Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
26
Down 68%
$6.0K
$210.23
Smart Money Signal
18 of 26 top traders (69%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 97.3¢ | $2.7K | $2.8K | +$75.65 | 59% 423-299 (722) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $1.3K | $1.4K | +$13.62 | 98% 1544-32 (1576) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 82.7¢ | $382.26 | $442.51 | +$60.24 | 45% 412-502 (914) |
 OhioRiskManagement | Downavg 97.4¢ | $305.68 | $314 | +$8.32 | 39% 508-784 (1292) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 76¢ | $259.48 | $341.43 | +$81.94 | 39% 480-748 (1228) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 83.9¢ | $226.57 | $209.91 | -$9.46 | 54% 3652-3070 (6722) |
AL almach | Downavg 75¢ | $118.78 | $158.37 | +$39.59 | 45% 507-626 (1133) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 35¢ | $72.8 | — | -$72.8 | 46% 786-920 (1706) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 82.1¢ | $84.45 | $99 | +$18.45 | 51% 1009-957 (1966) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100 | Downavg 89.6¢ | $70.7 | $77.12 | +$6.42 | 60% 414-271 (685) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 88.7¢ | $39.8 | $44.89 | +$5.09 | 65% 1481-789 (2270) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 82¢ | $32.8 | $40 | +$7.2 | 49% 380-402 (782) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $31.65 | $35 | +$3.35 | 61% 1683-1060 (2743) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $31.15 | $35 | +$3.85 | 48% 807-866 (1673) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $23.67 | $26.6 | +$2.93 | 35% 429-801 (1230) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Downavg 81¢ | $29.65 | $22.32 | +$4.63 | 24% 335-1074 (1409) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $18.76 | $20 | +$1.24 | 53% 908-821 (1729) |
BL blue.birdsCTR | Upavg 7.6¢ | $104.15 | — | -$20.54 | 52% 3542-3305 (6847) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $10.05 | — | -$10.05 | 46% 487-576 (1063) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $6.9 | $6.13 | -$0.65 | 60% 1032-684 (1716) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335CTR<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $1.14 | — | -$1.14 | 52% 334-312 (646) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $47 | — | -$1.33 | 49% 3233-3339 (6572) |
PA PapeasyCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.14 | — | -$0.14 | 50% 3384-3334 (6718) |
 OhioAICTR<$100 | Upavg 8.2¢ | $1.96 | — | -$1.96 | 47% 253-288 (541) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 8.2¢ | $1.23 | — | -$1.23 | 44% 798-998 (1796) |
Invested
$2,682.84
Value
$2.8K
PnL
+$75.65
Record
59%
423-299 (722)
Invested
$1,348.38
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$13.62
Record
98%
1544-32 (1576)
Invested
$382.26
Value
$442.51
PnL
+$60.24
Record
45%
412-502 (914)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$305.68
Value
$314
PnL
+$8.32
Record
39%
508-784 (1292)
machinelearnedInvested
$259.48
Value
$341.43
PnL
+$81.94
Record
39%
480-748 (1228)
Invested
$226.57
Value
$209.91
PnL
-$9.46
Record
54%
3652-3070 (6722)
Invested
$118.78
Value
$158.37
PnL
+$39.59
Record
45%
507-626 (1133)
Invested
$72.8
Value
—
PnL
-$72.8
Record
46%
786-920 (1706)
Invested
$84.45
Value
$99
PnL
+$18.45
Record
51%
1009-957 (1966)
Invested
$70.7
Value
$77.12
PnL
+$6.42
Record
60%
414-271 (685)
Invested
$39.8
Value
$44.89
PnL
+$5.09
Record
65%
1481-789 (2270)
Invested
$32.8
Value
$40
PnL
+$7.2
Record
49%
380-402 (782)
Invested
$31.65
Value
$35
PnL
+$3.35
Record
61%
1683-1060 (2743)
ohioism<$100Invested
$31.15
Value
$35
PnL
+$3.85
Record
48%
807-866 (1673)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$23.67
Value
$26.6
PnL
+$2.93
Record
35%
429-801 (1230)
Invested
$29.65
Value
$22.32
PnL
+$4.63
Record
24%
335-1074 (1409)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$18.76
Value
$20
PnL
+$1.24
Record
53%
908-821 (1729)
Invested
$104.15
Value
—
PnL
-$20.54
Record
52%
3542-3305 (6847)
Invested
$10.05
Value
—
PnL
-$10.05
Record
46%
487-576 (1063)
Invested
$6.9
Value
$6.13
PnL
-$0.65
Record
60%
1032-684 (1716)
Invested
$1.14
Value
—
PnL
-$1.14
Record
52%
334-312 (646)
Invested
$47
Value
—
PnL
-$1.33
Record
49%
3233-3339 (6572)
Invested
$0.14
Value
—
PnL
-$0.14
Record
50%
3384-3334 (6718)
OhioAICTR<$100Invested
$1.96
Value
—
PnL
-$1.96
Record
47%
253-288 (541)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.23
Value
—
PnL
-$1.23
Record
44%
798-998 (1796)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Bonereaper
Down — $2.8K
hoodquant
Down — $1.4K
CrouchPredictions
Down — $442.51
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $314
machinelearned
Down — $341.43
stepahead
Down — $209.91
almach
Down — $158.37
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $99
0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c
Down — $77.12