Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
38
Down 79%
$13.4K
$984.16
Smart Money Signal
30 of 38 top traders (79%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%22 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $3.0K | $3.0K | +$3.01 | 46% 497-585 (1082) |
 BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $2.4K | $2.4K | +$24.25 | 74% 613-210 (823) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 90.8¢ | $2.0K | $2.1K | +$188.84 | 58% 428-305 (733) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.7¢ | $1.3K | $1.3K | +$16.58 | 98% 1568-33 (1601) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 71.7¢ | $705.96 | $912.02 | +$206.06 | 39% 484-758 (1242) |
38 38791873984189 | Downavg 47.9¢ | $478.6 | $999.99 | +$521.4 | 48% 1299-1404 (2703) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c | Downavg 84.7¢ | $264.87 | $311.63 | +$46.76 | 60% 419-277 (696) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 81.2¢ | $305.19 | $303.39 | -$1.8 | 51% 1031-992 (2023) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 80.4¢ | $284.04 | $205.99 | -$35.37 | 24% 339-1081 (1420) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335 | Downavg 78.7¢ | $219.03 | $205.14 | -$13.89 | 52% 340-317 (657) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 65.3¢ | $167.71 | $180.22 | +$12.51 | 54% 3659-3078 (6737) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 91.5¢ | $227.23 | $182.76 | -$35.57 | 53% 923-832 (1755) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 73.9¢ | $132.35 | $150.01 | +$17.66 | 41% 320-454 (774) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 70.8¢ | $154.16 | $139.33 | -$14.83 | 40% 296-435 (731) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskas | Downavg 70.7¢ | $161.19 | $116.96 | -$44.22 | 32% 319-692 (1011) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 72.9¢ | $94.64 | $116.47 | +$21.83 | 52% 3556-3327 (6883) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Downavg 60.1¢ | $64.92 | $96.32 | +$31.39 | 53% 4069-3543 (7612) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 76.6¢ | $64.02 | $77.51 | +$13.49 | 65% 1505-799 (2304) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 81.1¢ | $70 | $86.33 | +$16.33 | 49% 389-405 (794) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $78.05 | $66.3 | -$11.75 | 35% 436-816 (1252) |
PA Papeasy<$100 | Downavg 83.9¢ | $56.16 | $66.94 | +$10.77 | 50% 3388-3341 (6729) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 65.5¢ | $38.29 | $52.19 | +$13.91 | 48% 825-881 (1706) |
BO bosona<$100 | Downavg 39¢ | $25.93 | $49.86 | +$23.93 | 50% 3744-3775 (7519) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 54.5¢ | $28.74 | $41.72 | +$12.98 | 49% 3249-3358 (6607) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 68.4¢ | $44.3 | $38.93 | +$2.3 | 61% 1710-1077 (2787) |
Invested
$3,005
Value
$3.0K
PnL
+$3.01
Record
46%
497-585 (1082)
BoneOhioInvested
$2,401.13
Value
$2.4K
PnL
+$24.25
Record
74%
613-210 (823)
Invested
$1,954.85
Value
$2.1K
PnL
+$188.84
Record
58%
428-305 (733)
Invested
$1,290.42
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$16.58
Record
98%
1568-33 (1601)
machinelearnedInvested
$705.96
Value
$912.02
PnL
+$206.06
Record
39%
484-758 (1242)
Invested
$478.6
Value
$999.99
PnL
+$521.4
Record
48%
1299-1404 (2703)
Invested
$264.87
Value
$311.63
PnL
+$46.76
Record
60%
419-277 (696)
Invested
$305.19
Value
$303.39
PnL
-$1.8
Record
51%
1031-992 (2023)
Invested
$284.04
Value
$205.99
PnL
-$35.37
Record
24%
339-1081 (1420)
Invested
$219.03
Value
$205.14
PnL
-$13.89
Record
52%
340-317 (657)
Invested
$167.71
Value
$180.22
PnL
+$12.51
Record
54%
3659-3078 (6737)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$227.23
Value
$182.76
PnL
-$35.57
Record
53%
923-832 (1755)
Invested
$132.35
Value
$150.01
PnL
+$17.66
Record
41%
320-454 (774)
Invested
$154.16
Value
$139.33
PnL
-$14.83
Record
40%
296-435 (731)
x-MoneyForWhiskasInvested
$161.19
Value
$116.96
PnL
-$44.22
Record
32%
319-692 (1011)
Invested
$94.64
Value
$116.47
PnL
+$21.83
Record
52%
3556-3327 (6883)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$64.92
Value
$96.32
PnL
+$31.39
Record
53%
4069-3543 (7612)
Invested
$64.02
Value
$77.51
PnL
+$13.49
Record
65%
1505-799 (2304)
Invested
$70
Value
$86.33
PnL
+$16.33
Record
49%
389-405 (794)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$78.05
Value
$66.3
PnL
-$11.75
Record
35%
436-816 (1252)
Invested
$56.16
Value
$66.94
PnL
+$10.77
Record
50%
3388-3341 (6729)
ohioism<$100Invested
$38.29
Value
$52.19
PnL
+$13.91
Record
48%
825-881 (1706)
Invested
$25.93
Value
$49.86
PnL
+$23.93
Record
50%
3744-3775 (7519)
Invested
$28.74
Value
$41.72
PnL
+$12.98
Record
49%
3249-3358 (6607)
Invested
$44.3
Value
$38.93
PnL
+$2.3
Record
61%
1710-1077 (2787)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $3.0K
BoneOhio
Down — $2.4K
Bonereaper
Down — $2.1K
hoodquant
Down — $1.3K
machinelearned
Down — $912.02
38791873984189
Down — $999.99
0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c
Down — $311.63
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $303.39
ply-pm0
Down — $205.99
0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335
Down — $205.14