936 (1797)

dangerously-skip-permissions<$100

Invested

$39.6

Value

$40

PnL

+$0.4

Record

40%

308-459 (767)

Smart Money Signal

29 of 32 top traders (91%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x009cf5b0...4fa0fb

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794411300

Traders in this Market

Bonereaper

Up — $2.4K

+$113.07

hoodquant

Up — $1.7K

+$23.02

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $1.4K

+$36.83

0x50f7

Up — $1.3K

+$1.34

bosona

Up — $982.66

+$3.85

almach

Up — $615.53

+$25.22

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $600

+$36

CrouchPredictions

Up — $449.01

+$114.6

machinelearned

Up — $450.66

+$104.75

stepahead

Up — $406.6

+$7.44

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