Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
37
Down 67%
$4.7K
-$229.08
Smart Money Signal
25 of 37 top traders (68%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%23 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 94.1¢ | $1.4K | $1.5K | +$60.19 | 58% 428-305 (733) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $609.84 | $616 | +$6.16 | 98% 1568-33 (1601) |
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $553.08 | $553.63 | +$0.55 | 46% 497-585 (1082) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 50.3¢ | $255.75 | $507.98 | +$252.23 | 46% 799-931 (1730) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 70.7¢ | $190.81 | $190.2 | -$0.61 | 51% 1031-992 (2023) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 63.1¢ | $212.31 | $177.69 | -$34.62 | 40% 296-435 (731) |
 OhioRiskManagement | Downavg 98.3¢ | $155.34 | $158 | +$2.66 | 40% 523-796 (1319) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 91.5¢ | $189.95 | $146.66 | -$43.29 | 39% 484-758 (1242) |
BO bosona | Downavg 89¢ | $124.97 | $140.41 | +$15.45 | 50% 3744-3775 (7519) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 55¢ | $137.95 | $130.07 | -$5.06 | 52% 3556-3327 (6883) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskas | Downavg 79¢ | $105.14 | $98.72 | -$6.43 | 32% 319-692 (1011) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 72.2¢ | $120.23 | $83.65 | -$36.57 | 54% 3659-3078 (6737) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100 | Downavg 93.6¢ | $71.17 | $73.57 | +$2.4 | 60% 419-277 (696) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Downavg 85.7¢ | $52.65 | $60 | +$7.35 | 41% 320-454 (774) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 93.9¢ | $56.65 | $51.1 | -$5.55 | 65% 1505-799 (2304) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $88.19 | $50 | -$38.19 | 24% 339-1081 (1420) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $27 | $50 | +$23 | 49% 3249-3358 (6607) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 62¢ | $41.7 | $35 | -$6.7 | 44% 812-1016 (1828) |
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR | Upavg 21.9¢ | $103.23 | — | -$103.23 | 45% 417-512 (929) |
 Synthesizerchan<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $12.51 | $25.02 | +$12.51 | 52% 28-26 (54) |
 OhioAICTR<$100 | Upavg 39.8¢ | $32.26 | — | -$32.26 | 47% 257-295 (552) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $14.6 | $20 | +$5.4 | 38% 592-951 (1543) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Upavg 37¢ | $29.08 | — | -$29.08 | 49% 389-405 (794) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 71¢ | $11.97 | $16.86 | +$4.89 | 45% 523-652 (1175) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $13.29 | $11 | -$2.29 | 60% 1047-698 (1745) |
Invested
$1,409.63
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$60.19
Record
58%
428-305 (733)
Invested
$609.84
Value
$616
PnL
+$6.16
Record
98%
1568-33 (1601)
Invested
$553.08
Value
$553.63
PnL
+$0.55
Record
46%
497-585 (1082)
Invested
$255.75
Value
$507.98
PnL
+$252.23
Record
46%
799-931 (1730)
Invested
$190.81
Value
$190.2
PnL
-$0.61
Record
51%
1031-992 (2023)
Invested
$212.31
Value
$177.69
PnL
-$34.62
Record
40%
296-435 (731)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$155.34
Value
$158
PnL
+$2.66
Record
40%
523-796 (1319)
machinelearnedInvested
$189.95
Value
$146.66
PnL
-$43.29
Record
39%
484-758 (1242)
Invested
$124.97
Value
$140.41
PnL
+$15.45
Record
50%
3744-3775 (7519)
Invested
$137.95
Value
$130.07
PnL
-$5.06
Record
52%
3556-3327 (6883)
x-MoneyForWhiskasInvested
$105.14
Value
$98.72
PnL
-$6.43
Record
32%
319-692 (1011)
Invested
$120.23
Value
$83.65
PnL
-$36.57
Record
54%
3659-3078 (6737)
Invested
$71.17
Value
$73.57
PnL
+$2.4
Record
60%
419-277 (696)
Invested
$52.65
Value
$60
PnL
+$7.35
Record
41%
320-454 (774)
Invested
$56.65
Value
$51.1
PnL
-$5.55
Record
65%
1505-799 (2304)
Invested
$88.19
Value
$50
PnL
-$38.19
Record
24%
339-1081 (1420)
Invested
$27
Value
$50
PnL
+$23
Record
49%
3249-3358 (6607)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$41.7
Value
$35
PnL
-$6.7
Record
44%
812-1016 (1828)
Invested
$103.23
Value
—
PnL
-$103.23
Record
45%
417-512 (929)
Synthesizerchan<$100Invested
$12.51
Value
$25.02
PnL
+$12.51
Record
52%
28-26 (54)
OhioAICTR<$100Invested
$32.26
Value
—
PnL
-$32.26
Record
47%
257-295 (552)
Invested
$14.6
Value
$20
PnL
+$5.4
Record
38%
592-951 (1543)
Invested
$29.08
Value
—
PnL
-$29.08
Record
49%
389-405 (794)
Invested
$11.97
Value
$16.86
PnL
+$4.89
Record
45%
523-652 (1175)
Invested
$13.29
Value
$11
PnL
-$2.29
Record
60%
1047-698 (1745)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Bonereaper
Down — $1.5K
hoodquant
Down — $616
0x50f7
Down — $553.63
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $507.98
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $190.2
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $177.69
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $158
machinelearned
Down — $146.66
bosona
Down — $140.41
blue.birds
Down — $130.07