Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
34
Down 75%
$5.9K
-$279.55
Smart Money Signal
24 of 34 top traders (71%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 95.1¢ | $1.4K | $1.4K | -$12.86 | 58% 436-310 (746) |
 BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $1.2K | $1.2K | +$12.06 | 74% 622-215 (837) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $677.67 | $684.63 | +$6.96 | 98% 1594-33 (1627) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 83.1¢ | $411.36 | $410.33 | -$1.03 | 52% 3572-3348 (6920) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 68.2¢ | $251.46 | $368.64 | +$117.17 | 39% 493-763 (1256) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 66.4¢ | $258.47 | $264.16 | +$5.69 | 54% 3668-3086 (6754) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c | Downavg 75.5¢ | $153.04 | $174.32 | +$21.28 | 60% 428-281 (709) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 74¢ | $113.5 | $149.77 | +$36.26 | 45% 534-658 (1192) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 80.9¢ | $195.62 | $129.99 | -$65.63 | 41% 301-442 (743) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 86.7¢ | $129.34 | $126 | -$3.34 | 51% 1054-1033 (2087) |
 G-Penis-Monster | Downavg 79.6¢ | $114.78 | $121.11 | +$6.33 | 44% 821-1039 (1860) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335 | Downavg 50.3¢ | $75.24 | $121.45 | +$46.21 | 51% 344-324 (668) |
PL ply-pm0CTR | Upavg 42.4¢ | $149.02 | — | -$149.02 | 24% 348-1085 (1433) |
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR | Upavg 19.4¢ | $164.97 | — | -$156.67 | 45% 426-520 (946) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 68¢ | $89.81 | $100 | +$10.19 | 49% 3270-3379 (6649) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 70.6¢ | $84.26 | $100 | +$15.74 | 53% 938-848 (1786) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskas<$100 | Downavg 68.2¢ | $80.56 | $98.86 | +$18.3 | 32% 325-698 (1023) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Downavg 69.5¢ | $55.6 | $80 | +$24.4 | 53% 4074-3548 (7622) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 85.1¢ | $68.86 | $73.84 | +$4.98 | 65% 1531-815 (2346) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Downavg 72.3¢ | $45.92 | $63.48 | +$17.56 | 57% 4281-3209 (7490) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 67.8¢ | $60.68 | $60 | +$1.96 | 49% 399-408 (807) |
GO GoodFallenCTR<$100 | Upavg 33.7¢ | $85.07 | — | -$85.07 | 41% 324-461 (785) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 86.2¢ | $46.75 | $44.63 | -$1.02 | 62% 1746-1091 (2837) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 82.4¢ | $41.78 | $34.93 | -$6.85 | 48% 838-904 (1742) |
 OhioAI<$100 | Downavg 59.7¢ | $33.78 | $32 | -$1.78 | 47% 266-299 (565) |
Invested
$1,445.39
Value
$1.4K
PnL
-$12.86
Record
58%
436-310 (746)
BoneOhioInvested
$1,194.19
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$12.06
Record
74%
622-215 (837)
Invested
$677.67
Value
$684.63
PnL
+$6.96
Record
98%
1594-33 (1627)
Invested
$411.36
Value
$410.33
PnL
-$1.03
Record
52%
3572-3348 (6920)
machinelearnedInvested
$251.46
Value
$368.64
PnL
+$117.17
Record
39%
493-763 (1256)
Invested
$258.47
Value
$264.16
PnL
+$5.69
Record
54%
3668-3086 (6754)
Invested
$153.04
Value
$174.32
PnL
+$21.28
Record
60%
428-281 (709)
Invested
$113.5
Value
$149.77
PnL
+$36.26
Record
45%
534-658 (1192)
Invested
$195.62
Value
$129.99
PnL
-$65.63
Record
41%
301-442 (743)
Invested
$129.34
Value
$126
PnL
-$3.34
Record
51%
1054-1033 (2087)
G-Penis-MonsterInvested
$114.78
Value
$121.11
PnL
+$6.33
Record
44%
821-1039 (1860)
Invested
$75.24
Value
$121.45
PnL
+$46.21
Record
51%
344-324 (668)
Invested
$149.02
Value
—
PnL
-$149.02
Record
24%
348-1085 (1433)
Invested
$164.97
Value
—
PnL
-$156.67
Record
45%
426-520 (946)
Invested
$89.81
Value
$100
PnL
+$10.19
Record
49%
3270-3379 (6649)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$84.26
Value
$100
PnL
+$15.74
Record
53%
938-848 (1786)
x-MoneyForWhiskas<$100Invested
$80.56
Value
$98.86
PnL
+$18.3
Record
32%
325-698 (1023)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$55.6
Value
$80
PnL
+$24.4
Record
53%
4074-3548 (7622)
Invested
$68.86
Value
$73.84
PnL
+$4.98
Record
65%
1531-815 (2346)
Invested
$45.92
Value
$63.48
PnL
+$17.56
Record
57%
4281-3209 (7490)
Invested
$60.68
Value
$60
PnL
+$1.96
Record
49%
399-408 (807)
Invested
$85.07
Value
—
PnL
-$85.07
Record
41%
324-461 (785)
Invested
$46.75
Value
$44.63
PnL
-$1.02
Record
62%
1746-1091 (2837)
ohioism<$100Invested
$41.78
Value
$34.93
PnL
-$6.85
Record
48%
838-904 (1742)
OhioAI<$100Invested
$33.78
Value
$32
PnL
-$1.78
Record
47%
266-299 (565)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
Bonereaper
Down — $1.4K
BoneOhio
Down — $1.2K
hoodquant
Down — $684.63
blue.birds
Down — $410.33
machinelearned
Down — $368.64
stepahead
Down — $264.16
0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c
Down — $174.32
mo-money
Down — $149.77
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $129.99
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $126